Sunday, April 25, 2021

"Significantly Worse" -- April 25, 2021

Re-posting Saudi Arabia's January, 2021, foreign exchange reserves post:

Wow, how many times has it been said: Saudi Arabia can't "make it' on $60 oil? More corroboration / more validation:

Link here

Foreign Foreign Exchange Reserves in Saudi Arabia decreased to 1687980 SAR Million in January from 1701209 SAR Million in December of 2020.


It doesn't matter how Saudi Arabia spins this story, this is really, really bad news. 

Remember: January is a 31-day month; February, at least here in the USA, is a 28-day month.

All things being equal, February, 2021, should be significantly worse.  

At the time I noted that January, 2021, was a 31-day month whereas February, 2021, was a 28-day month.

My last line in that January, 2021, data post:

All things being equal, February, 2021, should be significantly worse. 

So, how did the Saudis do in February?

Link here.

Wow, it certainly appears "significantly worse."  Look at February, 2021, compared to a month earlier. Ouch.

But not only that, it's the lowest in twelve months and this was at a time when the price of oil was starting to turn (?) and the global economy was improving .... except for that nasty cold spell in Texas, and most of the US for that matter.

This is incredible. I knew it was going to be bad (all things being equal) but I never expected it to be this bad. 

From the linked source:
Foreign Exchange Reserves in Saudi Arabia decreased to 1654868 SAR Million in February from 1687980 SAR Million in January of 2021.

It appears this is the lowest in recent history for Saudi Arabia.  


Two more links for the archives:

The Line, Saudi Arabia;

The Line (Arabic: ذا لاين‎) is a proposed smart city in Saudi Arabia in Neom, Tabuk that will have no cars, no streets, and no carbon emissions.

The city is part of Saudi Vision 2030 project, which Saudi Arabia claims will create 380,000 jobs and add $48 billion to the country's GDP.

Foreign investment in Saudi Arabia hits milestone: SR2 trillion ($0.5 trillion):
  • recent announcement: Saudi Arabia's infrastructure program: SR 27 trillion ($7 trillion) over the next ten years
  • The Line, as well as clean and renewable energy projects;

The Whiting Finsaas Wells In Hay Creek All Seem To Be Producing Nicely After A Period Of Sporadic Production -- April 25, 2021

Finally, it looks like the Whiting Finsaas Federal wells are back on track. I'm removing them from my list of wells that needed to be followed up.

Abbreviated history
:

  • August 23, 2019: the Finsaas wells -- #26855; #26854; #27840; #27841; sporadic production across the wells, 5/20;

All four wells now seem to be producing nicely. 

  • 26855, t1/15; cum 162K 2/21; 
  • 26854, t12/14; cum 141K 2/21; 
  • 27840, t12/14; cum 165K 2/21; 
  • 27841, t2/14; cum 121K 2/21;

Two EOG Hawkeye Wells Updated -- April 25, 2021

I'm taking these two wells of my list of "things to follow up": 

  • The EOG Hawkeye wells, #22486 and #33487.

Abbreviated history:

August 5, 2019: two EOG wells off line in Clarks Creek; #22487; #22486; no production jump in first full month back on status, 8/19; check another month or so; both came off line 9/19; one has returned to production; one remains off line; #22486 back on line 10/19 for 16 days; both back on line, 10/19; both off line 12/19; remain off line 5/20; coming back on line 7/20; 8/20: nice jump in production for #22487; nice jump in production for #22486;

Update as of today.

The wells:

  • 22486, 2,421, EOG, Hawkeye 100-2501H, Clarks Creek, a Three Forks well, t9/12; cum 806K 2/21;
  • 22487, 67 (no typo), EOG, Hawkeye 02-2501H, Clarks Creek, t12/13; cum 885K 2/21;

Recent production:

22486:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-202128276027492925636760160
BAKKEN1-202131357836383699675563580
BAKKEN12-202031355646543394565852630
BAKKEN11-202030342631663471516147780
BAKKEN10-202031497256684441544550520
BAKKEN9-2020450702872612280
BAKKEN8-20202131102204302925700
BAKKEN7-2020215001521700
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-2020002030000
BAKKEN3-20200000000
BAKKEN2-20200000000
BAKKEN1-20200000000
BAKKEN12-20190000000
BAKKEN11-2019774261791669158622
BAKKEN10-20191618461772236919700
BAKKEN9-20190000000
BAKKEN8-20190000000
BAKKEN7-20190000000
BAKKEN6-20190000000
BAKKEN5-201900340000
BAKKEN4-201926230221839341121
BAKKEN3-20193112091200152526371734517
BAKKEN2-20192711561152225424271940154

