Friday, February 21, 2014

Friday -- February 21, 2014

A picture (or a graphic) is worth a thousand words:


Let's hope the winter doesn't go on too much longer, and there's a bit of gap until global warming hits this summer and all the air conditioners are in use.


Active rigs in North Dakota:


2/21/201402/21/201302/21/201202/21/201102/21/2010
Active Rigs18318420117094


RBN Energy: exporting compressed natural gas to the Caribbean.
A brief sidebar on the mechanics and economics of CNG versus LNG. The compression process for CNG increases the pressure of the gas to about 3,600 psi—from about 300 psi in gas pipelines—and does not require any refrigeration. The process for converting pipeline gas into LNG, in contrast, involves cooling gas to a liquid form at about minus 260 degrees F and keeping it cool in cryogenic containers or specialized tankers with insulated walls; gas liquefaction also removes oxygen, carbon dioxide, sulfur, and water from the natural gas, making LNG almost pure methane (plus small quantities of other hydrocarbons like ethane and propane). That gives LNG about twice the energy density of CNG. The bottom line is that CNG compression/loading and unloading / decompression facilities—and CNG-carrying ships--are much less complex and less expensive than their LNG counterparts, with the trade-off being LNG’s much higher energy density and long-distance, high-volume economics. That makes CNG a more attractive alternative for smaller-volume, shorter-distance hauls like Emera CNG’s Florida-to-the-Caribbean plan.
Reuters is reporting, not all is going well for Statoil in the Arctic:
Norway's Statoil drilled a third disappointing well near its Johan Castberg find in the Arctic Barents Sea, casting further doubt on the $15.5 billion project that is already on hold because of high costs. Statoil said it found gas in a well near Castberg, a setback for the oil company as it looks for more oil as part of an ambitious exploration campaign aimed at securing more resources and improving the project's profitability.

The Wall Street Journal

Ah, finally some inflation. Just what the Fed ordered. Just in time for the 2014 elections. Consumer prices edge up, moving closer to Fed target. This is an interesting story coming at this particular moment. Two stores come immediately to mind: a) do you remember that story about the surging price in food/groceries -- just a few days ago; and, b) now, oil has melted up to $104, and if your gasoline has not increased by about 30 cents/gallon in the past two weeks, I would be surprised. The higher price of oil is going to trickle down through the whole economy. One almost wonders if the president hasn't been working toward this.  Later, there was an interesting story on NPR this morning suggesting there may be a grand plan coming together for the president to approve the Keystone. I still don't think it will happen this year.

Venezuela protests continue to escalate. The US refineries need their heavy oil to "cut" all the light oil being produced in the US. US refineries had counted on Canadian heavy oil but the president messed that up and Americans are paying the price.

Residents of Dallas fight construction of a water tower that would provide water for fracking. Exxon's CEO also fights to stop the water tower.

This was posted as a stand-alone post late yesterday; here it is again, in the WSJ: BNSF railway to buy new tank cars to transport crude oil. Warren must have gotten the green light from President Obama to press ahead.

Finally, Wal-Mart is doing what I suggested a long time ago: move toward smaller-format stores. Use bigger stores for warehousing, backfill for the smaller stores. Sears did the same thing years ago, moving to Sears catalog stores; we saw how that worked out. Amazon, CVS, Wal-Greens eating Wal-Mart's lunch at the low end; Amazon and Target eating Wal-Mart's lunch at the high end.

The Los Angeles Times

Nothing.

Thursday, February 20, 2014

Warren Buffett Getting Ahead Of The CBR Challenge

Reuters is reporting:
BNSF Railway Co plans to buy its own fleet of up to 5,000 new crude oil tank cars with safety features that exceed the latest industry standards, the company, a unit of investor Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway Inc, said on Thursday.
The unusual step by one of the largest U.S. railroads aims to further the industry's push for safer movement of crude by rail after several recent accidents, including one involving a BNSF train in North Dakota in December.
The company, a major mover of crude by rail throughout the United States, plans to seek bids from railcar makers for up to 5,000 new tank cars with thicker walls and ends, increased protection of safety and pressure valves, and other features that go beyond industry standards adopted two years ago.
The news sent shares of several U.S. railcar makers higher.

If The Teachers Are Smart, They Would Support Fracking To Help Pay Their Pension

This is incredible: a $71 billion shortfall for California teachers pensions.

$71 billion. And the fund shortfall is growing by $22 million every day.

The governor is looking to put this "crisis" off for another year. Perhaps a vibrant oil and gas industry could provide the royalties necessary to meet the shortfall. The Los Angeles Times is reporting:
The same could be said of the California State Teachers' Retirement System, or CalSTRS, which Ehnes has run for more than a decade. Today, the pension fund is one of the biggest financial problems in a state with more than its share of money woes.
Gov. Jerry Brown and legislative leaders are pledging to repair and replenish the $181.1-billion retirement system that is supposed to finance more than 800,000 retirements for public school teachers, administrators and community college instructors. Hearings on possible solutions began in the Capitol on Wednesday.
The second-largest public pension fund in the country, after California's primary pension system for public employees, it faces a $71-billion shortfall that worsens by $22 million every day, according to pension officials.

For Warmists Or Deniers, One Has To Admit This Is One Humdinger Of A Winter -- Update From The Twin Cities

I don't know about the rest of the warmists, deniers, and agnostics out there, but this is quite a story. The StarTribune is reporting:
The winter storm pushing its way into Minnesota on Thursday snarled the evening commute, closed afternoon and evening activities at schools, canceled some evening college classes and set snow emergencies in motion throughout the metro area.
By the time it passes, the storm could leave the most significant snowfall of the season.
The National Weather Service (NWS) predicted amounts of 10 inches in the core of the metro and deeper totals in northeast and southeast suburbs.
As the storm picked up steam late in the afternoon, near white-out conditions were reported near Mankato while heavier snow began to fall in parts of the metro area. Transportation officials advised no travel in the southwest and south central part of the state, including Blue Earth, Faribault, LeSueur and, Waseca and Watonwan counties.
By 3:45 p.m., Minneapolis and St. Paul had declared a snow emergency, which will take effect at 9 p.m. Thursday, and the NWS reported 3 inches of snow had fallen in Mounds View.
“Intense snowfall commencing,” the NWS said in a statement, which also noted snow with thunder in southern Minnesota.
The Weather Service added that the storm’s target, with the metro area as the bull’s-eye, should be ready for 1 to 2 inches of snow an hour, strong winds and sharply reduced visibility for motorists.
The Kennedy clan should probably fly out to the Twin Cities the first chance they get; this may be the last time their children and their grandchildren ever see snow.

Random Note On The Parshall Oil Field

Recently there had been six rigs in the northern half of the Parshall oil field, all outside the reservation.

Today, there are seven active rigs in the Parhsall oil field. Five of them are still in the northern half, outside the reservation, but two have moved inside the reservation:
  • 27042, drl, sits on a three-well pad; this is the first of the three to be drilled; 10-152-90; EOG, Parshall 46-1004H,
  • 27158, drl, sits on a three-well pad; this is the first of the three to be drilled; 22-152-90; EOG, Parshall 47-2226H,
  • Located in the section between these two three-well pads, is another three well pad, one of which, is:
27035, loc, EOG, Parshall 60-1509H,
The nearest completed well to all three pads is probably:
  • 16774, 1,433, EOG, Roger 1-15H, Parshall a single section, t3/08; cum 336K 12/13; still producing 1600 bbls of oil per month; no flaring.
A recent reader sent a comment suggesting that EOG would be moving back and forth, in and out of the reservation with infill drilling.