Friday, September 7, 2012

Random Thought: I Hope the Fed Announces QE3....

... just to see if there is anything left in the quiver. And, oh, by the way, whatever happened to releasing oil from the SPR? The latter would be a windfall for the oil companies and a great opportunity for investors.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site; this is just idle chatter waiting for Friday's daily activity report.

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September 8, 2012: It looks like both could happen this next week: a) QE3; and, b) an announcement to release oil from the SPR.

If the Fed has one more "we're still looking at the data" non-decision, it will speak volumes that a) they know it won't work any way; and/or, b) there are no more meaningful arrows in the quiver. QE3 will do nothing for the "average" American before the election (but will push the market higher).

With regard to the SPR, that's a bit more iffy. There's no reason in the world to release oil from the SPR unless it's a purely political ploy or the Israeli strike on Iran is all but guaranteed. It will be interesting to see what oil speculators do when/if oil is released, knowing that it will be replaced at higher prices.

My hunch: neither will happen.  Can't wait to be shown to be wrong.