Sunday, October 5, 2025

Sunday -- Day 5 Of The Government Shutdown -- October 5, 2025

Locator: 49297ARCHIVES. 

Chess: link here. 

The lede plus a bit more:

Pawn pushers at a couple of low-stakes chess tournaments in Iowa and Louisiana recently sat down at their boards only to discover a surprising competitor: one of the highest rated chess players ever to live. 

Hikaru Nakamura, the No. 2 player in the world and five-time U.S. champion, had flown in as a last-minute entrant, making him far and away the top player in the building. Not only was he rated several hundred points higher than anyone else in the fields, he was also exponentially more famous, as the planet’s leading chess influencer.

It was the chess equivalent of Aaron Judge showing up to play Little League. 

Nakamura wasn’t there to tee off on inferior opponents—or for a few thousand bucks in prize money. He was exploiting an arcane loophole on a much larger mission to become the next chess world champion. But Nakamura’s maneuver hasn’t gone unnoticed. In the process, his tactics have sparked a rule change from FIDE, instant backlash to the change, and sent the chess world into a full-blown freakout.

It began with Nakamura needing to qualify for the most prestigious tournament in chess, known as the Candidates, where eight players compete for the right to challenge the defending world champion. The Candidates reserves one spot for the player with the highest rating, which would be Nakamura because world No. 1 Magnus Carlsen has withdrawn from contention.

Only FIDE, the game’s international governing body, requires that players have at least 40 classical games under their belts before the cycle is up. The problem is that Nakamura, who spends most of his time streaming to millions of followers and favors shorter formats in competition, keeps a light tournament schedule. As of June 1, he had played only 18 classical games this year.

That left him scrambling to rack up games anywhere he could—with little risk of letting his rating drop. Even he dubbed the exercise a “Mickey Mouse” tour. 

At the Louisiana State Championship and the Iowa Open Championship, he played a combined 11 games, winning all of them. And his opponents were simply in awe. They found themselves in the rare position of meeting a genuine chess celebrity, while also being manhandled by him on the board.

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Initial Production For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- October 5, 2025

Locator: 49296WELLS. 

The wells:

  • 41605, conf, CLR, Klepp 2-1H, West Capa, npd
  • 38111, conf, Silver Hill Energy Operating, LFM2 18-06 161-93 BMB, Leaf Mountain, npd, 
  • 41606, conf, CLR, Klepp 3-1H, West Capa, npd, 
  • 41395, conf, CLR, Vachal FIU 12-27HSL, Alkali Creek, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-20251328732711
7-20251836443842
6-20251058117989
  • 41642, conf, CLR, Klepp 4-12H, West Capa, npd, 
  • 40827, conf, Grayson Mill, Falcon 25-27F 3H, Sixmile, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025021800
7-20252891722558
6-20253177426463
5-20251887413680
4-20252902716321
  • 41643, conf, CLR, Klepp 512H, West Capa, npd, 
  • 41112, conf, Hess, BL-Ray-155-95-0503H-5,
  • 41111, conf, Hess, BL-Ray-155-95-0503H-4, Beaver Lodge, 
ateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025185140
7-20252476032209
6-20252297026034
5-20251091019027
4-20252310524764
  • 40982, conf, Hess, EN-Starla-157-93-0904H-6, Sorkness, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025172800
7-20252046528967
6-20251853918411
5-20251722620457
4-20252555818358
  • 40788, conf, Oasis, Bitterroot 5000 21-30 4B, Arnegard, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-20252377529199
7-20252246325838
6-20251664619179
5-20252220025987
4-20251734218330
  • 40980, conf, Hess, EN-Starla-157-93-0904H-3, Sorkness, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025136870
7-20251721225062
6-20251513512151
5-20251115713306
4-20251700422451
  • 41557, conf, CLR, Kanyer 615H, Grinnell, npd, 
  • 41556, conf,  CLR, Kanyer 5-15H, Grinnell, npd, 
  • 40932, conf, Grayson Mill, Falcon 25-27F 1H, Sixmile,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025020137
7-20252648121620
6-20253240324366
5-20252021715585
4-20253522417660
  • 40880, conf, Oasis, Bitterroot 5000 21-30 3B, Arnegard,
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-20252316929731
7-20252647432500
6-20252415727461
5-20252758632144
4-20252225024142
  • 22586, conf, Grayson Mill, Bratcher 10-3 4H, Ragged Butte, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025041908
7-20251792430550
6-202576787306
5-202589656634
  • 41375, conf, CLR, Bismarck 9-9H, Brooklyn, 
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
8-2025777832163

I Really Don't Know What To Make Of This -- October 5, 2025

Locator: 49295INV. 

Updates

October 5, 2025, Sunday night, futures:

Original Post 

Link here. 

"A pullback is coming." That's the headline? LOL.


Even a broken clock is right twice a day.

Stargate Data Center -- October 5, 2025

Locator: 49294STARGATE. 