22487:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20212838203798337026222224870
BAKKEN1-20213143234346367430117259000
BAKKEN12-20203148936406435029337251400
BAKKEN11-20203050884042447328833247550
BAKKEN10-20203164817115536730874267030
BAKKEN9-2020511122016279721969090
BAKKEN8-20202150833523335024747240240
BAKKEN7-202024800182423041820
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-2020002230000
BAKKEN3-20200000000
BAKKEN2-20200000000
BAKKEN1-20200000000
BAKKEN12-20190000000
BAKKEN11-20197756574118766885615214
BAKKEN10-2019202330229739381820914720929
BAKKEN9-201914814842128769736334338
BAKKEN8-20193033443279530437977341822714
BAKKEN7-20190000000
BAKKEN6-20190000000
BAKKEN5-20192940964273544149131368828532
BAKKEN4-20193045254617539154991482872733
BAKKEN3-201925335132464239493033572610651
BAKKEN2-20192840073880739353974465653709

The graphics:

A BR Chuckwagon Well Is Back Online After Being Inactive For Almost A Year -- April 25, 2021

The well:

  • 32923, 181, BR, Chuckwagon 31-15MBH, Sand Creek, t12/18; cum 213K 2/21;

 Recent production:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-202128636664461695521289211200
BAKKEN1-202131736872221809927823276400
BAKKEN12-2020715531537212810222101540
BAKKEN11-20201000000
BAKKEN10-20200000000
BAKKEN9-20200000000
BAKKEN8-20200000000
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-202020600000
BAKKEN3-20201822552326335114887144710
BAKKEN2-2020294354435674513174130759377
BAKKEN1-20203166416673107194744546544243
BAKKEN12-20193179197890938150796500680
BAKKEN11-20193079957934672340552357514105
BAKKEN10-20192148204822458722933211701227
BAKKEN9-2019301015310174101964497643737503
BAKKEN8-201931893189921125744149431100

Neighboring wells recently fracked:

  • 33024, BR, Renegade 24-10 TFH:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20212810405105431931135602340881265
BAKKEN1-2021311238912250210964082739958720
BAKKEN12-2020311256012637182993606435402465
BAKKEN11-2020302067120908535854506144192724
BAKKEN10-2020312107720630420286663566062155
BAKKEN9-202030000000
  • 33023, BR, Renegade 24-10 MBH:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20212810405105431931135602340881265
BAKKEN1-2021311238912250210964082739958720
BAKKEN12-2020311256012637182993606435402465
BAKKEN11-2020302067120908535854506144192724
BAKKEN10-2020312107720630420286663566062155
BAKKEN9-202030000000
  • 33022, BR, Chuckwagon 21-15 TFH:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20212872057332159793252231885510
BAKKEN1-202131100399938195363900138291512
BAKKEN12-2020311121811217205333803237566288
BAKKEN11-202024116271151502315522307766
BAKKEN10-202031282500375622464155
BAKKEN9-202030981495902100934346340810
BAKKEN8-202031000000
  • 36301, BR, Renegade 34-15TFH-R:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2021289973100402139728572249543291
BAKKEN1-20213189028907262263055230107116
BAKKEN12-2020311887418733488515345652224779
BAKKEN11-202015584759331600220010198400
BAKKEN10-20203168416925251032572625410155
BAKKEN9-2020301007098413678135822355460
BAKKEN8-202031000000
  • 32924, dry/PA, BR, Renegade 34-15TFH;
  • 32925, 13 (no error), BR, Renegade 34-10MBH, Sand Creek, t12/18; cum 216K 22;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2021286116620512348273952692852
BAKKEN1-202131767475921355832023315530
BAKKEN12-20203181528117118893000029202390
BAKKEN11-2020255017496676091834317550482
BAKKEN10-20200000000
BAKKEN9-2020001990000
BAKKEN8-20202585478348193162433723409746
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-202020930000
BAKKEN3-20202335183575539118988185070
BAKKEN2-2020294991496690332940128393456
BAKKEN1-202031627362801073036862349181372
BAKKEN12-201931631162871066237971372760
BAKKEN11-201930634363111224435054324001931
  • 32926, 560, BR, Chuckwagon 31-15TFH, Sand Creek, t12/18; cum 127K 2/21;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-2021239451072280938583073272
BAKKEN1-202131632162491682522067205511002
BAKKEN12-202031633562731312127417248932114
BAKKEN11-20202492487621414440640
BAKKEN10-20200000000
BAKKEN9-202000110000
BAKKEN8-20201459448696241123920
BAKKEN7-20200000000
BAKKEN6-20200000000
BAKKEN5-20200000000
BAKKEN4-202030800000
BAKKEN3-20201930313011485719235187820
BAKKEN2-202029199219464716138431326236
BAKKEN1-2020316886871234738068920
BAKKEN12-2019316036191124768070660
BAKKEN11-2019301682175251461157710297555
BAKKEN10-2019316384633198002370922816157
BAKKEN9-201930605060911646037119362370