Friday, September 24, 2021

TGIF -- September 24, 2021

Movie night: wow, wow, wow: A Hard Day's Night on TCM. Incredible. What a treat. From wiki. The end credits are incredible.

Ale: "Boombox" from the Real ale Brewing Company, Blanco, TX, hill country. 8.1% abv, India Pale Ale. $8.99 / six-pack at Target.

Just Happy To Dance With You:

I'm Happy Just To Dance With You, The Beatles
 
It is amazing all the "trivia" associated with this wonderful song. It was released July 20, 1964; released exactly, to the day, five years before the first moon landing. 

My parents went to England in 1964. Mom brought back a Beatles album for me.  No, I no longer have the album.
 
Tonight's races, eighteen months old:
 

Week 38: September 19, 2021 -- September 25, 2021

Top story of the week:

Top international non-energy stories:

Top international energy stories:

  • Saudi Arabia was not in the news.
  • The UK is in the news. And not in a good way.
  • Natural gas prices surging in the UK; gasoline is being rationed.

Top national non-energy stories:

Top national energy stories:

Top North Dakota non-energy stories:

Top North Dakota energy stories:

Geoff Simon's top North Dakota energy stories:

Operators:

Operations:

Wells:

Fracking:

Pipelines:

Other energy plays:

Bakken economy:

Commentary:

Miscellaneous:

Whiting's TTT Ranch And Others In NWNW 26-154-92, Sanish -- September 24, 2021

These are the three new Whiting permits today:

Three new permits, #38581 - #38583, inclusive:

  • Operator: Whiting
  • Field: Sanish (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
    • Whiting has permits for three TTT Ranch wells, to be sited in NWNW 26-154-92; 
    • they will be sited 255 FNL and between 591 FWL and 531 FWL; 

Already in that drilling unit:

  • 18098, 1,339, Whiting, TTT Ranch 11-26H, Sanish, t7/09; cum 444K 7/21;
  • 18401, 2,251, Whiting, TTT Ranch 21-26H, Sanish, t3/10; cum 473K 7/21;
  • 20444, 309, Whiting, Danita TTT 21-26TFH, Sanish, t10/11; cum 180K 7/21;
  • 23237, 523, Whiting, Brittany TTT 13-26TFH, Sanish, t10/12; cum 166K 7/21;
  • 23236, 1,662, Whiting, Matt TTT 13-26H, Sanish, t10/12; cum 241K 7/21;
  • 25719, 1,210, Whiting, Savannah TTT 41-26H, Sanish, t8/13; cum 286K 7/21;
  • 29809, 1,169, Whiting, Remington TTT 41-26TFH, Sanish, t5/15; cum 242K 7/21;

All of the existing wells are spaced at two-section / 1280 acres, but #23236 and #23237 are much shorter. TD:

  • 18098, 20,100 feet (middle Bakken)
  • 18401, 19,795 feet (middle Bakken)
  • 20444, 20,296 feet (Three Forks)
  • 25719, 17,223 feet (middle Bakken)
  • 29809, 18,624 feet (Three Forks)
  • 23236, 17,278 feet (middle Bakken)
  • 23237, 17,523 feet (Three Forks)

Whiting With Three New Permits In Sanish Oil Field -- September 24, 2021

Apple, Inc: New York City's newest Apple store features [permanent] dedicated pick up zone. Link here. 

  • "Picking up your order from our patented built-in, instant-on, soft-close drawers makes buying the latest Apple device even more rewarding. They're the best drawers Apple has ever made -- we think you're gonna love them."
  • designed by IKEA?

General Milley: what he got right; what he got wrong -- Peggy Noonan at The WSJ. In the big scheme of things I agree with her. But have you noticed how fast the Afghanistan evacuation story disappeared? I mean, that story has really, really disappeared.

Energy poverty: when, not if; just a matter of time. UK, link here:

  • paying the highest ever wholesale electricity prices;
  • suffering the highest ever wholesale natural gas prices
  • rising retail power / gas prices
  • BP is running short of gasoline
  • 1.5 million households have seen their retail energy provider collapse

Peak oil? Worldwide energy shortage shows up in surging coal, gas and oil prices. Link to twitter and then to Reuters.

**************************
Back to the Bakken

Active rigs, NDIC no long reporting active rigs, best guess*:

$73.98
9/24/202109/24/202009/24/201909/24/201809/24/2017
Active Rigs24*11576457

Three new permits, #38581 - #38583, inclusive:

  • Operator: Whiting
  • Field: Sanish (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
    • Whiting has permits for three TTT Ranch wells, to be sited in NWNW 26-154-92; 
    • they will be sited 255 FNL and between 591 FWL and 531 FWL;

One permit renewed:

  • Lime Rock, #37841, State B 3-25-36H-143-97, in Dunn County

NDIC no longer reporting active rigs.

Energy Notes From All Over -- September 24, 2021

WTI: some say WTI closed at $74. Let's check.

Bakken economy: North Dakota aircraft boarding numbers declined in August, m/m, but numbers in Williston continued to rise. Most important word: "continued."

UK: 50-fold jump in power rates. Link to Tsvetana Paraskova. Putin lovin' it. The good news? It's transitory. Likely to last only through 2027.

UK petrol: panic buying overwhelms UK filling stations. Again, simple procedures put in place would prevent it. Odd/even license plates; max: half tank. 

UK / EU: French and Germany electricity wholesale prices (one-year forward) have hit all-time highs, showing that the European energy crunch isn't going away anytime soon. 

Coal: highest levels in thirteen years. Reasons?

  • high natural gas prices (why?);
  • high power demand (why?);
  • nuclear plant closures (why?);
  • low wind generation

Arctic: oil is booming despite strong opposition. Link here. And look at this -- look which American company is among three international E&P companies? Gazprom, Total, and COP. For the record, I'm accumulating shares in two of the three. LOL. American banks providing huge amounts of financing, along with private equity giants like BlackRock. Report provided by a faux environmentalist.

US natural gas: it might not average $10 in 2022, but some pundits see $20+ in some regions.

Groningen: from Alexander Stahel @BurggrabenH -- Groningen was a key EU gas producer (yes, ageing but still solid) and is to be turned off next year due to seismic risk in the region. JSMH. Link here. 

  • a reminder: commodities are priced at the margin, and it exactly those marginal bcfs/barrels/pounds that will be missed most in the coming years and that ARE setting prices. 
  • with Nord Stream 2, the Russians conquer Europe without firing a shot.

***************************
Never Too Old

Go for it.

  • Chuck Grassley: will run for sixth term. Next year he will be 89 years old. But he's still young. 
  • Dianne Feinstein: has already filed papers to run in 2024 when she will be 91 years old.

And they survived Covid-19, the plague year.

No one should complain. US judgeships are generally lifelong appointments.

  • RBG died "in office" at the age of 87.

****************************
Personal Matters

Your resume. What to include; what to leave out. Link here to The WSJ. There's some valuable tidbits for college students. 

Academic coursework: Listing courses taken while earning a degree or certification tells employers nothing about your abilities; it only speaks to your attendance. Neither does a GPA, which only demonstrates that you were a good student. Even if you are a recent college graduate, a better strategy is to write about a group project, a case study you wrote or a hypothetical model you built while in school. These types of details demonstrate to employers what you are capable of far better than a course list or GPA.