Friday, August 21, 2020

Fast And Furious -- Fifteen Minutes -- The Market And The Economy -- Wall Street Vs Main Street -- August 21, 2020

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. 

I am watching much more CNBC now that the granddaughters have gone back to school (remotely). I am still very "careful" about what I watch over at CNBC. I generally keep the television on in the background, on mute, switch between CNBC, the PGA, and TCM. 

We all have worldviews; we all have our own myths; we all have our own filters; we all have our "constant themes."

A constant over-riding theme of CNBC seems to be one of doom and gloom. There are three sub-themes of note:

  • the American economy is never doing well (except under the previous president)
  • the producers seem to do what they can to talk the market down (that might change if there's a change in Washington, DC)
  • the producers tend to have their newsreaders ask stupid questions, talking about valuation, but "never" providing such basic data as P/E

I have two pet peeves about CNBC and AAPL:

  • as noted, they continue to talk it down; explore the risks but not the potential; they talk about the price of AAPL but never the P/E in relationship to other high-flyers, like AMZN, TSLA, NFLX, FB, etc
  • they never talk about the potential of Apple, for example what the iPhone is likely to entail

It must be remembered that CNBC employees are all tied up in the GE, Microsoft, NBC world; that's a huge filter though which to view Apple.

A third pet peeve, but unlike the other two, this pet peeve will be temporary, a dead story, ending sometime in September, 2020. My third pet peeve: CNBC talking heads arguing about "splits." Anyone who says splits don't matter obviously see things way differently than I do. Quick! Raise your hand if you agree that you would like to see one of the companies in which you are invested (stocks) announce a "reverse stock split"?

I thought so.

Notes From All Over -- Pre-Market Edition -- August 21, 2020

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

Fast and furious:

  • Definition of insanity::
  • Wuhan flu:  
    • NYC:I'm not following this story very closely any more, but the graph at this link is amazing; I knew it was bad in NYC, but I did not know it was that bad; link here for the graph;
    • Mass transit is dead: or at least nearly killed public transport; over at oilprice; they must be reading the blog;
  • Govenors:
    • Lied: I'm shocked! Shocked! California governor failed to take promised pay cut, after ordering state workers' pay to be cut 10%; google it;
    • Disappointed; well, actually he's disappointed in his state's utilities. Say what?
  • Tired: no matter how Goodyear spins it, I won't be buying Goodyear tires, never have, never will; Goodyear CEO calls Trump; says it was all a mistake; not his fault; google it;
  • The Magnificent Seven:
    • 777: if any of us are still afloat in this market, it's because seven stocks are doing very, very well; tech's magnificent seven are worth $7.7 trillion. Quick: name the seven. Hint: one of them is the name of a fruit; one is the parent company of the #1 website; one of them is an on-line retailer; one use to have a computer monopoly, then hired Steve Balmer; one knows more about ou than you know about yourself; one sells cars; and, one sells movies. To put their worth into perspective, let's go to Paul R. La Monica:
    • Russell 2000, America's smaller publicly traded companies: total market value -- $1.9 trillion (which by the way is less than $2 trillion which seems to be the new bar)
    • the tech's magnificent seven: $7.7 trillion
  • AAPL: I have a pet peeve with CNBC when it comes to AAPL; actually two; if I get caught up, I will talk about those two pet peeves;
    • must read article on iPhone 12 -- which has not yet been announced, much less brought to market, and yet AAPL continues to soar; if it's been announced, I haven't seen it; I could have missed it;
    • used iPhones will significantly expand Apple's share in emerging markets; two words I like to see in a headline: "Apple" and "expanding"; okay, and a third, "significantly." in almost any order: "Apple significantly expanding": expanding Apple, significantly"; significantly, Apple expanding;" you get the picture:

Only One Well Comig Off Confidential List -- Friday, August 21, 2020

 OPEC basket, link here: $45.19

*********************************
Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

$42.43
8/21/202008/21/201908/21/201808/21/201708/21/2016
Active Rigs1264615232

Only one well coming off the confidential list -- Friday, August 21, 2020: 60 for the month; 131 for the quarter, 577 for the year:

  • 36540, drl/NC, XTO, Marilyn 21X-23G, Capa, no production data;

RBN Energy: a propane molecule's journey to Mont Belvieu and beyond, part 2. 

When you talk about energy molecules, propane takes the prize for the most versatile. In addition to its well-known uses for BBQ grills, indoor cooking, and home heating, propane is used for drying crops, as a feedstock for petrochemicals, as an engine fuel for forklifts and fleet vehicles, and in recent years, as an export product in its own right. Propane moves to market on pipelines, railcars, ships, barges, trucks — just about any form of transportation you can imagine. But exactly how any particular molecule of propane makes the journey from the instant it comes out of a well to all those market destinations can be a mystery to all but a small cadre of propane market insiders. In another in our series of updates to RBN’s greatest hit blogs, we are delving into this mystery, one step at a time, today focusing on transportation from the producing basin to storage and fractionation at the Mont Belvieu hub, and the transformation of the generic commodity to a marketable fuel.

Thursday, August 20, 2020

We're From The State, And We're Here To Help .... August 20, 2020

.... what will it take to get you guys to drill?

From the September, 2020, NDIC hearing dockets:

On a motion of the Commission to review the status of the leases in Sections 30 and 31, within the 2560-acre spacing unit described as Sections 29, 30, 31, and 32, T.154N., R.96W., Grinnell-Bakken Pool, McKenzie and Williams Counties, ND, and the progress towards developing said Sections 30 and 31 as a standup 1280-acre spacing unit and such other relief as is appropriate. Petro-Hunt, LLC.

The graphics:



The wells:

  • 29762, 959, XTO, Homer 14X-32A, Grinnell, t1/16; cum 221K 4/20; remains off line 6/20;
  • 29761, 1,012, XTO, Homer 14X-32E, Grinnell, t1/16; cum 136K 4/20;
  • 31044, 797, XTO, Homer 14X-32AXD, Grinnell, t1/16; cum 294K 4/20;
  • 31045, 955, XTO, Homer Federal 14X-32F, Grinnell, t1/16; cum 177K 4/20; remains off line 6/20;
  • 31046, 1,018, XTO, Homer 14X-32B, Grinnell, t1/16; cum 294K 4/20; remains off line 6/20;

The wells:

  • 26862, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34X-36B,
  • 21289, XTO, Ruby State 34X-36G,
  • 26863, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34-36A,
  • 26864, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34X-36C,


  • 35055, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34X-36H, 
  • 35056, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34X-36D, 
  • 35057, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34X- 36GXH, 
  • 35058, XTO, Ruby State Federal 34X-36C

For Second Consecutive Week, Natural Gas Fill Rate Exceeds Five-Year Maximum -- August 20, 2020

Link here. Still above the five-year maximum -- second consecutive week to be above the already-fat five-year maximum.