Friday, October 30, 2026

Chevron. Exxon Earnings -- October 30, 2026

Locator: 52058INVESTING.

Headlines:

CVX: links everywhere.

XOM: links everywhere.
 

BRKB:

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The Book Page, Part I

For $35, all of the following, from a really, really nice used bookstore -- books in new condition except for the graphic novel which is a real keeper. Too good to pass up.

The books:

  • A Private Spy: The Letter of John le Carré, edited by Tim Cornwell, c. 2022.
  • Byron: Child of Passion, Fool of Fame, Benita Eisler, c. 1999.
  • The Challenger Launch Decision, Diane Vaughan, c. 1996.
  • Etty Hillestum: An Interrupted Life and Letters from Westerbrook, edited by Eva Hoffman, c. 1996
  • Beast In The Machine: How Robotics and AI Will Transform Warfare and the Future of Human Conflict, George M. Doughterty, c. 2025.
  • The Initiates: A Comic Artist and a Wine Artisan Exchange Jobs, Étienne Davodeau, 2011. 

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The Book Page, Part II 

I've been reading The Cleopatras: The Forgotten Queens of Egypt by Lloyd Llewellyn-Jones for the past couple of weeks. Today, I'm reading the story of the relationship between the Ptolemy reign (Egypt) and the Seleucid reign (Persia/Iran). Either I had forgotten or never knew of the relationship between these two families. So, I'm going to stop reading here -- about halfway through the book and start over. I want to get a good foundation for this history before proceeding.

 

Thursday, October 29, 2026

Friday Morning -- October 30, 2026

Locator: 52057B.

Time change: over the weekend -- same ol', same ol'.  

Hurricane season: coming to an end, and despite all the fear-mongering by climate-change apologists, this was among the weakest US hurricane season ever (and one of the hottest summers ever).  

Crypto hack: it is truly beyond the pale that North Korea could hack/steal $6.3 billion from a US cyrpto site. Too bad there's no adulting in Washington. 

The stock market upheaval: many, many story lines. Most analysts appear to be missing the real story. I'll come back to the market late next week. 

Iran: by the way, speaking of folks missing the real story, some day we will learn why the Israeli-US-Iran was so necessary.  

The ports: is the red-green alliance to interrupt oil ports around the world starting today? It gets tedious. It turns out the global effort to disrupt port activities amounts to nothing more than a 3-day weekend for European dockworkers.

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Back To The Bakken 

WTI: $103.50 --> $104.10 (it may have hit $105 overnight; not sure). Does anyone know what's going on? 

New wells reporting: 

  • Sunday, November 1 2026: 0 for the month, 66 for the quarter, 565 for the year,   
    • None. 
  • Saturday, October 31, 2026: 66 for the month, 66 for the quarter, 565 for the year,   
    • None.
  • Friday, October 30, 2026: 66 for the month, 66 for the quarter, 565 for the year, 
    • None.

RBN Energy: can a massive ultra-deepwater project with Woodside Energy help turn Pemex around? Link here. Archived.

Petróleos Mexicanos, Mexico’s state-owned oil and gas company, has been mired in debt and plagued by operational and other challenges for many years, but a high-profile joint venture (JV) with Australia’s Woodside Energy may — emphasis on may — signal the beginning of a turnaround. The $7.2 billion, 100-Mb/d Trion project, Pemex’s first ultra-deepwater development, is proceeding on schedule and on budget and is slated to deliver its first oil in 2028. In today’s RBN blog, we’ll discuss Pemex’s troubled past (and present) and why its Trion Oil Project JV with Woodside — and the prospects for more partnerships with Woodside and Brazil’s Petrobras in the deepwater Gulf — could help. 

Established in 1938 with Mexico’s nationalization of 17 foreign-owned oil and gas producers, Pemex’s initial focus was onshore production, mostly in Tabasco, Veracruz and Chiapas states in southeastern Mexico; by the 1960s, its crude oil output there was topping 300 Mb/d. But a big discovery was in the making.

In July 1961, a fisherman named Rudo Cantarell noticed a bubbling black oil slick on the blue-green waters of the Bay of Campeche, about 50 miles west of the Yucatán Peninsula. He told his fellow shrimpers and anyone else who would listen, but no one believed him until he finally convinced Pemex officials in Ciudad de Carmen to come take a look in 1971. Their visit to the site eventually led to exploratory drilling: The first test well in 1976 — in waters only 250 feet deep —produced extraordinary volumes of crude oil (upwards of 35 Mb/d) and the massive oil find was quickly named in Rudo’s honor: the Cantarell Field — light-blue shaded area in Figure 1 below. (Rudo was given a modest job at Pemex and a pension.)

