Monday, February 13, 2017

Market And Energy News, T+24, February 13, 2017

The Market Close

 Apple shares close at all-time high. 

S & P 500 tops $20 trillion as Wall Street trades Trump.

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Early Afternoon Trading

Dow Jones Industrials: up almost 200 points. This is absolutely insane. In a good way. 
NYSE:
  • new highs, 228: the banks; CNP, Deere, Honda, Norfolk Southern, Tallgrass Energy Partners,
  • new lows, 4 -- yup, just four
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Mid-Morning Trading

The Dow Jones Industrials average is up 133 points, now over 20,400. This is clearly more than anticipation of "tax breaks." This is all about the Trump administration believe in making America great again, and it's not just based on "tax cuts":
  • cheap, accessible energy
  • foreign leaders beating a path to Washington to look for investment opportunities in the US
  • regulatory relief (especially in bank stocks)
  • tax breaks (only a small part of all of this)
  • ObamaCare -- whatever happens -- won't cost corporations more
  • immigration policy will have counterintuitive effect on minimal wages: all things being equal, by the end of 2017, certainly by 2018, we should see significant increase in average wages being paid in US
  • the "make-up" of the Federal Reserve Board will change in the next few months 
  • BREXIT; FREXIT?; Greece crumbling; Venezuela crumbling; bonds in Germany returning negative rates
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 It Only Took Four Years

Alberta Clipper, story here, with byline from Bismarck, ND, data points:
  • four-year review
  • Enbridge Energy Partners
  • process began in 2012
  • goal: to transport 800,000 bopd on an existing 3-mile section of pipeline on the company's Alberta Clipper pipeline 
  • carries tar sand oil from Canada across northeastern ND and northern Minnesota to Superior, WI
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US Crude Oil Production Forecast
 
With all the talk about the Permian recently, let's see what the EIA forecasts. Today, via Twitter, from 
EIA:


In addition, the following graphic was posted by the EIA earlier this year, August 22, 2016:


Note the amount of dark blue (Bakken) vs the Wolfcamp (blue).

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The Opening: Since the election: $2 trillion added. Dow easily hits 20,330. Up 2,000 points since the election.S&P hits a record high, 2,322. NASDAQ hits record high, 5,752.  Another triple-digit jump on the Dow today? [Yup, a few minutes later, up 103 points, though it has dropped back a bit.]

NYSE:
  • new highs, 184 in early trading: banks across the board; CNP, Deere, 
  • new lows, 0.
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Futures

Futures: suggest opening at all-time high for all three indices. Again.

OPEC: must be in a world of hurt. Asking non-OPEC producers to decrease production. Story here.

Wind: North Dakota becoming a powerhouse. Story here.
Texas is the leader in producing wind energy -- last year, it became the first state to surpass a capacity of 20,000 megawatts. Of the 41 states that have wind farms, North Dakota ranked fourth in terms of installation of wind energy.

Here Come De Judge, Here Come De Judge, T+24 -- February 13, 2017

Active rigs:


2/13/201702/13/201602/13/201502/13/201402/13/2013
Active Rigs3641137188183

RBN Energy: more Houston crude distribution infrastructure on the way.


Scott Adams: good example of our two-move reality. 


DAPL (again): here come de judge, her come de judge. "Full story" here. Judge, apparently, to hear case today. From The Bismarck Tribune:
A federal district court judge has denied a temporary restraining order sought to stop drilling of the Dakota Access Pipeline across the Missouri River/Lake Oahe.
Judge James E. Boasberg denied the order following Monday afternoon’s hearing in U.S. District Court in Washington, D.C., and required the pipeline company to provide updates Feb. 21 and every Monday thereafter on when oil will begin to flow through the river-crossing pipe.

Sunday, February 12, 2017

BR's Outlaw Wagon, Outlaw Gap, and Hammerhead Wells In Sand Creek Oil Field

Locator: 10001OUTLAWGAP.

May 24, 2023: production data updated.

June 8, 2020:


February 12, 2017:



*********************************************************************


The wells / files:

  • 36111, 0 (no typo; typical for BR), BR, Outlaw Gap 44-23TFH, Sand Creek, minimal production, added 5/22; t--; cum 118K 3/23; cum 195K 2/25;
  • 32987, PNC, BR, Outlaw Wagon 14-23MBH-ULW, no production data,
  • 32988, PNC, BR, Outlaw Wagon 14-23TFH, no production data,
  • 32989, PNC, BR, Outlaw Gap 14-23MBH, no production data,
  • 32990, PNC, BR, Outlaw Gap 24-23TFH, no production data,
  • 32991, PNC, BR, Outlaw Gap 24-23MBH, no production data,


  • 28778, 1,483, BR, Hammerhead 11-26MBH, t5/15; cum 184K 8/20; off line 3/20; nine days in 4/20; very intermittent since; doing very well now; cum 206K 7/21; cum 207K 7/21; so incredibly sporadic; cum 224K 2/22 but only five days in 4/22 after being offline since 1/22; cum 226K 5/22; cum 238K 3/23; cum 262K 2/25;


  • 28779, 1,443, BR, Hammerhead 11-26TFH, t6/15; cum 187K 8/20; off line as of 11/19; coming back on line 3/20; very intermittent since 4/20; cum 201K 7/21; cum 209K 4/22; sporadic; off line again; cum 209K 5/22; small amount for each of last two months; cum 211K 3/23; cum 232K 11/24; offline.


  • 28780, 1,603, BR, Hammerhead 21-26MBH, t6/15; cum 250K 8/20; off line as of 3/20; back on line 4/20; off line as of 7/21; cum 262K 6/21; cum 272K 4/22; sporadic; cum 273K 5/22; now three months of full production; cum 288K 3/23; cum 315K 2/25;


  • 28783, 1,512, BR, Hammerhead 21-26TFH, t6/15; cum 172K 8/20; off line as of 12/19; remains off line, 3/20; back on line 4/20; very intermittent; off line as of 6/21; cum 187K 5/21; cum 198K 4/22; cum 199K 5/22; cum 204K 3/23; cum 216K 2/25; offline;


  • 28782, 1,488, BR, Hammerhead 31-26-2MBH, t5/15; cum 198K 8/20;off line 1/20; remains off line 3/20; back on line 4/20; very intermittent; cum 213K 7/21; cum 217K 11/21; off line; cum 217K 11/21; offline; cum 218K 5/22; back on line; just went off line; cum 227K 2/23; cum 246K 2/25;


  • 28781, 1,080, BR, Hammerhead 31-26TFH, t5/15; cum 148K 8/20; very intermittent; cum 159K 7/21; sporadic last four months; cum 164K 11/21; sporadic; cum 164K 3/22 but off line again. Cum 174K 3/23; cum 184K 2/25;
  • 28784, 1,220, BR, Hammerhead 41-26TFH; t4/15; cum 238K 5/21; off line 5/21; cum 238K 5/21; sporadic, off line again, cum 251K 4/22; now back on line; cum 165K 5/22; cum 267K 3/23; cum 283K 2/25;


  • 20832, 1,200, BR, Outlaw Gap 34-23TFH, t1/12; cum 318K 8/20;small jump in production in 4/18; very intermittent; cum 330K 7/21; very sporadic; off line again, cum 336K 9/21; cum 336K 5/22 -- just starting to come back on line? Cum 409K 1/25; off line.


  • 20812,1,884, BR, Hammerhead 31-26MBH, t4/12; cum 432K 8/20; huge bump in production after it came back on-line in July, 2015; went from 5,000 bbls / month to 12,000 bbls / month -- a sundry form dated August 24, 2015, reported the completion of a "workover" but no evidence of a re-frack; FracFocus with no data for a re-frac (fracked in 2012); see graphic here. Off line 3/20; remains off line 7/21; sporadic, cum 442K 3/22;  off line again. Back to "active"; 442K 5/22; cum 462K 1/25; off line.


  • 28784, 1,200, BR, Hammerhead 41-26TFH, 35 stages, 4.1 million lbs, t4/15; off line cum 238K 7/21; cum 251K 4/22; still sporadic, cum 251K 5/22; cum 283K 2/25.

Oroville Dam Spillway (California) Ready To Fail -- February 12, 2017

Damn: Weren't "we" told just yesterday the dam was in no danger of failing? Maybe it's not that big a story. It's not the top story over at The Los Angeles Times where the big story is whether Beyonce or Adele "will win the night." 819 MW.  San Onufre: 2 x 1127 MW. [Note: the dam is in no danger of failing; it is the emergency spillway, that if it fails, will unleash a 30-foot wall of water.]

 
 


Good, bad, or indifferent: we're seeing social media do a better job keeping us informed than news bureaus at major networks. Is this a tipping point in social media news reporting? The CNN/Iran hostage moment?

Market futures: mean "squat," but for the archives, the Dow Jones Industrials Average Index futures are up 14 38 56 points. 

Soccer. Horrendous wind. No excuse. Our team took second in the tournament, 3 - 2. Our granddaughter played the entire game despite three reserves on the bench. She took the loss very well. It was the season's opener -- the tournament does not "count" but a) the girls took it very, very seriously; and, b) the girls saw how their team "compared" in one of the best soccer clubs in America, FC Dallas. I would be curious which soccer club in America is considered the best. Must be in south Florida, or maybe California. Possibly Texas. I don't know.  A lot of FC Dallas soccer jerseys around here.

First to be fired? Michael Flynn? Al Franken leading the charge.

Photo-op: can hardly wait for the photo op of The Donald and Justin. I think we're going to see the classic Trump look. Trump is 70 years old; Justin is 45 years old. One is about as naive as one can be.

Global warming hoax / house of cards beginning to fall. Link here. 

Up to "O"? Next winter storm on its way, in footsteps of Winter Storm Niko.

Let It Snow, Dean Martin

Statoil's Charlie Sorenson And Bures Wells In Alger Oil Field







29482, 3,161, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 4H, Alger, t11/15; cum 289K 8/19;
29483, 3,711, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 5H, Alger, t7/15; cum 312K 8/19;
29488, 2,287, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 7TFH, Alger, t11/15; cum 203K 8/19;
29485, 3,468, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 6TFH, Alger, t7/15; cum 247K 8/19;
29486, 3,575, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 6H, Alger, t10/15; cum 276K 8/19;
29487, 3,231, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 3H, Alger, t7/15; cum 278K 8/19;
29484, 1,773, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 5TFH, Alger, t7/15; cum 252K 8/19;

19058, 2,834, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 1TFH, Alger, t11/11; cum 398K 8/19; and, yes, the production jumped from 3,000 bbls/month (4/15) to 14,000 bbls/month (8/15); the well had been shut in for less than two months;
19788, 3,742, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 1H, Alger, t11/11; cum 328K 8/19; this well has had sporadic production, but it did show a slight bump in production after it came back on-line after an extended period of being shut in during late 2015 and early 2016;
20306, 2,232, Equinor/Statoil, Bures, Alger, t10/11; cum 455K 8/19; bump in production not noted, or minimal, if any
20305, 3,431, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 2H, Alger, t12/11; cum 434K 8/19; no bump in production even after it had been taken off-line for a couple of months;

23286, 2,316, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 4TFH, Alger, t9/13; cum 171K 8/19; most interesting; sporadic production for this well, until after 2016 when significant bump in production, and now appears to be back on track;
23285, 1,398, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 3TFH, Alger, t9/13; cum 168K 8/19; same with this well; sporadic production for this well, until after 2016 when significant bump in production, and now appears to be back on track;

32905, 1,984, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 4XE 1H-R, Alger, t12/16; cum 219K 8/19;

30678, 455, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 8TFH, Three Forks NOS, 48 stages, 7.8 million lbs, Alger, t12/16; cum 161K 8/19;
30677, 1,072, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 8TFH, Alger, Three Forks B2, 50 stages, 8 million lbs, t11/16; cum 320K 8/19;
30676, 404, Equinor/Statoil, Bures 20-29 XE 1H, Alger, 49 stages, 7.8 million lbs, t12/16; cum 223K 8/19;
31230, dry, Equinor/Statoil, Charlie Sorenson 17-8 XE 1H, Alger, t8/16;