Thursday, September 25, 2025

Government Shutdown -- Trump Made His Decision Two Days Ago -- September 25, 2025

Locator: 49238SHUTDOWN.  

The US Congress is in recess. Returns to Washington, DC, Monday, September 29, 2025.

US government needs to be funded by midnight, Tuesday, September 30, 2025. 

Most agree it's impossible to get a temporary spending bill approved in less than 48 hours. 

We'll wait for Polymarket on x to give us the odds that the government will / won't be shut down as of Wednesday, October 1, 2025.  

My hunch: like Russian jets entering NATO airspace, Trump is interested in testing the response / strength of the US equity markets if there's a prolonged government shutdown. 

He's tired of this semi-annual political kabuki dance and wants to prove once and for all: a government shutdown? No one cares. He'll restore essential services -- like the TSA -- on a case-by-case basis. But the national parks ... oh, well. BLS? Oh, well. FEMA? Oh, well. 

The White House won't shut. Let the other two branches shut down. Think what he can get accomplished without the other two branches interfering.

Imagine: any number of emergencies could pop up anywhere in the world during a US government shutdown. The American people would demand presidential action. Trump would be only too happy to act.  

It's interesting that Hegseth has ordered "all" flag officers meet in Washington, DC, on the day before the US government shuts down. I don't believe in coincidences.