Wednesday, September 7, 2022

A Two-Fer -- Dobbs -- September 7, 2022

This is a two-fer.

The other day I had a long post regarding the 60s: Vietnam, the pill, and civil rights movement. Of the three I opined "the pill" had a far bigger impact and that's saying a lot considering how big an impact the civil rights movement and Vietnam had. 

Hold that thought.

Second, I've opined often that the mid-terms are going to be much closer than some pundits think.

Hold that thought.

Now this.

Off The Net -- September 7, 2022

I will post as much as ever if I find pockets of time and adequate wi-fi, but nothing else. A mini-vacation.

I won't  be replying to e-mail.

Comments will not be moderated or posted.

Apple Day -- September 7, 2022

 Wow, wow, wow! Wednesday! September 7, 2022! 

APPLE Day.

Noon.  

By the way, the weekly API petroleum data will be out today; the EIA data will be delayed until tomorrow due to the Monday holiday.

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Back to the Bakken

The Far Side: link here.

WTI: $86.97.

Natural gas: $7.989. US natural gas is effectively being banned from export. Not all of it, just enough. Absolutely fascinating.

Active rigs: 43.

Wednesday, September 7, 2022: 8 for the month, 58 for the quarter, 397 for the year

  • 38006, conf, Hess, CA-E Burdick-155-95-2932H-5, Capa, t--; cum 61K 7/22;
  • 37371, conf, Petro-Hunt, Jorgenson 158-94-2B-11-1HS, East Tioga,

RBN Energy: really? We need more oil? Is Alaskan crude oil production on the verge of bouncing back? 

The renewed focus on energy security — and the acknowledgment that the world will continue to rely on hydrocarbons for decades to come — may be breathing new life into an often-overlooked U.S. production area: Alaska’s North Slope. The state’s crude oil output is down to its lowest level since before the Trans-Alaska Pipeline System (TAPS) came online in 1977. But now federal regulators are moving toward final approval for ConocoPhillips’s $8 billion Willow project in the National Petroleum Reserve, and Australia’s Santos Ltd. and Spain’s Repsol have taken a final investment decision (FID) on the $2.6 billion first phase of their Pikka project between Willow and Prudhoe Bay. In today’s RBN blog, we discuss recent hydrocarbon-related developments in America’s Last Frontier.

It’s been a tough few years — some would say decades — for producers in the 49th state. Back in the 1970s and ’80s, Alaska was seen as the next big thing for U.S. crude oil production. With the completion of the 800-mile TAPS pipeline from Prudhoe Bay to Valdez, AK, in 1977, Alaska North Slope (ANS) production took off, and by 1988, when Alaska’s output peaked at more than 2 MMb/d, the state not only accounted for one-quarter of total U.S. crude oil output (blue layer in Figure 1), but it also briefly knocked Texas off its perch as the #1 oil-producing state. Alaskan oil didn’t give the U.S. “energy independence” –– a rallying cry in the Ford, Carter and Reagan years –– but it sure helped.

Thinking About Putin Building A Natural Gas Pipeline From Eastern Europe To Southeastern China -- Putting That Thought Into Perspectiive -- September 7, 2022

Due to lack of interest by New Englanders for Appalachian natural gas, what the US needs to do is build a pipeline from Pennsylvania to southern California, crossing two mountain ranges, including the Rocky Mountains and traversing a tectonic / seismically-active desert. 

Yeah, that will work. 

And, unlike the rest of the world, the US has an over-abundance of young men more than willing and able to build a pipeline because they are not fighting a war somewhere.

From CNBC, July 26, 2022.

  • “Power of Siberia” — as the portion located in Russia is called — began delivering natural gas to northern China in December 2019, according to Chinese state media.
  • In China, the pipeline runs down the eastern side of the country, past the capital city of Beijing and down to Shanghai.
  • State-owned energy companies, Russia’s Gazprom and China National Petroleum Corp., have been building the pipeline for about eight years.

A reminder: all that natural gas fed to Europe by "Nordstrom" (per White House press secretary) comes from eastern Russia, not Siberia, some thousand miles farther away on the other side of the Urals.

To keep things straight, Russia's European pipeline will get the "Nordstrom" moniker and the Russian Chinese pipeline will be known as the "Neiman-Marcus" natural gas pipeline. 

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LNG -- US Exports

Link here.

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Is Oil So Different?

Link here.

More Than One Way To Effect An LNG Export Ban -- Clever -- September 7, 2022

Link here.

The "Freeport" pales in comparison.

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Memories

We bought this Steiff lioness in Germany back in the late 1980s for our young daughters. 

Kept in pristine condition all these years.

Now for the twins.