Friday, August 17, 2012

Just a Reminder --

I really appreciate "straight talk":
EOG: near term, horizontal oil production in US (2 million bopd by 2015) will NOT affect 90 million bopd global production; only three consequential horizontal plays in North America: Eagle Ford, Bakken, and Permian (all others are either inconsequential or really NGL plays) -- Mark Papa, EOG/CEO

11 comments:

  1. Note that it is self serving.

    anon 1

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    1. It is (self-serving).

      I am most interested in checking back on this in five years. I re-posted it in several places to find it more easily five years from now.

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  2. Papa's comments may be self serving, but they are also true. All three will have more than 1 million bbd from horizontal within 3 years. Others like Niobrara will be fortunate to get to 25% of that rate.

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    Replies
    1. I think if one has followed this blog for the past two years, one would see that I agree -- it's all about the Bakken and the Eagle Ford (right now). The Niobrara has turned out to be much less than expected. The Mississippi Lime may be more interesting.

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  3. What mr papa, who is retiring and thus has no reason to make outlandish statements, is saying is that the us is not on a path to energy independence based on horiz-frac stimulated shale oil. Deal with it.

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  4. I did not interpret his comments that way. I interpreted that US horizontal oil will not affect overall global supply/demand issues -- folks were worried if supply of oil would pattern natural gas; result in plummeting oil price; Mr Papa told folks not to worry.

    With regard to US independence....regardless of how that turns out, the tea leaves suggest western hemisphere will be playing a bigger role going forward; OPEC less of a role.

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  5. At least he said 'near term'. I'll take that as; there is still hope. Nevertheless, increased production will still go long way in making us OPEC independent.

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  6. Hope springs eternal. (someone said :) )

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    Replies
    1. If you want to see "hope springs eternal," look at the most recent APA (Apache presentation).

      300,000 net acres in the Bakken; Daniels County, Montana.
      1,900 drilling locations; 1 billion bbls of recoverable oil.
      Pad drilling with 16 wells on a pad; 8 horizontals/1280-acre spacing.
      Middle Bakken: > 650K EUR
      Three Forks: > 350K EUR
      Daniels County is on far northwest edge of the Williston Basin.

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  7. birds

    http://www.platts.com/weblog/oilblog/2012/08/17/heres_a_twist_p.html

    anon 1

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