I have five grandchildren. My hunch: each of them, within ten years, could be millionaires, starting with $100,000 today by each building a single-stock portfolio based on information from this article, link here.

Data points, Stargate Data Center, Abilene, Texas:

  • one "building" has been completed, operational; seven more buildings under construction
    • site footprint: 1,100 acres 
    • average footprint of each building with associated parking / road / cement foundation: 140 acres
    • atypical, but the absolutely largest Walmart with parking lot: 44 acres
  • length of fiberoptic cable that will be needed: enough to wrap around the Earth 16 times
  • so far: small fraction of what this site will be and even when complete will still not be enough to serve even the demand of just ChatGPT
  • partners: OpenAI, Oracle, SofBank
  • five new data centers:
    • Shackelford County, Texas
    • Milam County, Texas
    • Lordstown, Ohio
    • Ana County, New Mexico (essentially Texas)
    • yet undisclosed, a fifth site in the Midwest 
  • Texas is ground-zero for AI
    • #1 requirement: abundant, low-cost energy
    • Abilene: three hours west of Dallas
    • helicopter: two hours?
  • during height of construction: 6,400 workers, daily
    • once completed: 1,700 jobs on site
  • entire project should be completed in about a full year
  • $1 billion projected economic benefit, direct and indirect, to Abilene 

The cost for the infrastructure of the Stargate data center in Abilene, Texas, was initially reported to be around $1.1 billion, though the full project cost is expected to be much higher as it includes the installation of massive amounts of computing hardware. Developer Crusoe estimates the total build cost could reach as high as $12 billion, with billions more for the Nvidia chips.

The Stargate data center campus in Abilene, Texas, will have a total power capacity of
1.2 gigawatts (GW) once fully built. This is part of the larger, multi-site Stargate project, which has a total planned capacity of nearly 7 GW across the United States. 

At maximum efficiency: 1.2 GW might power 1.2 million US homes.  

Crusoe's role in the Stargate project:

  • Rapid construction: Crusoe has earned recognition for its velocity and efficiency in building AI data centers. The first two 100-megawatt buildings of the Abilene campus were constructed in about 300 days.
  • Vertical integration: The company's in-house capabilities for power and construction allow it to control project timelines and accelerate deployment.
  • Strategic partnerships: Although the end user is OpenAI, Crusoe is working directly with Oracle, which is the cloud infrastructure partner for the Abilene site.
  • Focus on sustainable energy: Crusoe's approach involves securing clean and cost-effective energy for its data centers. The Abilene facility uses the region's abundant wind energy and features advanced cooling systems

 The Stargate Abilene campus

  • Operational and expanding: The first phase of the Abilene campus officially went live in September 2025. Construction on the second phase began in March 2025 and is projected to be completed by mid-2026.
  • Scale: The full campus is planned to have eight buildings and a total capacity of 1.2 gigawatts.
  • High-performance design: The purpose-built facilities are optimized for high-energy-density AI hardware, with features like direct liquid-to-chip cooling to support thousands of GPUs. 
Crusoe's evolution

Originally known as Crusoe Energy Systems, the company first gained attention for its "Digital Flare Mitigation" technology, which converted flared natural gas into energy for cryptocurrency mining. In early 2025, Crusoe shifted its focus entirely to AI, selling its bitcoin mining unit to concentrate on building AI cloud infrastructure and data centers. This pivot has led to Crusoe becoming a key player in the development of AI infrastructure, culminating in its role with the massive Stargate initiative.
 

Crusoe is not yet publicly traded, but there is talk of an IPO.

The company Crusoe gets its name from the fictional character Robinson Crusoe
. Co-founders Chase Lochmiller and Cully Cavness chose the name to symbolize resourcefulness and creativity in utilizing scarce or wasted resources.

The founders' reasoning links back to their business model:

  • Wasted energy: The company's origin involved capturing flared natural gas from oil fields—a wasted resource—and converting it into energy to power computer systems.
  • Stranded energy: They also focus on "stranded energy," or power that is remote from a typical grid, and put it to use.
  • Resourcefulness: This practice of innovating with what is available parallels Robinson Crusoe's story of being marooned and using his resourcefulness to survive.

*****************************
OpenAI's Infrastructure Map

Link here. 

Pet Peeve: The Dot-Com Meme -- October 6, 2025

Locator: 49293DOTCOM. 

Ten largest failures from the dot-com bust:

  • Webvan
  • Pets.com
  • Boo.com
  •  GovWorks
  • DrKoop.com
  • TheGlobe.com
  • Value America
  • Excite (or eXcite)
  • eToys.com 

Ten largest successes coming out of the dot-com bust, and approximate return since 2000:

  • Amazon: 5,358%
  • eBay
  • Apple: 32,535%
  • Nvidia
  • Oracle
  • Microsoft
  • intel
  • Cisco Systems
  • Booking Holdings (formerly Priceline.com)
  • Yahoo