Saturday, April 1, 2023

Word For The Day -- Epenthesis / Epentheses -- Apriil 1, 2023

Language:

Metaplasm. 

Epenthesis. Also link here.

All legal for scrabble:

  • moo
  • moot
  • smoot
  • smooth
  • smoothie
  • smoothies

I vividly remember using "epenthesis" in first grade when I was trying to learn to spell a very difficult word (for me). At the time I did not know about "epenthesis."

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411.com

In the summer between my junior and senior year in high school, I took a six-week college-level course in “Romanticism” at St Olaf College, Northfield, Minnesota. Although I never returned to St Olaf after that, the college has always held a very special place in my heart. That six weeks at St Olaf was a life-altering event for me and probably explains a lot about the next 50+ years of my life.

Break, break. Hold that thought.

Flash forward thirty-three years. In 2002, while serving overseas at a remote site in northern England, I had the opportunity to complete some medical paperwork for a one-year-old child of whose father worked for some US intelligence agency.

I was on "temporary duty" to Menwith Hill Station, Yorkshire, which turned out to be another life-altering event. The friendships one makes on remote assignments are some of the best friendships one will ever make. It was so with this family of three. I only saw the mom when the couple, together, brought their child in for medical visits. I don't remember now but there was something in the infant's / child's history that concerned the parents with regard to their child's future. It could have been a vaccination question but I don't remember now. Whatever.

The father wore a suit, he was not in the uniformed military. He impressed me, mostly because of his involvement with his one-year old child. The mom was beautiful. The child was uniquely charming.

Of the tens of thousands of children that must have passed through my offices, exam rooms, and emergency rooms over the years, I have strong memories of hardly a handful. One had a congenital heart disease and died at two years of age, I knew her and took care of her for eighteen months.

The second was a three-year-old diagnosed with cancer. He survived. I was his personal physician for three years at Travis AFB. After I was transferred, I lost track of him, but then I "ran into" him and his family in Germany, maybe ten years later. He was healthy as a horse, did not remember me, and barely had time to come into the house, at his mother's request, to say "hi" to me. I was there for about an hour; I saw him for less than five minutes. No one knows how hard I worked for three years with Jimmy, 1977 to 1980. The mental toll was unimaginable. 

And then there was that one-year-old Anna (not her real name) in Menwith Hill Station. As noted, she was uniquely charming and healthy. But something about Anna captured my heart. It wasn't just her; it was the whole movie: the remote location; a spy for a dad; a beautiful mom, and a charming infant/toddler. 

She had her one-year-old birthday while at MHS and for some unknowable, sublime, reason, I recorded her birthday in/on my Yahoo!Calendar with annual reminders.

Break. Break.

Yesterday, I wanted to find a close friend with whom I had lost contact some years ago. Last time she wrote she told me she had "serious" breast cancer, age 69 or thereabouts and we likely wouldn't be exchanging notes any more.

Yesteerday, "on the internet," I "found here." She is alive. Whether she is "alive and well" I do not know.

If you want to assess your "internet" skills see if you can locate an acquaintance from thirty years ago nnot using social media like Facebook.

While searching the internet to find that lost colleague I rant across a headline in local newspaper had made the Dean's List at St Olaf. Wow, that piqued my interest. I honestly could not figure our from wheere the local newspaper originated. I thought maybe Minnesota -- the newspaper made reference to the "north country" but it turned out to be Oldensburg, upstate New York.

It turns out that the young woman who made the St Olaf Dean's List was Anna from MHS.

The story, of course, was an old, but the dates added up, but more importantly, the article included the parents' names, both the other and the father. 

Then using 411.com one could surmise the family had lived in multiple locations in and around Baltimore / Washington, DC, where many intel agencies are located. Over the years they had moved frequently, probably to other foreign assignments. By then they had retired to upstate NYC. 

But to see Anna's name on the St Olaf Dean's List after all these years truly blew me away.

There's only one person in my life that would appreciate that story, but for various reasons will never be able to share that story. But, wow, how I wish I could.

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Video Essay

Wes Anderson. Grand Budapest Hotel. 

By Matt Zoller Seitz.

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Soccer

March 31, 2023

Re-posting to correct formatting.

First things first! Wes Anderson in theaters, June 16, 2023! Link here.

For the archives: Trump indicted; likely to be arraigned Tuesday next week.

Market, last day of the first quarter, and we're in a recession, so "they" say:

NKLA: shares crash; company needs more cash now. Link here. Down 13% today; trading at $1.22.


EVs: today, all up a bit (except NKLA).

Ford: raises prices again its F-150 Lightning. 

The cheapest of the company’s electric trucks now costs $59,974, marking the latest in a series of price increases since the full-size, battery-powered pickup trucks began rolling off Detroit assembly lines in April of last year. At that time, the starting price was roughly $40,000. By August, it had jumped to $46,974. In October, Ford executives raised it to $51,974, and in December, it increased to $56,000. 

The company has attributed the price increases to the rising costs of raw materials. 

Ford sold 15,600 Lightnings in 2022, and 3,600 through February of this year. The company said it wants to increase output to an annualized rate of about 150,000 vehicles by late this year.

Ford: link here. And, in seven years, a new battery will be needed.

Buffett: the second stock Warren Buffett ever bought, ended FY22 with a 67% profit margin. Link here. 

Apple Pay: banks at war. Hey, wait, when did "everyone" start using Apple Pay?

 Exodus: from "large city, USA." Link here. Which two cities did you look at first? 


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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs: 44.

Peter Zeihan newsletter.

WTI: $74.82.

Natural gas: $2.184.

