Monday, November 11, 2019

Huge Jump In Production For #19946 -- November 11, 2019

This is pretty funny but so typical of the Bakken.

Back on March 23, 2017, I asked this question:
Anyone want to hazard a guess what the production in #19946 will do when nine (9) neighboring wells are completed? Don't reply; it's a rhetorical question and we won't know for quite some time.
I don't know if I ever answered that question. Here's the production data for that well around the time the neighboring wells were fracked:
BAKKEN7-2018311253312642156831698716467210
BAKKEN6-201830116411177815963144571412532
BAKKEN5-20183012544124761971031052154651
BAKKEN4-201830136301379224382328519471038
BAKKEN3-201831162741616032399425327571186
BAKKEN2-20182010253977726971403126751156
BAKKEN1-201827749683292725613237012967
BAKKEN12-201729872478423868613508013218
BAKKEN11-20170000000
BAKKEN10-20170000000
BAKKEN9-2017128821443465180601676
BAKKEN8-20173127932436790505504755
BAKKEN7-20173127963118830505304753
BAKKEN6-20173026932403688487804578

The graphic and the well: posted at this site.

XTO's FBIR Blackmedicine Wells Have Been Completed/Reported -- November 11, 2019

Link here.

Erratic Production In The Bakken -- November 11, 2019

The well:
  • 33979, 161, BR, Kermit 4-8-32 MBH, Pershing, t8/18; cum 238K 9/19;
Full production profile:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN9-20192219495196678349342581460218884
BAKKEN8-201931448994453919342733603349638214
BAKKEN7-20193024692485991408527261214
BAKKEN6-201910517253231832848348833405
BAKKEN5-2019191926719428715330837238285907
BAKKEN4-2019302609926117916646665423351958
BAKKEN3-2019191160611343240524164173005118
BAKKEN2-20191128258592342070
BAKKEN1-2019312651326423787835682686827860
BAKKEN12-2018312371123699714321501297517958
BAKKEN11-2018302333623347631321278380416952
BAKKEN10-2018313107831000749520455743212371
BAKKEN9-201824377537111582337829530
BAKKEN8-2018146046010877247315790

Is EOG About Ready To Exit The Bakken? -- November 11, 2019

A reader suggested EOG may be about ready to exist the Bakken.

Looking at this list of permits now canceled it's hard to disagree. This is an incredibly good area in the Bakken:
  • 31403, 1,447, EOG, West Clark 117-0136H, Clarks Creek, 36 stages, 27.65 million lbs t5/16; cum 308K 2/19;
  • 31388, PNC,
  • 31387, PNC,
  • 31386, PNC,
  • 31385, PNC,
  • 31384, PNC,
  • 31383, PNC
  • 31382, PNC
  • 31381, PNC,
  • 31380, PNC,
  • 31379, PNC,
  • 31378, PNC,
  • 31377, PNC,
  • 31376, PNC,
  • 31375, PNC,
  • 31374, conf,
  • 31257, PNC,
  • 31256, PNC,
  • 31255, PNC,
  • 31254, PNC,
  • 31253, loc,
  • 31252, PNC,
  • 31251, PNC,
  • 31250, PNC,
  • 31249, TA/127, EOG, West Clark 105-0136H,
  • 31248, 1,272, EOG, West Clark 104-0136H, Clarks Creek, 36 stages, 21.029 million lbs; t5/16; cum 188K 2/19;
  • 31247, 1,613, EOG, West Clark 103-0136H, Clarks Creek, 37 stages, 21.15 million lbs; t5/16; cum 196K 9/19;
  • 31246, PNC,

Notes From All Over, Part 2 -- November 11, 2019

The market: "not in a million years," as they say, would I have expected the "market" to be as strong as it was today. The Dow might even eke out a slight gain before the day is over. I would have bet a fair amount that the market would have "crashed and burned" today. In fact, I thought I posted that on the blog but can't find it now. The market was primed for a huge fall today: a) profit-taking -- once a few large "sell orders" would have come through, the algorithms would have taken over -- on the sell side; b) China trade talk seems to be less optimistic today than it was Friday; and, c) light volume. Not only did the market "hold" pretty well, but some individual stocks did very well:
  • AAPL: quite remarkable, to say the least -- up another $1.75 today, on a day I would have expected a pretty good pullback
  • ENB: up almost a percent
  • KMI: down about half a percent
  • BAX: up half a percent;
  • ABBV: up half a percent;
  • But look at this: Boeing up almost 5%; up almost $17 on a $365-stock
  • BAX: up about half a percent
  • ABBV: up about a third of a percent
  • IMUX: down almost 3%; down 24 cents;
  • TSLA: up 2.5%; up over $8
  • CVX: down 0.1%
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, career, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

Others:
  • SRE: up 0.2%, surprising
  • BRK-B: down about a third of a percent
  • D: down almost a percent
  • F: up 2 cents; stays above $9
  • UNP: up 50 cents; again, surprising
************************************
OXY: Starting To Sell Assets

On the block:
  • Anadarko assets in Wyoming, Colorado -- up to $700 million -- Reuters, published today
    • 200,000 net acres
    • $66 million / year in cash flow
    • $700 million / 200,000 = $3500/acre (very similar to the "number" Equinor received for Eagle Ford assets
  • a four-story office building in the heart of the Permian (shows how desperate things have become -- a story about selling a four-story building); Bloomberg via Rigzone;
************************************** 
Global Warming Or Grand Solar Minimum?
Now We're Up To 300 -- Last Week It Was "Only" 170


From the AP:
  • Arctic blast to break more than 300 records across the US
  • eastern two-thirds of the continental US
  • the next five to seven days won't just be cold-- they'll be record-breaking
  • five to seven days
  • O'Hare, Chicago:
    • weather already claimed one airline incident, an American Eagle flight sliding off the runway
    • by 11: 00 a.m. ET more than 600 flights in/out of O'Hare/Midway were canceled due to weather conditions 
****************************************
Dallas Football

Highest paid runner in the NFL:
Ezekiel Elliott finished the evening with 20 carries for 47 yards. His longest run was 6 yards. With 1:33 remaining and the outcome on the line, he carried twice from the Minnesota 11-yard line, losing 3 yards.
Back-of-the-proverbial envelope:
  • 47 / 20 = 2.35 yards/carry