Monday, November 21, 2022

Drilled, Completed, DUCs -- Bakken -- October, 2022, Data

Bakken DUCs -- spreadsheet sent by reader, thank you very much:





Month/Year

Bakken


Drilled

Completed

DUC

Dec-13

--

--

603

Jan-14

174

143

634

Feb-14

214

158

690

Mar-14

216

218

688

Apr-14

220

207

701

May-14

216

208

709

Jun-14

237

225

721

Jul-14

257

243

735

Aug-14

229

207

757

Sep-14

250

232

775

Oct-14

186

243

718

Nov-14

209

202

725

Dec-14

224

194

755

Jan-15

197

193

759

Feb-15

230

151

838

Mar-15

182

170

850

Apr-15

142

127

865

May-15

124

139

850

Jun-15

110

135

825

Jul-15

102

124

803

Aug-15

111

101

813

Sep-15

99

92

820

Oct-15

118

84

854

Nov-15

100

89

865

Dec-15

98

78

885

Jan-16

71

80

876

Feb-16

61

41

896

Mar-16

68

45

919

Apr-16

43

39

923

May-16

46

59

910

Jun-16

42

54

898

Jul-16

45

56

887

Aug-16

53

82

858

Sep-16

49

66

841

Oct-16

59

85

815

Nov-16

61

86

790

Dec-16

53

49

794

Jan-17

62

52

804

Feb-17

51

58

797

Mar-17

78

71

804

Apr-17

78

104

778

May-17

94

82

790

Jun-17

76

105

761

Jul-17

95

103

753

Aug-17

99

110

742

Sep-17

98

97

743

Oct-17

104

110

737

Nov-17

93

86

744

Dec-17

77

65

756

Jan-18

107

72

791

Feb-18

74

74

791

Mar-18

95

90

796

Apr-18

109

110

795

May-18

124

131

788

Jun-18

108

118

778

Jul-18

134

155

757

Aug-18

108

138

727

Sep-18

108

122

713

Oct-18

120

118

715

Nov-18

110

99

726

Dec-18

108

70

764

Jan-19

120

71

813

Feb-19

108

56

865

Mar-19

111

110

866

Apr-19

118

112

872

May-19

127

127

872

Jun-19

118

149

841

Jul-19

122

122

841

Aug-19

122

144

819

Sep-19

110

88

841

Oct-19

116

108

849

Nov-19

96

88

857

Dec-19

94

86

865

Jan-20

99

98

866

Feb-20

94

100

860

Mar-20

94

108

846

Apr-20

69

33

882

May-20

33

14

901

Jun-20

18

11

908

Jul-20

18

22

904

Aug-20

19

27

896

Sep-20

18

51

863

Oct-20

19

41

841

Nov-20

20

31

830

Dec-20

20

50

800

Jan-21

20

41

779

Feb-21

19

24

774

Mar-21

25

45

754

Apr-21

27

46

735

May-21

29

62

702

Jun-21

31

33

700

Jul-21

32

61

671

Aug-21

39

69

641

Sep-21

42

78

605

Oct-21

43

78

570

Nov-21

46

62

554

Dec-21

52

55

551

Jan-22

53

72

532

Feb-22

64

75

521

Mar-22

66

76

511

Apr-22

58

65

504

May-22

75

76

503

Jun-22

75

77

501

Jul-22

75

79

497

Aug-22

76

78

495

Sep-22

78

79

494

Oct-22

77

77

494

Twenty Permits Renewed -- WSJ Schooled / Played — Can’t Wait To See How The WSJ Reports This Tomorrow — Twitter Already On Top Of This Story — November 21, 2022

Peter Zeihan, on Nord Stream: 

Saudi oil production increase: [later — turns out WSJ article was a “hoax.” More tomorrow. Heading to bed. LOL. Saudi first.]

  • link here to The WSJ -- for the archives; I have no interest in the article
  • does anyone really know what the increase will be?
    • the article says 500,000 bopd for all of OPEC -- and it's just talk
    • on the agenda for the December 4, 2022, meeting
    • last month it was a cut of 2 million bopd
    • so, the numbers are all background noise
  • with regard to sovereign immunity for MBS, The WSJ has it exactly right
    • in general, "we" don't "target" heads of state
    • Libya's Gaddafi was a one-off, and that issue was much, much different, and even so, many European nations did not support US action at that time;
    • we don't need rogue nations suing / targeting US presidents
  • bottom line: this entire story is much ado about nothing to coin a phrase

OPEC production, historical, most recent data:

  • 500,000 / 30 million = 1.7%
  • one year:

  • three years:

US refining capacity: this will be a fascinating story to watch over the next three decades; is the US ceding refining capacity to China? Looking thirty years out; link to Robert Rapier via oilprice.

  • The U.S. energy policy is clear about its intention to phase out fossil fuels.
  • This has forced refiners to exercise caution in order to stay afloat. 
  • It has also resulted in a loss of U.S. refining capacity. 

According to the Energy Information Administration (EIA), at the beginning of the pandemic U.S. refiners had 19.0 million barrels per day (BPD) of operable refining capacity. This was the highest number ever reported by the EIA.

By December 2021, that number had fallen to 17.9 million BPD — a loss of 1.1 million BPD of capacity in less than two years.

1.1 / 19 = 5.6%.

*****************************
Back to the Bakken

Active rigs: 37.

WTI: $79.73.

Natural gas: $6.701.

No new permits.

Twenty permits renewed:

  • BR (15): four Concord permits in Dunn County; one Fritz Falls permit and one Harry Dunne permit, both in Dunn County; six Tilton permits, all in Dunn County; a Lloyd Christmas permit, a Scottvale permit, and a Rifle Person permit, all in Dunn County.
  • Hess (3): three AN-Lone Tree permits in McKenzie County;
  • Liberty Resources (2): a Christine permit and an LTM permit, both in Mountrail County;