Monday, April 3, 2023: 6 for the month, 4 for the quarter, 261 for the year
38880, conf, Whiting, Richard Olson 31-1HR,
38879, conf, Whiting, Mariah Olson 31-1HR2,
38691, conf, Ovintiv, Clear Creek Federal 152-97-36-25-12H,
31214, conf, BR, Gladstone 4-1-13TFH,

Sunday, April 2, 2023: 3 for the month: 3 for the quarter, 258 for the year
38848, conf, Enerplus, Pattern 149-93-05A-08H-LL,

Saturday, April 1, 2023: 2 for the month: 2 for the quarter, 257 for the year
38692, conf, Ovintiv, Clear Creek Federal 152-97-36-25-6H,
38543, conf, Whiting, Marlys Olson 31-1H,

Friday, March 31, 2023: 91 for the month: 255 for the quarter, 255 for the year
None. Six months ago, September has only 30 days.

Thursday, March 30, 2023: 91 for the month: 255 for the quarter, 255 for the year
3550, conf (no typo), Empire North Dakota, Waddle-Olson 1,
38864, conf, Liberty Resources, CA S 158-93-21-23-5MBHX,
38762, conf, Whiting, Locken 12-11TFX,

RBN Energy: when price does not matter -- exchange trading, differentials, and the cash roll.

As crude oil exports have become an integral part of US/Canadian trading, the market has evolved to accommodate this profound transformation. But the mechanisms used to price many of the most significant export grades are obscure and little understood outside a small cadre of professional traders and marketers. This is particularly true for the most liquid grades that employ a trading approach known as “exchange trading” or “spread trading,” in which volumes at regional hubs are valued in buy-sell transactions against domestic sweet crude at Cushing. In this context, “exchange trading” does not mean trading on a regulated exchange. Instead, it means trading via an exchange of barrels between buyer and seller. In today's RBN blog, we delve into some of the most complex aspects of this trading mechanism.

Amazon Prime -- March 31, 2023

The week, as far as blogging goes, is over for me. It's been an incredible week.

I'll end with this: I sound like a broken record, I've said this so often but Amazon Prime is absolutely incredible. As far as I know, there is nothing else like it. 

So, I'll be up for the next few hours exploring Amazon Prime Video, Music, Apple Classical Music available on Amazon Prime Music, etc. See how it all works. See what's available.

I'll start with the new Top Gun "Maverick" movie. Wow.

Friday, March 31, 2023

Family Soccer -- Nothing About The Bakken -- March 31, 2023

Middle granddaughter Olivia. Lives and breathes soccer, as well as almost everything else.

Junior in high school. Every one of her classes is AP.

Plays soccer for high school women's soccer team. One of three captains of the team. Captains are usually seniors. 

She also plays for a Dallas club team.

Anyway, Texas high school soccer is now in their championship season.

About a week ago, they won "district," the sixteenth consecutive district championship for this team. The coach thought this year would be the first year in sixteen years that the team would not come out of district.

They "won" district.

I'm out of the loop. I don't know where they are with regard to "regional" but I know they won their first two games earlier this week. I was told that the game tonight -- the third "regional" game was "make or break" and it was against the #1 "regional” team.

Long story short, Olivia's team won 3 - 2 in overtime. Whoo-hoo.

So, I don't know if they won "regional" or if they still have another game to play which they must win to go to "state." 

I don't think the girls really care if they won "regional" or not; they simply show up at the next scheduled game and play to win. Brackets? I don't think they know. They just play to win. 

I don't know when / where their next game is but a photographer has some incredible photos of the second game and has posted them on Flickr. I'll post a few of those photos over the next few days. 

Unfortunately I don't think I will be able to upload the "header" videos which the team has perfected. 

In the photo below, note the pink "band" around the stocking just below the knee -- you can't see it but there's a huge "C" on that pink band designating Olivia as a captain.

20230328-_SA12377

The CLR North Tarentaise Federal Wells -- Elm Tree

Locator: 10010CLRNTF.

Updates

November 17, 2023: see this note. The fly in this ointment: according to the application, the spacing unit for this well is an overlapping 3840-acre unit, sections 6, 5, 8, 7, 18, 19. So, let's post the company's planning diagram for this well (and pad). Posted here.

November 17, 2023: I wonder if I didn’t misread the DAR incorrectly. We’ll know shortly. But it looks like I had the surface sites and bottom hole locations reversed in the narrative and in the map below. If so, these are going to be short laterals; 640-acre spacing, to be sited in section 19, with long directionals running north into NENW section 18. I’m not going to re-draw the map now; if I’m correct now, simply see the “blue oval” in the map below as the bottom hole locations with surface holes in the section to the south.

Original Post

Seven new permits, #39772 - #39778, inclusive:

  • Operator: CLR
  • Field: Elm Tree (McKenzie)
  • Comments: 
    • CLR has permits for seven North Tarentaise Federal wells in SENW 19-153-94; lot 1, section 18-153-94; NENW 19-153-94; NWNE 18-153-94; NENE 18-153-94; 
      • all to be sited 1650 FNL and between 2286 FWL and 2094 FWL;
      • still on confidential, not exactly sure where the horizontals will run  
      • the way the wells will be sited suggests they will originate in section 18 and then run south into section 19; 
      • if they run north, they would go into Petro-Hunt's Phelps Bay play
      • if they run three sections south, they would run into Hess' Antelope play, suggesting that that these will 1280-arcre spacing, running to the south, but they are certainly sited too far south to leave some oil stranded to the north in section 18.
      • the "south" Tarentaise wells run west - east, so ... who knows?
      • map:

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Tarentaise Cattle


 Perfect for the Killdeer Mountains in North Dakota.