Tuesday, April 11, 2023

CLR With One New Permit; Sinclair Renews Seven Permits; Three DUCs Reported As Completed -- April 11, 2023

Locator: 44366B. 

This guy is incredibly inaccurate but it is what it is. If one really wants to know what's going on, follow the ticker symbol: BUD.


Has SecEnergy Jen Granholm seen this chart?


API moves:


At the close: during the  2023 recession -- 



************************
Back to the Bakken

Active rigs: 41.

WTI: $81.41.

Natural gas: $2.220.

One new permit: #39814:
  • Operator: CLR
  • Field: Elm Tree
  • Comments:
    • CLR has a permit for another Tarentaise Federal well, SENW 19-153-94; 
      • to be sited 1651 FNL and 2062 FWL; the CLR Tarentaise wells are tracked here.

Seven permits renewed:

  • SOGC (Sinclair): six Yauch permits, McKenzie County; and one Bighorn permit Dunn County.

Three producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 38809, 941, Crescent Point Energy, CPEUSC DeFrance, 4-12-1-158N-100W-MBH,,
  • 36946, 2,116, Neptune Operating, Sanders N 150-100-9-10-7H, Sandrocks, no production data,
  • 36947, 2,130, Neptune Operating, Sanders N 150-100-9-10-6H, Sandrocks, no production data,

How Great Is The Bakken? April 11, 2023

Locator: 44365B. 

How incredible is the Bakken?

Although Russian exports are about 2.5x Bakken’s total production, the “two” are in the same ballpark: lower-single-digit millions.

Bakken sweet light sells at a premium to WTI. Russian Urals sanctioned. Yes, I know. Don’t write me.

Link here.

Not a bit unexpected.

The Bakken, right now, is concentrating its wells on two counties, maybe three. and that’s it.

WTI is up $1.73 today. And this is during a recession. Which is projected to get worse.

The gap between investors and non-investors continues to grow.

Russia: dollar cost of war to Putin.

For Oil Companies To Compete With ESG Stocks .... April 11, 2023

Locator: 44364B. 

For oil companies to attract 'mom-and-pop" traders / investors from ESG 'mojo' stocks, oil companies are going to have to make their shares irresistible.

COP, link here.

April 14, regular dividend pay-date:
  • last year: 30 cents / share;
  • this year, that has been doubled to 60 cents / share;

Through, April 14, COP has paid:
  • calendar year, 2022: 96 cents
  • calendar year, 2023: $1.81

The "Goldilocks" Economy -- April 11, 2023

Locator: 44363A.

Not too shabby, considering we are in a recession, The Dow is up 129 points, NASDAQ is down 40 points because one stock was down: AAPL. 

GDPNow: 2.2%.

And just think, once your earned income goes over $160,200 this year, you owe no more social security "tax." What a great country. 

*****************************
At Home

Soon to open in our neighborhood: "At Home." I bicycle by this new location almost every day.

Link here.

China, Coal, And EVs -- Aprill 11, 2023

Locator: 44362B.

UPDATES

Later, 12:02 p.m. CT: Social Security and  Medicare —

  • Recommendations
    • progressive for both SS and Medicare
    • no contribution cap based on income
    • upon retirement, benefits phase out based on income
    • additional contributions mandated for entertainers, sports figures, and federal employees, but, again, progressive
    • families with children below the age of six exempt from all contributions
    • families with dependents in college partially exempt from contributions

ORIGINAL POST

FedEx: increases dividend. Completely unexpected. And FedEx increases their dividend during a recession. See GDPNow.

Link here.

 
This is really a cool story.

I don't think most folks have caught on to this.

As the western world moves away from coal, using natural gas as a transitional fuel, and investing heavily in solar and wind energy, China is clearly taking a different fork in the road: coal.

This is another article that notes that China is switching from gasoline-fueled ICEs to coal-fueled EVs.

Absolutely fascinating.

And Saudi Arabia can clearly see this. 

*************************
Today's Reading

Even by The New Yorker's standards, the article by Larissa MacFarquhar in the current issue of TNY is setting a new record (?) -- seventeen pages. The article is on "adoption" and it is fascinating. Reminds me again how fortunate so many of us are. 

Probably behind a paywall.

On another note, I'm still reading A Fever in the Heartland by Timothy Egan, c. 2023. This should be mandatory reading by all juniors in "red" schools. And all GOP congressmen "investigating" "January 6." Timothy Egan's book certainly puts "January 6" into historical perspective.

************************
Jon Rahm

For Jon Rahm, social security withheld on his $3-million winnings: $10,000. This works out to 0.3% [0.062*160,200)/$3.24 million].

0.03% for a multimillionaire.

6.2% for a $50K blue-collar worker.

The GOP continues to move farther and farther away from me.



A reader replies: 

His social security contribution as a percent on his his $8 million in 2023 anticipated winnings:

$20,000 in SS contributions.

$20,000 social security / $8,000,000 earned income = 0.25%.

Medicare is even a better deal. Not only is it unchanged from 2022, despite inflation, it's still a whopping 1.45% for individual matched by another 1.45% for employer.

0.029 x 160,200 = $4,646 / $8,000,000 = 0.00058 = 0.06%.

Compared to what he would be paying in Spain, Jon Rahm must think he died and gone to heaven.

Note: I often make simple arithmetic errors.

Again, as noted, the GOP continues to move away from me.