Monday, October 6, 2025

Disclaimer Briefly

 

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Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here. 

Cross-County Road Trip? Thinking Out Loud -- October 6, 2025

Locator: 49301TRAVEL. 

 

AI prompt: 

Travel recommendations. I have a four-day weekend. I love cross-country road trips. A twelve-day road trip across half the USA is my idea of a great time. In four days, I would have much less time. I would be starting my road trip from DFW (north Texas). Farthest I would drive: to the west, Phoenix; to the northeast, Nashville; to the southeast, Rockport / Corpus Christi, Texas.  Thoughts? Pros / cons? Traffic? Weather? 

 

New Jargon -- Changes In Latitudes, Changes In Attitudes -- October 6, 2025

Locator: 49300JARGON. 

 

Circular spending - vendor sourcing. 

Compute and compute diversification.  

Diversifying supply.

Has anyone read much about TSM / TSMC lately?  The silence is deafening / the silence speaks volumes. 

Time For An OpenAI Page? October 6, 2025

Locator: 49300OPENAI. 

OpenAI:

Link here. Not yet publicly traded. When it goes public will it open with a valuation of $1 trillion?

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Barron's: AMD

I don't recall for sure, but I could look it up if I cared. I don't.

But I remember the moment very, very well.

Our community library is perhaps the best community library in the immediate area and there are many to choose from.

So, I don't recall the exact day, but I do remember the aha moment! I'm pretty sure it was June 21, 2024, about eight months ago. At that time I was going to the library on a regular basis, focused on business periodicals, biographies, and top-shelf literature. 

Whatever day it was, the cover photo on the Barron's issue on the shelf was of Lisa Su.

I read the article. It didn't make a lot of sense but Barron's only publishes once a week, which means that Barron's only publishes 52 covers each year. Lisa Su and AMD was now one of them, just as all the talk at that time was of the Fourth Industrial (Sixth Industrial) Revolution. 

At that moment, I started a position in AMD and I haven't looked back. For the record:

  • Micron (MU) was the last chip / tech company I bought. Source: Chip War. I'm very "proud" of picking that when I did -- it was so out of favor when I bought it. Just as Intel was.
  • Oracle: second best chip / tech company I bought. Source: discussion with our older daughter and oldest granddaughter planted the seed. It's still my favorite in terms of fascinating to watch, not necessarily the best investment opportunity right now.
  • Broadcom: luckiest position -- specific recommendation from a reader who probably has written me once.
  • Amazon: hated it; said I would never buy it -- but within the last year, "the writing is on the wall," as they say. I think it was Starlink (Musk) / Kuiper (Bezos) that was the tipping point. 
  • Intel: my rules of investing do not allow me to invest in Intel.

So, that's kind of where I'm at. That's most of my tech holdings. 

Through ETFs, a whole lot more. 

Back to Lisa Su, June 21, 2024, link here, tenth anniversary at the helm -- just reaching her peak -- 

**********************************
Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here. 

Cramer's First Hour -- Monday, October 6, 2025

Locator: 49299CRAMER. 

Of course: begins with the historic, multi-year agreement between AMD and OpenAI. Yes, I understand the skepticism. Those folks swiping the way the deal was reached, is exactly how Warren Buffett / BRK took a stake in OXY.

Almost all techs are up in pre-market trading. 

1999? Cramer -- I won't paraphrase Cramer -- it's complicated, but one needs to listen to Cramer.

Regardless: it's going to be a bad day today for those shorting AMD. 

AAPL: tea leaves suggest AAPL could hit a 52-week high today.

Finally -- and this is cool -- he's using the right word: "reasoning.' 

AI prompt: generative ai inference reasoning how do these terms al relate.

AMD: as the shorts start "covering," AMD shares will gain; waking up to a "Titanic" disaster -- AMD now up $61.  

Oil and gas: generally shares up across the board, but not by much.

MU: up $10.

Ford: this is one of Cramer's favorites. Hybrids. Farley's time. No comment:

Cramer interview with AMD's CEO and OpenAI's founder and president, Greg Brockman. Another not-too-miss interview. New buzz word: computer.

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The Eisen Hour 

Sara Eisen is spending way too much time on Nike. Across her two hours, she dedicated a full hour to a two-part interview with the Nike CEO on what is turning out to be one of the busiest days for the market in a long time. 

And that's the problem CNBC. The producer needs to start planning the daily show two weeks early, and then gradually refine the day for the next two weeks. By the time much of what gets on CNBC it's already old news. In addition, CNBC definitely has its favorites. 

I'm not aware CNBC giving this much attention to Apple / AAPL for example. 

But, or course, I'm very biased.

See disclaimer.

On a huge day for tech, today, NKE is down. Nike's one-year and five-year charts look abysmal. But for some reason, CNBC likes this stock. This suggests to me that CNBC viewers are very, very interested in Nike also. I don't have a position in NKE, never have, never will.

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Other Opportunities 

Prospero is a free app that uses AI to look at thousands of real time data points and give you easy to understand scores. The app is on my iPad desktop.


 

**********************************
Disclaimer
Brief Reminder 

Briefly:

  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken and I am often well out front of my headlights. I am often appropriately accused of hyperbole when it comes to the Bakken.
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If something appears wrong, it probably is. Feel free to fact check everything.
  • If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them. 
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken, US economy, and the US market.
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • And now, Nvidia, also. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Nvidia. Nvidia is a metonym for AI and/or the sixth industrial revolution.
  • I've now added Broadcom to the disclaimer. I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Broadcom.
  • Longer version here.