Worth A Stand-Alone Post -- The Badlands Of North Dakota -- Valley Of The Dinosaurs -- April 3, 2019

Valley of the Last Dinosaurs from MEL Films on Vimeo.  

See this post, also.

Marmarth, ND.

Middle of the North Dakota Badlands.

See first comment: this link also. Pretty amazing. This one from UC Berkeley News.

Oh-Oh! What Did WTI Just Do? Dropped 0.4% -- April 3, 2019

Immediate analysis: from oilprice.

The perils of predicting! Wow, Platts really got it wrong. What did Platts predict? See this link.

The EIA weekly petroleum report: link here.

• crude oil inventory: surged 7.2 million bbls from the previous week; OMG!
• crude oil inventory: now at 449.5 million bbls; considered to be at the five year average for this time of the year; interesting, huh?
• refineries: operating at 86.4% of capacity; at low end; 
• at week 19, at  449.5 million bbls in storage, we are now higher than we were when we started this exercise back in November, 2018, when we were at 446.9 million bbls
• we will get a full analysis of this (and the natural gas fill rate) this Sunday, at "Focus on Fracking"
• gasoline and distillate fuel production unremarkable
• US crude oil imports increased slightly, but in big scheme of things, simply white noise
• US crude oil imports: over the past four weeks, imports average 12% less than same four-week period last year (2018)

Re-balancing:

Week	Week Ending	Change	Million Bbls Storage
Week 0	November 21, 2018	4.9	446.9
Week 1	November 28, 2018	3.6	460.5
Week 2	December 6, 2018	-7.3	449.2
Week 3	December 12, 2018	-1.2	442.0
Week 4	December 19, 2018	-0.5	441.5
Week 5	December 28, 2018	0.0	441.4
Week 6	January 4, 2019	0.0	441.4
Week 7	January 9, 2019	-1.7	439.7
Week 8	January 16, 2019	-2.7	437.1
Week 9	January 24, 2019	8.0	445.0
Week 10	January 31, 2019	0.9	445.9
Week 11	February 6, 2019	1.3	447.2
Week 12	February 13, 2019	3.6	450.8
Week 13	February 21, 2019	3.7	454.8
Week 14	February 27, 2019	-8.6	445.9
Week 15	March 6, 2019	7.1	452.9
Week 16	March 13, 2019	-3.9	449.1
Week 17	March 20, 2019	-9.6	439.5
Week 18	March 27, 2019	2.8	442.3
Week 19	April 3, 2019	7.2	449.5

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Co-Ed Technical School

We're looking into sending Sophia to a co-ed technical school this summer, help prepare her for a socialist future.

We've found her necessary supplies.

Wednesday, April 3, 2019, T+91, Part 2 -- Nothing About The Bakken

Link here.

It is said that if we don't act within the next twelve years, the earth is lost. (That was said back in 1994, also, but I digress.)

But even so, with something so dire, the UN gives both China and India a "pass."

Note the change in CO2 emissions (FWIW) among various countries from 1990 to 2017.

It's a difficult spreadsheet to read, especially for someone like Occasional-Cortex. Hopefully someone will change this into a bar graph or something similar to get the full effect.

The percentage changes are bad enough but look at the raw numbers, the actual tons of emitted CO2. China is more than twice that of the US. India is in the same ballpark as the EU.

India:

• GDP: $2.6 trillion
• CO2 emissions: 2.5 million metric tonnes/year

Germany:

• GDP: $3.7 trillion
• CO2 emission:  0.8 million metric tonnes/year

As Germany and India continue to add more coal plants, the situation will only get worse.

It was data like this that Facebook decided to ban ZeroHedge.

Subsequently, apparently, Facebook has reversed its decision and says it does not ban ZeroHedge.

 

Wednesday, April 3, 2019, T+91, Part 1

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

Day 91 of the new Congress. List of accomplishments, bills passed, bills pending:

And we move on.

Market, pre-market. Watchlist:

• WTI: $62.60
• Dow, futures: +131
• D: up 28 cents
• ENB: up 19 cents
• JAG: up 12 cents 
• NOG: up 1 cent
• AAPL: down 67 cents 
• XLNX: up 92 cents; now trading over $130 (just barely)
• CVX: up 84 cents
• RDS-B: up 64 cents, or about 1%
• BRK-B: up $1.03; one doesn't often see BRK-B trading pre-market
• TSLA: up a dollar today after closing down $3 yesterday; trading below $290

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Back to the Bakken

Of the fourteen wells coming off the confidential list so far this quarter, starting April 1, 2019, only four wells actually reported an IP. There were eight DUCs and three remained on DRL status:

Wednesday, April 3, 2019: 14 wells for the month; 14 wells for the quarter

• 35499, SI/NC, RimRock Oil & Gas, MC MHA 24-10HU, Moccasin Creek, no production data, 
• 35390, SI/NC, Newfield, Dahl 150-98-3-8-8HLW, Siverston, no production data,

Wells coming off the confidential list today -- Tuesday, April 2, 2019: 12 wells for the month; 12 wells for the quarter

• 35502, SI/NC,  RimRock Oil & Gas, MC MHA 24-10-3H, Moccasin Creek, no production data,
• 35391, SI/NC, Newfield, Dahl 150-98-5-8-7H, Siverston, no production data,
• 34959, 363, Lime Rock Resources, Federal Staael 2-32-5H-160-90L, Dimond, t10/18; cum 49K 2/19;
• 34412, drl, Crescent Point Energy, CPEUSC Dorothy 4-19-18-158N-98W MBH, Rainbow, no production data, 
• 34411, drl, Crescent Point Energy, CPEUSC Dois 7-19-18-158N-98W TFH, Rainbow, no production data,
• 34409, drl, Crescent Point Energy, CPEUSC Dois 6-19-18-158N-98W MBH, Rainbow, no production data, 
• 33668, 3,278, MRO, Fannie USA 21-1H, Reunion Bay, t2/19; cum 31K after 18 days;
• 29891, 316,  Lime Rock Resources, William Sadowsky 7-4-9H-142-96, Manning, t1/19; bcum 12: 2/19;

Monday, April 1, 2019: 4 wells for the month; 4 wells for the quarter

• 35501, SI/NC, Rimrock Oil, MC MHA 24-10-3TFH, Moccasin Creek, no production data,
• 35436, SI/NC, XTO, Emma 31X-30HXE, Alkali Creek, no production data,
• 35219, SI/NC, XTO, Teddy Federal 12X-5HXE, North Fork, no production data,
• 35218, SI/NC, XTO, Teddy Federal 12X-5D, North Fork, no production data,

Rigs Drop To 62 In North Dakota -- Aprile 3, 2019

Sempra: gets licenses to export US LNG out of Mexico. "Laundering" natural gas? LOL. 

The US Department of Energy has authorized the Energia Costa Azul LNG export project in northwest Mexico to re-export US pipeline gas as LNG to countries that do not have free trade agreements with the US.

The DOE on 29 March issued two 20-year non-FTA export licenses to ECA, which is owned by Mexico City-based Infrastructure Energetica Nova, which in turn is 66.43 percent owned by San Diego-based Sempra Energy.

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Back to the Bakken

Wells coming off the confidential list today -- Wednesday, April 3, 2019: 14 wells for the month; 14 wells for the quarter

• 35499, SI/NC, RimRock Oil & Gas, MC MHA 24-10HU, Moccasin Creek, no production data, 
• 35390, SI/NC, Newfield, Dahl 150-98-3-8-8HLW, Siverston, no production data,

Active rigs:

$62.60	4/3/2019	04/03/2018	04/03/2017	04/03/2016	04/03/2015
Active Rigs	62	58	48	29	94

RBN Energy: the frack sand revolution, part 3. Archived, along with parts 1 and 2.

A primary focus of E&Ps during the Shale Era has been driving down the cost of drilling and completing wells — doing so lowers producers’ break-even costs and increases their profitability. With the volumes of frac sand being used in the Permian and many other plays having grown dramatically in the past five years, a big push is on not only to minimize the cost of the sand itself, but to maximize the efficiency of sand delivery and sand management at the well site. All this has been spurring E&Ps to assume responsibility from oilfield service companies for the frac sand supply chain — anything from directly sourcing the sand to managing “last-mile” logistics. Today, we continue our series on the rapidly changing frac-sand world, this time concentrating on producers’ growing involvement in sand procurement and management.