Friday, August 7, 2020

Notes From All Over -- Part 3 -- August 7, 2020

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.   

 Market:

  •  SLB: director Mark Papa "scoops" up shares in his biggest purchase in nearly two  years, Barron's

Meng Quits -- Notes From All Over -- Page 2 -- August 7, 2020

Breaking, literally: trouble at Calpers -- abrupt exit hits $400 billion fund. From Bloomberg:

The news landed just after 9 p.m. U.S. Pacific time: the investment chief at California’s massive state pension fund was abruptly stepping down. Before dawn the next day, Sacramento was abuzz -- and a sense of crisis was descending over the mighty California Public Employees’ Retirement System.

Wednesday night’s shock departure of Ben Meng reverberated through the state capital and then across Wall Street on Thursday, where the $400 billion Calpers is a powerful player in everything from the stock market to private equity. Meng, in an interview, said he’d left to focus on his health and family. But a statement from the state controller pointed to something else: an unspecified lapse in judgment that breached conflict-of-interest rules and, even more, hinted at wider oversight problems inside the organization.

The controller, Betty Yee, has called for an emergency board meeting to review the funds’ policies....

A veteran of Morgan Stanley, Lehman Brothers, and Barclays Global Investors, Meng first joined Calpers in 2008. Born in China in 1970, he became a U.S. citizen in 2010 and returned to the country of his birth in 2015 to work as deputy CIO at the State Administration of Foreign Exchange (SAFE). He began his job running Calpers’s assets in January 2019 “to serve those who serve California,” he said in an interview shortly after he started.

What may have been a dream job soon turned sour for Meng. He faced not only the immense pressure ....

Earlier this year, he was accused by Republican Congressman Jim Banks of being a tool for the Chinese government, funneling American money into Chinese hands due to his role at SAFE. Arkansas Senator Tom Cotton and Wyoming representative Liz Cheney, both Republicans, expressed support for Banks’s inquiry into Calpers’s and Meng’s ties to the Chinese government.

Harder to dismiss was Calpers’s failure to hit its annual 7% target during his tenure. The fund reported a return of 4.7% for the latest fiscal year, after gaining about 6.7% in fiscal 2019.

US unemployment rate: falls to 10.2%. Link here. 

Market news.

BRK, link here: 

  • ready to buy? has recently bought:
    • Dominion natural gas assets in July
    • BofA equity in July
  • earnings this Saturday, tomorrow, August 8, 2020, forecast:
    • net income: a record $37.7 billion
  • record cash pile in March, 2020
  • share buybacks: 
    • $5.3 billion between April 23 and July 7, 2020
    • a total near that level would surpass Berkshire's record quarterly repurchases sinces loosening its buyback policy in 2018

Uber: posts $1.8 billion loss in 2Q20; deliveries skyrocket. Link here. 

NOG Reports -- Notes From All Over --- Early Morning Ediiton -- August 7, 2020

First things first: Grenora High School football, which co-ops with Westby District 3 in Montana as the MonDak Thunder, will be switching to 8-man football after competing in 6-man for nearly a decade. -- The Williston Herald.

NOG earnings report, 2Q20, link here: 

  • total debt reduced by $52.2 million in the second quarter, resulting in over $3 million in interest savings per annum
  • strong risk management drove realized commodity hedge gains of $77.4 million in the second quarter
  • cash flow from operations totaled $53.1 million, excluding $48.5 million received from changes in working capital
  • total capital expenditures were $34.5 million in the second quarter
  • wells in process remain near record levels at 26.7 net wells
  • production averaged 23,804 barrels of oil equivalent (“Boe”) per day, driven by material curtailments and shut-ins
  • approximately 26,500 barrels per day of remaining 2020 oil hedged at over $58 per barrel average prices
  • approximately 21,500 barrels per day of 2021 oil hedged at over $54.50 per bbl average prices 
  • NOG is tracked here;

Oil: weekly gain, Bloomberg via Rigzone;

Oil in New York is poised for the biggest weekly advance since early July after U.S. stockpiles plunged further, but the market is facing more OPEC+ supply and still contending with virus-driven demand weakness.

Futures rose above $42 a barrel this week to the highest level in five months with support from a weaker dollar and as U.S. crude inventories posted the biggest back-to-back weekly decline in a year. OPEC and its allies are set to test the appetite for demand as they start returning some supply this month after historic cuts, although Iraq has pledged to trim its output further in August to compensate for missing its target in previous months.

Meanwhile, crude imports into China dropped in July from a record the previous month, with vessels delayed in unloading cargoes as ports became congested with tankers carrying cheaper oil purchased earlier in the year.

 NASA nonsense, link here:

  • white drawrfs, black holes, Eskimo nebula, now considered suspect, politically incorrect 
    • coming: the Intuit (sic) nebula
  • have we lost our collective minds?
  • from the link -- "These nicknames and terms may have historical or culture connotations that are objectionable or unwelcoming, and NASA is strongly committed to addressing them," said Stephen T. Shih, Associate Administrator for Diversity and Equal Opportunity at NASA Headquarters. "Science depends on diverse contributions, and benefits everyone, so this means we must make it inclusive."

Lonesome Friends of Science, John Prine

Two Wells Coming Off Confidentail List -- August 7, 2020

Trump, earlier this week: big numbers Friday, for July, link here:

  • forecast: 1.48 million
  • actual: 1.763 million

Market: stock futures cut losses after stronger-than-expected US jobs report:

  • prior to report: Dow down about 150 points; all major indices in the red;
  • after report: all indices turn green (though most are now back to red); Dow goes green

OPEC basket, link here:  $45.17

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Back to the Bakken

NOG: reports 2Q20 earnings, link here. 

 Active rigs:

$41.45
8/7/202008/07/201908/07/201808/07/201708/07/2016
Active Rigs1260665934

Wells coming off confidential list -- Friday, August 7, 2020: 16 for the month; 87 for the quarter, 533 for the year:

  • 36749, drl/NC, XTO, FBIR Lawrence 24X-26D, Heart Butte,
  • 35143, SI/A, CLR, Durant 2-12HSL, East Fork, t--; cum 27K one month;

 RBN Energy: a saga of NGL storage -- RBN's greatest hits. 

Over the past five years, the production of natural gas liquids from gas processing plants has soared by almost 2 million barrels per day (2 MMb/d), or about 60%. That has been great news for natural gas producers, processors, and end-use markets. But there is a catch: the rate of production does not match up with demand. While production is a steady, “ratable” volume, demand is anything but ratable. Demand swings with the gasoline blending season, cold weather (or lack thereof) in the propane market, export demand, petchem feedstock economics, the impact of COVID-19 on transportation fuels, and a myriad of other factors. The flywheel that balances supply and demand on any given day is storage. Not just any storage, though. For NGLs, storage of large volumes means salt caverns. Huge caverns thousands of feet below the surface. 
Today, we update one of RBN’s Greatest Hits blogs and take a deep dive into the history of NGL storage — all the way back to Smoky Billue.

Thursday, August 6, 2020

Marathon With Three New Permits -- August 6, 2020

ICYMI:
  • AAPL is up $ 65 per share since the announcement to split 4 for 1
  • the tech-heavy NASDAQ clinched a new record high in early trading, and
  • closed above the 11,000-mark for the first time after initially climbing above it on Wednesday, August 5, 2020
Housing industry booming in North Dakota, link at KXNET;
The pandemic caused a major slow down for home construction and sales, but more recently, that’s not the case anymore.
The Commerce Department reported the construction of new homes across the US jumped by 17.3% in June. That increase is definitely showing right here in North Dakota– even though the start of his year didn’t look so good for those in the housing industry.
EOG results: link here.
  • generated positive net cash provided by operating activities and free cash flow
  • produced 7% more crude oil for 26% less capital expenditures than forecast 
  • per-unit cash operating costs below targets
  • discovered 500 Bcf net natural gas resource potential in Trinidad
  • increased 2020 well cost savings target to 12% from 8%, supporting improved outlook for capital efficiency
  • EOG Resources, Inc.today reported a second quarter 2020 net loss of $909 million, or $1.57 per share, compared with second quarter 2019 net income of $848 million, or $1.46 per share. Adjusted non-GAAP net loss for the second quarter 2020 was $131 million, or $0.23 per share, compared with adjusted non-GAAP net income of $762 million, or $1.31 per share, for the same prior year period. Please refer to the attached tables for the reconciliation of non-GAAP measures to GAAP measures.
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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

$41.95
8/6/202008/06/201908/06/201808/06/201708/06/2016
Active Rigs1260645834

Three new permits, #37776 - #37778:
  • Operator: MRO
  • Field: Antelope ; Reunion Bay :
  • Comments:
    • Ida USA: 1404' FNL 1795' FEL; SWNE 34-152-94, Antelope oil field;
    • Bulls Eye USA: 400' FSL 476' FWL; SWSW 32-151-93; Reunion Bay;
    • Norman USA: 400' FSL 521' FWL, SWSW 32-151-93; Reunion Bay;
One producing well (a DUC) reported as completed:
  • 34730, loc/A, Hess, BB-Federal B-151-95-2122H-2, Blue Buttes, t--; cum 85K 2.5 months; a 30K month;