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The Book Page

Background: in October, 2026, I got interested in Alexander and read three books --

  • Dividing the Spoils,
  • Arrian's Alexander's Campaigns,
  • The Cleopatras.

I'm pretty much complete with these three books ... and then, out of the blue, in my inbox -- a National Geographic article on Aristotle's school. Incredible coincidence. So, here's the link: Aristotle's school.  

Devon's Williston Well In Catwalk Oil Field -- October 29, 2026

Locator: 52056B.

A reader alerted me to this well. Thank you very much. It turns out I discussed this well a couple of years ago but forgot all about it. The reader noted the "jump in production" and sent me the file number. The well. one of six on its pad:

  • 39366, drl/A, Devon Energy, Williston 30-31F XE 1H, Catwalk, t1/24; cum 434K 9/26 -- 

This well was spud at the very end of 2023, look at the production profile. In less than three years this well is trending toward 500,000 bbls of oil cumulative:

oolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN9-20263012604129011912211646113980
BAKKEN8-20263113340132691738811890116300
BAKKEN7-2026238987889814135889987100
BAKKEN6-202612540000
BAKKEN5-202619306830796902724570700
BAKKEN4-20263059475964904113428131380
BAKKEN3-20262870817103678213168129180
BAKKEN2-20260000000
BAKKEN1-20267151314522321347834100
BAKKEN12-20252747264763957614256140100
BAKKEN11-202530625062191132415234149440
BAKKEN10-20251939313960861411602114230
BAKKEN9-202529562955691074518712184180
BAKKEN8-202531624562851177520093197930
BAKKEN7-202530657865531117020424201260
BAKKEN6-202530734073301276820620203210
BAKKEN5-202530724872291272421674213790
BAKKEN4-202529951196661231125760254680
BAKKEN3-20253111797117751523520309199990
BAKKEN2-202524785877981238810933106950
BAKKEN1-2025311134711376170701460414476128
BAKKEN12-2024194142414290535242519646
BAKKEN11-20242479457969120681778717647140
BAKKEN10-2024311374113664195402961529279336
BAKKEN9-2024301275012765190772106620820246
BAKKEN8-2024311577215718227192532125141180
BAKKEN7-2024311741417419247553202931205824
BAKKEN6-20243024848248402943737742311686574
BAKKEN5-20243128253282653297933332321351197
BAKKEN4-20243035476354194163233771297644007
BAKKEN3-20243141380415265247434517248839634
BAKKEN2-20242629183295744648227343250882255
BAKKEN1-202428624326145084751443733056213811
BAKKEN12-20230000000

Four New Permits; Nine Permits Renewed; Five Permits Canceled -- October 29, 2026

Locator: 52055B.

CVX: to report earnings Friday, tomorrow morning, October 30, before the market opens. 

AAPL: 

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Back to the Bakken 

WTI: $102.7. This is closer to $110 than it is to $60.

Active rigs: 39. 

Four new permits, #43440 - #43433, inclusive--

  • Operator: Devon Energy
  • Field: Squires (McKenzie County)
  • Comments:
    • Devon has permits for four Stranded Cat wells, SWSE 28-155-102, to be sited 399 FSL and 2166 / 2256 FEL. 

Nine permits renewed:

  • Spotted Hawk Development (6): six Buffalo permits, McLean County;
  • Petro-Hunt; two Jensen permits, Mountrail County; 
  • Silver hill: one Casey permit, Burke County. 

Five permits canceled:

  • Spotted Hawk (3): A Rocky permit, a Mufasa permit, a Luke Neset permit, all in McLean County;
  • Hess: two SC-Scanland permits, Williams County.

CAT -- EPD -- Amazon -- Intel Earnings -- October 29, 2026

Locator: 52054CAT.

Intel: Intel was down 16% earlier -- Intel is now down 21% ... that was yesterday ... today, below .... many story lines here ... much could be said. I've spent a lot of time talking with Gemini about what's going on now --- check out social comments at this link.

AMAZON earnings, 3Q26: link here. Pay particular attention to AWS -- this affects both AWS and Google search. Note forecast for y/y growth.

CAT earnings, 3Q26:

EPD earnings, 3Q26: