Monday, August 3, 2015

Intermittent Energy Company Diversifies Into Natural Gas -- August 3, 2015

It's funny / ironic / coincidental how some things happen to play out on the blog. At the same time I was putting together the post with regard to natural gas pipelines from Texas to Mexico, unbeknownst to me, a reader was sending me a link to an article on another Texas natural gas pipeline story.

Bloomgberg is reporting that NextEra Partners, LP, will "buy seven Texas gas pipelines for $2.1 billion." When the deal was announced, shares in the partnership fell the most they had fallen in over a year.
“They’ll be selling a lot of equity to finance this acquisition,” Kit Konolige, senior utility analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, who doesn’t own or rate NextEra or its partnership, said Monday in an e-mail. “Current NextEra partnership shareholders may be concerned about their stake being diluted.”
NextEra Energy Partners fell 10 percent to $31.94 at 10:26 a.m. in New York, the most since June, 2014. NextEra rose 3.2 percent to $108.57.
But this is what caught my eye, and I'm sure caught the eye(s) of everyone who read the story:
The purchase marks the first foray into pipelines for NextEra Energy Partners, which was formed in 2014. Before Monday’s transaction, the partnership had focused on buying renewable-energy power assets from its creator.
Back to the lede:
NextEra Energy Partners LP, the wind and solar power generator controlled by NextEra Energy Inc., agreed to buy seven natural gas pipelines in Texas for $2.1 billion, adding sales of the power plant fuel to Mexico.

By buying closely held NET Midstream, NextEra Energy Partners will gain the ability to ship 3 billion cubic feet of Texas shale gas a day, with the potential to expand that by 1 billion cubic feet. NET’s assets include a pipeline in the Eagle Ford formation, the top U.S. gas field by proved reserves.
So, this company, formed in 2014 -- that was, like, last year? The company lasts one year before it  diversifies into fossil fuel. I guess they need natural gas to support their hobby industry if government tax credits don't come through.

Speaks volumes.

Natural Gas From Texas To Mexico "Skyrocketing" -- Forbes -- August 3, 2015

 Updates

August 4, 2015: Bloomberg/Rigzone has article on same subject. 

Later, 3:48 p.m. Central Time: intermittent energy company buys seven natural gas pipelines in Texas for $2.1 billion.

Later, 2:23 p.m. Central Time: see first comment. To those pipelines in the original post, add this one:
  • NET Mexico Pipeline, 120 miles; as of December, 2014; 2.1 Bcf/d; from the Agua Dulce Hub, Nueces County, Texas, to a point near Rio Grande City, Texas. 

Original Post
 
This is another must-read from Forbes magazine, covering: three (3) existing pipelines and six (6) proposed pipelines with combined capacity of 6.5 Bcf/d and representing capital budgets in excess of $7 billion.

Texas has 300,000 miles of pipe; Mexico has about 9,000 miles of pipe.

Existing:
  • Sierrita, Kinder Morgan, on-line last year, 1.9 Bcf/day, 60 miles from Tucson to Sasabe, AZ,estimates: 4.6 Bcf/d by 2024
  • KM Tejas system, Morgan Border Pipeline, Kinder Morgan, 97 miles, Hidalgo County, TX, to King Ranch, Kleburg County, Texas, 300 million cubic feet/day, bidirectional capability
  • Mier-Monterrey Pipeline, KMI, Starr County, TX, to Monterrey, Mexico, 375 million cubic feet/day
Newly announced:
  • Nueva Era Pipeline, Howard Midstream Energy Partners, 200 miles, Webb County Hub to Escobedo, Nuevo Leon, Mexico, on-line July, 2017; 600 mcf/day
  • South Texas-Tuxpan Pipeline, largest proposed natural gas pipeline project in South Texas; 497 miles under the Gulf of Mexico from South Texas to Tuxpan; 2.6 Bcf/day; start date, June, 2018
  • Hidalgo-Reynosa Pipeline, Houston Pipe Line, Hidalgo County, TX, to Reynosa, Tamaulipas, Mexico, 140 mcf/day
  • Trans Pecos Pipeline, Energy Transfer Partners and others, Pecos, TX, to Presidio; 1.4 bcf/day, but local opposition may impede construction
  • Comanche Trail Pipeline, 192 miles, Waha hub at San Elizario, just south of El Paso; Carlos Slim, Mexico's richest man is part owner; 1.1 Bcf/day
  • Roadrunner Gas Transmission Pipeline, ONEOK, Coyanose, TX, to San Elizario, TX; on-line 1Q16; 170 MMcf/d; second phase will increase that to 570 MMcf/d, to be completed by 1Q17; third and final phase will increase that to 640 MMcf/d, to be completed in 2019
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Rocket Man

Rocket Man, Elton John

August 3, 2015 -- Part IV; Saudi Imports; Muscle Cars, Jeeps, SUVs Are Back

Winners. July's auto sales:
Chrysler, Nissan: sales rise more than expected; Chrysler sales increase 6% on strength of Jeep
Ford: best July in nine years;
  • total Ford Motor Company U.S. sales up 5 percent last month – its best July since 2006; retail sales up 5 percent;
  • Ford F-Series has best July retail sales results in nine years, while still delivering record average transaction pricing; 
  • Ford commercial vans post best July sales in 15 years;
  • Ford brand SUV sales up 11 percent last month for best July sales performance in 10 years. sales of new Ford Explorer increase 27 percent, all-new Ford Edge up 17 percent, Ford Escape up 10 percent – an all-time July sales record;
  • Fusion achieves best July ever; 
  • Mustang has best July performance since 2008; and,
  • Lincoln brand delivers best July sales results in a decade, driven by strong demand for its newest SUVs, which post best July sales since 2001

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Crude Oil 

Losers. Being reported by Reuters/John Kemp:
The biggest losers from the current price war between OPEC and the shale producers seem set to be producers outside the Middle East and North America caught in the cross-fire.
Expensive production from the North Sea, Canada's oil sands, offshore megaprojects, weaker African and Latin American members of OPEC, and frontier exploration areas around the world are all being squeezed hard by the price slump.
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OPEC Imports

I'm not sure when EIA first posted this data, but it's the most recent data available, for the month of May, 2015 (it was probably posted sometime in July).  Saudi oil imports into the US actually increased slightly month-over-month:


Note:
  • huge increase in oil imports from Persian Gulf and OPEC between December, 2014, and May, 2015
  • huge increase in oil imports from Saudi Arabia and Venezuela during same period
  • Nigeria takes a big hit; Iraq stable
The plunge in oil prices began in October, 2014, with the announcement of the "oil share war" by Saudi Arabia. A quick glance of the spreadsheet at this site suggests historical imports of crude oil from Saudi Arabia ran about 45 million bbls for the month of May (compared to 38 million bbls in May, 2015). In other words, the comparison between December and May is not a good comparison but it is of some interest I suppose. The better comparisons can be made at the linked spreadsheet. However, comparing the imports by country is very enlightening.

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Book Corner

From Adam Kirsch's book review of Major Works On Religion and Politics, by Reinhold Niebuhr, edited by Elisabeth Sifton, in The New York Review of Books. 
This selection of Reinhold Niebuhr’s work, edited by his daughter Elisabeth Sifton, is the 263rd volume in the Library of America; and it is possible that the single sentence that appears on page 705 is known to more people, and has affected them more deeply, than anything else the library has ever published:
God, give us grace to accept with serenity the things that cannot be changed, courage to change the things that should be changed, and the wisdom to distinguish the one from the other.
This is the original version of what has come to be known in many slight variations as the Serenity Prayer, under which name it can be found in millions of American homes in every medium imaginable—posters, refrigerator magnets, placemats, even tattoos (the Internet offers dozens of examples). Much of this popularity is owed to Alcoholics Anonymous, which adopted Niebuhr’s prayer as an official meditation.
Surely most of the people who have turned to the Serenity Prayer in times of trouble know little about the man who wrote it.
Niebuhr’s achievements as an intellectual, his influential contributions to public debate from the post–World War I years through the cold war and the civil rights movement, his reputation as a liberal thinker and activist, even his status as President Obama’s favorite theologian—these do nothing to cement the authority of the prayer, which stands on its own as a piece of seemingly timeless wisdom. Yet it is possible to read the whole of Niebuhr’s thought through the lens of the Serenity Prayer, which is a more complicated and challenging text than it may first appear.

Monday, August 3, 2015 -- Part III; Ledecky Wins Swimming Heats By 27 Seconds

Tweeting now:  Med/NWE diesel cargo premium hits $10.25/metric ton, an 8-mth high, on well-supplied NWE market, supportive Med demand. [Mediterranean/Northwest Europe diesel]

Original Post
 
Breaking news, reported by WSJ less than an hour ago: Katie Ledecky breaks another swimming record. 18-year-old American swimmer breaks her own record in World Championships qualifying heat in Kazan:
KAZAN, Russia—It turns out Katie Ledecky was just getting warmed up.
Roughly 18 hours after winning the gold medal and the 400-meter freestyle Sunday night, Ledecky, broke her own world record in the 1,500-meter freestyle in a qualifying heat of the World Championships.
Ledecky, the 18-year-old sensation who just graduated from high school in Bethesda, Maryland, blew away the field Monday, winning the heats by nearly 27 seconds.
Ledecky, who rarely celebrates her victories, even cracked a smile, and briefly waved her index finger when she saw her time flash on the scoreboard, something she didn’t do Sunday evening when she won her first gold medal of the meet and looked almost disappointed that she had won the race without breaking her world record.
She had no reason for disappointment Monday morning, during a heat when she said she wasn’t even trying to set a new mark. “I wasn’t kicking much,” Ledecky said shortly after the race. “I’m in quite a bit of shock right now.”
On the surface, Ledecky appears to have a bizarrely businesslike approach to her craft. She speaks mostly in unemotional tones and approaches her training and races with the measured style that is extremely rare in someone so young. She is the polar opposite of Missy Franklin, the 20-year-old champion who won four gold medals in London and is all-exuberance, all the time.
North Dakota coolness.

Monday, August 3, 2015 -- Part II

Sempra Energy to buy Pemex's stake in natural gas pipeline JV for $1.33 billion.
  • Sempra Energy's Mexican subsidiary said late Friday it will take full control of a Mexican natural gas pipeline business in a deal valued at $1.33B.
  • SRE's IEnova unit owned 50% of the Gasoductos de Chihuahua joint venture, and Mexico's state oil company Pemex owned the other half, and now expects to buy Pemex's stake within the next 120 days, pending approval from Mexican regulators.
  • Gasoductos de Chihuahua owns three natural gas pipelines, an ethane pipeline, a liquid natural gas pipeline and a liquid natural gas storage terminal.
  • SRE said the purchase will add ~$0.05/share to its annual profit in 2016, and ~$0.10/share by 2019.
MDU, OTTR, QEP will report earnings after close of market today.

Noble Energy beats by $0.18, misses on revs; co raises 2015 sales volumes guidance: Reports Q2 (Jun) earnings of $0.26 per share, $0.18 better than the Capital IQ Consensus Estimate of $0.08; revenues fell 47.2% year/year to $730 mln vs the $952.75 mln consensus.
  • Total organic capital spend in 2015 remains unchanged at $2.9 bln for legacy Noble Energy assets plus $165 mln incremental capex allocated to the Eagle Ford/Delaware assets (post the closing of the transaction).
  • Full year 2015 Noble Energy sales volumes, prior to the inclusion of Rosetta assets, have been increased to between 305-320 MBoe/d, reflecting strong confidence in underlying performance and development execution for the second half of the year, up from 300-315 MBoe/d.
  • Third quarter sales volumes are anticipated to be 345 to 365 MBoe/d, which includes the Eagle Ford and Delaware assets for the period of July 20, 2015 to September 30, 2015.
  • Fourth quarter 2015 sales volumes are expected to increase to a range of 375 to 400 MBoe/d.
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At the Chado Tea Room @ Japanese Museum
Los Angeles, CA

Arianna, 12-y/o
a connoisseur of tea
 
Olivia, 9 y/o
first time