Monday, March 27, 2023

WTI Breaks $70; Natural Gas Could Drop Below $2.00; 47 Active Rigs; Nine Wells Coming Off Confidential List Over Weekend -- March 27, 2023

Palm reading. Amazon style.

Collapse: of housing trust in Los Angeles.

Vacations: millennials.

COP: Australia.

A "goldilocks" economy? Link here.

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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs: 47 (recent high).

Peter Zeihan newsletter.

WTI: $70.46.

Natural gas: $2.099.

Tuesday, March 28, 2023: 86 for the month: 250 for the quarter, 250 for the year
39221, conf, Crescent Point, CPEUSC Samples 4-35-26-159N-100W-MBH-LL,
39194, conf, CLR, Allen 7-17H,

Monday, March 27, 2023: 84 for the month: 248 for the quarter, 248 for the year
39223, conf, Crescent Point, CPEUSC Samples 5-35-26-159N-100W-MBH-LL,
39195, conf, CLR, Allen 8-17HSL,
38441, conf, Hess, EN-Sable-157-93-3534H-4,
9302 (no typo), conf,  Empire North Dakota LLC, Waddle 7-29,

Sunday, March 26, 2023: 80 for the month: 244 for the quarter, 244 for the year
39220, conf, Crescent Point, CPEUSC Charlotte Elizabeth 2-34-27-159N-100W-MBH,
39196, conf, CLR, Boe State 5-16H,

Saturday, March 25, 2023: 78 for the month: 242 for the quarter, 242 for the year
39219, conf, Crescent Point, CPEUSC Charlotte Elizabeth 34-27-159N-100W-MBH,
39197, conf, CLR, Boe State 6-16H,
30860, conf, BR, Rollacleetwood 11-27MBH ULW,

RBN Energy: US E&Ps temper 2023 CAPEX increases after aggressive late-2022 investment spurt.

In marking the third anniversary of COVID’s onset, the Washington Post detailed a study that showed most of us are already shedding the virus-impacted memories of that tedious and often traumatic time to concentrate on looking ahead — a trait scientists label “future-oriented positivity bias.” That transition was clearly evident in the 2022 investment decisions of U.S. E&Ps as the capex budgets of the 42 companies we monitor, pared to the bone during the pandemic, expanded through last year from initial guidance of a 24% increase over 2021 to a final 54% reported increase for the full year. They increased production by 9% year-over-year, but producers haven’t forgotten fiscal discipline or a focus on cash flow generation. In today’s RBN blog, we analyze 2023 capital budgets that generally sustain the pace of Q4 2022 spending and eschew additional increases in a lower commodity price environment.

Sunday, March 26, 2023

An Old XTO Well Abandoned Back In 2020 Now Back On Staus And Looking Good -- March 26, 2023

The well, previous note, January 1, 2022 --

January 1, 2022: #26312-->AB. Back on line 11/22 and now on A status.

 The well:

  • 26312, 1,350, XTO, Kanyer Federal 11X-15B, Grinnell, t5/14; cum 136K 1/23;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20233111991826960555034171838
BAKKEN12-202231176415911192816933774529
BAKKEN11-2022111291583475181117070
BAKKEN10-20220000000
BAKKEN9-20220000000
BAKKEN8-20220000000
BAKKEN7-20220000000
BAKKEN6-20220000000
BAKKEN5-20220000000
BAKKEN4-20220000000
BAKKEN3-20220000000
BAKKEN2-20220000000
BAKKEN1-20220000000
BAKKEN12-20210000000
BAKKEN11-20210000000
BAKKEN10-20210000000
BAKKEN9-20210000000
BAKKEN8-20210000000
BAKKEN7-20210000000
BAKKEN6-20210000000
BAKKEN5-20210000000
BAKKEN4-20210000000
BAKKEN3-20210010000
BAKKEN2-20210030000
BAKKEN1-2021456533031
BAKKEN12-2020572642040
BAKKEN11-20200000000
BAKKEN10-20200000000
BAKKEN9-20200000000
BAKKEN8-20200000000
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-2020002180000
BAKKEN5-2020712971970959
BAKKEN4-202022595592810243822980
BAKKEN3-202031538523839323529410
BAKKEN2-202028587599496286526000
BAKKEN1-202031646582620309828100
BAKKEN12-201931538659792350132160
BAKKEN11-201930674680518352321781092
BAKKEN10-20193168074653435733127159

Jump In Production -- An Old XTO FBIR Baker Well -- March 26, 2023

The well:

  • 23395, 1,158, XTO, FBIR Baker 34X-25E, , t1/13; cum 260K 9/21; was taken off line 9/21; remains off line as of 1/22; back on line 10/22:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-2023313196320663021064102013
BAKKEN12-2022203718385852982125206315
BAKKEN11-20222497719874964864176004285
BAKKEN10-202223108381049714545695168255
BAKKEN9-20220000000
BAKKEN8-20220000000
BAKKEN7-20220000000
BAKKEN6-20220000000
BAKKEN5-20220000000
BAKKEN4-20220000000
BAKKEN3-20220000000
BAKKEN2-20220000000
BAKKEN1-202200200000
BAKKEN12-20210000000
BAKKEN11-20210000000
BAKKEN10-20210000000
BAKKEN9-202141183176883810
BAKKEN8-2021312297224326981588155315
BAKKEN7-2021312244229926181403135531
BAKKEN6-2021302283229326261307126325

Cracker Barrel Following Walmart's Lead -- Announced Today -- Cracker Barrel To Close All Its Restaurants In Portland, OR -- March 26, 2023

Locator: 10010PORTLANDTHEFT.

Early March, 2023: Walmart to close all stores in Portland, Oregon.

Today, Cracker Barrel to close all stores in Portland, Oregon.  

Kroger's next? Target? 

***********************
Nike, Portland

Home invasions next as retail shuts down:

Summer Here In Texas! March 26, 2023

78°F poolside. Slight breeze. No clouds.

Forecast: a high of 72° or thereabouts.

First thing on the list: soap bubbles.

At Amazon:

  • $9.99 for 24 oz = 42 cents / oz.
  • $9.99 for 64 oz = 16 cents / oz.

Or at our local "Five Below" store:

  •  $5.00 / 128 oz = 3.9 cents / oz. 

Note: I often make simple arithmetic errors.