Tuesday, July 25, 2023

Technology: QCOM Vs TSM -- Motley Fool -- July 25, 2023

Locator: 45207INV. 

QCOM Vs TSM, link here.


Snapshot:

  • QCOM:
    • market cap: $140 billion
    • p/e: 13
    • hi / lo: 158 - 101
    • today: 125
    • one year: down 16%
  • TSM:
    • market cap: $480 billion
    • p/e: 17
    • hi / lo: 110 - 60
    • today: 100
    • one year: up almost 20%

Knowing their business and looking at their numbers, advantage: TSM.

Trending Toward $80; Dow: Longest Rally Since 2017 -- July 25, 2023

Locator: 45206WTI. 

Market today, close and after GOOG reported earnings:


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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs: 37.

WTI: $79.63.

Four new permits, #40072 - #40075, inclusive:

  • Operators: Neptune Operating; Grayson Mill
  • Field: Elk (McKenzie); Camp (McKenzie)
  • Comments:
    • Neptune has permits for two Britt wells;
    • Grayson Mill has permits for two Edna wells
    • Neptune's Britt wells are in lot 4 section 4-151-102, 
      • to be sited 220 FNL and 1375 FWL; and, 219 FNL and 1408 FWL; 
    • Grayson Mill's two Edna wells are in SWSW 11-151-101,
      • to be sited 567 FSL and 656 FW and 542 FSL and 640 FWL.

Five permits renewed:

  • WPX: five Charging Eagle permits in Heart Butte, Dunn County;

This Needs To Be Confirmed -- Williams Companies -- July 25, 2023

Locator: 45205DIV.  

Updates

July 26, 2023: yes, I was correct; the information at the original post was in error. It is a fact that the quarterly dividend was a bit higher than a year ago, but it did not increase month-over-month as implied b the source. The $1.79 is an annual rate. Link here.

Original Post 

I think it has to be an error. I think the $1.79 in the graphic below is an annual calculation based on a quarterly dividend of 44.75 cents, unchanged from previous. This has happened before at this site.



Whining -- July 25, 2023

Locator: 45204EVS. 

Link here.

From the linked article:

DETROIT – General Motors CEO Mary Barra blamed a supplier of automation equipment for the slow ramp of its new electric vehicles, after Wall Street criticized the company’s rollout of its newest EVs amid bold predictions to catch up to industry leader Tesla
Shares of GM were down roughly 4% in morning trading Tuesday despite quarterly results that topped year-ago performance
Analysts during the call questioned the company’s pricing strategies, EV profitability guidance and ability to hit previously announced targets for the vehicles.

Mary: you play the hand you were dealt.  

Tesla, Apple, Daimler -- they all have the same challenges.

Also, the Chevy Bolt is not what the analysts want to talk about. Not said, but the Chevy Volt / Bolt is beginning to look a lot like ... the Ford Edsel.

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An Abundance Of Riches

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Recent Brazilian Jiu Jitsu Tournament
Dallas, TX

Sophia earned a "silver" medal.

Three tournaments in past six months: three medals -- bronze, gold, and now a silver. 

My Favorite Graph Vs The "Savings Graph" -- July 26, 2023

Locator: 45203ECON

Updates

August 4, 2023: this is an old presentation but it provides a definition of "savings."  The presentation here, see slide 11.  "Savings = income - spending."

Original Post  

I posted this, July 4, 2023 (and I have posted the "area under the curve" graphic several times in the past three months).

US household "savings" collapsing: "area under the curve" ... graph. Link here.

Mainstream media and armchair analysts are misreading and mis-interpreting the chart above but I can't articulate the problem. You are on your own here.

However, today the updated MMF chart was released:

Same question for two different audiences:

  • for those looking at the overall health of the US economy, which of the two graphs is better?
  • for long-term investors (or maybe even all investors), which of the two graphs is better?

No answer is wrong. 

But, wow, as a long-term investor, I love the second graph. 

It was reported elsewhere that the most recent MMF data showed a slight decline. Obviously not the case based on the graph above.

The second graph might not mean as much if the securities market was collapsing and folks were pulling their money out of the stock market and investing in much safer money market funds. But, in fact, the stock market has been on a 12-day rally, the longest in six or more years, and yet more money is flowing into MMFs.

Bonds? I don't follow bonds, but it's my impression a lot of money is also flowing into bonds because of their great rates.

Where is that money coming from? Which by the way, is one of my favorite lines from a Colombo episode, "just where is that money coming from?"

Savings:

As mentioned some time ago, I don't understand where / how the US government measures savings rate. The well-to-do, I imagine consider a lot of their investments in MMFs, shot-term bonds, and even some securities as "savings" and don't really have much in their bank "savings accounts.“

Elderly widows pulling money out of savings accounts to put in MMFs is not exactly a real decrease in their savings. 

So, unless I'm missing something, we have a lot of "new" money coming into the market, into MMFs, and into bonds. Again, from where is that money coming? And how far down into the general economy does it trickle? It's just hard for me to believe if folks are able to put this much money in MMFs, securities, and bonds, they don’t also have money to spend on consumer goods. 

Maybe I'm wrong, naive. Whatever. 

But they are fascinating graphs.

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The Book Club

The Custer Companion: A Comprehensive Guide to the Life of George Armstrong Custer and the Plains Indians Wars, Thom Hatch, c. 2002. 973.8HAT.

Notes.