Thursday, February 6, 2020

Six Wells To Be Reported Today -- February 6, 2020

AAPL: Apple shipped an estimated 31 million Apple Watches in 2019, beating the entire Swiss watch industry. 

Deepwater: taking off.

Permian deal: Noble Midstream, Greenfield Midstream gain Saddlehorn interest.
  • the two will acquire a 20 percent interest in the Saddlehorn Pipeline 
  • to be called their Black Diamond Gathering LLC; a joint venture
  • Saddlehorn Pipeline
  • will expand by 100,000 bpd to 290,000 bopd; by late 2020
  • owned by Magellan Midstream Partners, Plains All American Pipeline, and Western Midstream Partners
  • 190,000 bopd crude oil and condensate from the DJ and Powder River basins to Cushing, OK
  • Magellan is the pipeline operator
EVs to replace ICE: Uh, no. Link here.

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Back to the Bakken

Active rigs:

$50.812/6/202002/06/201902/06/201802/06/201702/06/2016
Active Rigs5462584042

Six wells coming off confidential list today --  
Thursday, February 6, 2020: 18 for the month; 125 for the quarter, 125 for the year:
  • 36424, drl, XTO, Linda 41X-22C, Capa, 
  • 35620, 690, Whiting, Fladeland 44-9-2H, Sanish, t8/19; cum 81K 12/19; a 24K month;
  • 35529, 395, Lime Rock, Ward Hill 2-29-20H_160-90, Dimond, t8/19; cum 63K 12/19;
  • 35049, drl, XTO, Johnson Trust Federal 21X-6B, SIverston,
Wednesday, February 5, 2020: 14 for the month; 121 for the quarter, 121 for the year:
  • 35046, drl, XTO, Johnson Trust Federal 21X-6E,
  • 33976, SI/NC, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-8A-31-4H, 
RBN Energy: why Iroquois Pipeline gas flows are an outlier in the US northeast.
The development of Appalachia’s Marcellus and Utica shales has flipped regional natural gas prices in the U.S. Northeast from their long-time premiums to Henry Hub, to trading at a significant discount and, in the process, reversed inbound gas flows, including from Eastern Canada. But there is an exception: from an entry point at the northern edge of New York, the Iroquois Gas Transmission pipeline is still importing Canadian gas supply nearly year-round to help meet local demand, despite its proximity to Marcellus/Utica production via other Northeast pipelines. This has kept prices along the Iroquois pipeline system at a premium to the other points in the region. And with the new, 1,100-MW Cricket Valley Energy Center power plant due online this spring, Iroquois prices are likely to strengthen. Today, we examine the dynamics driving Iroquois prices and gas flows.
Natural gas pricing is not uniform across the Northeast; the magnitude of the discount varies with how constrained the local pipe is and the location of the pricing point relative to the constraints. But in general, from eastern Ohio and Pennsylvania up through New England, prices tied to robust Marcellus/Utica shale production have traded at a significant discount to Henry Hub ever since Appalachian gas production surpassed Northeast demand and the region became a net supplier to the Midwest and Gulf Coast regions in the mid-2010s. Of course, during extreme wintry weather, prices in the East Coast market area, particularly New York and New England, are prone to spikes, where they jump not only above Henry Hub, but above all global gas prices or even above an oil parity price. These markets have maintained discounts to Henry on most days, however — that is, except for points along the Iroquois pipeline, which, because of the system’s reliance on gas imports from Canada, have escaped the worst of the discounted pricing and trade above the rest of the region year-round.

Wednesday, February 5, 2020

Damn The Torpedoes, Full Speed Ahead -- CLR -- February 5, 2020

Updates

April 11, 2022: production updates. 

March 17, 2021: the Gordon Federal pad, "today":

February 22, 2021: yesterday I noted a number of Gordon Federal permits "expired." Tonight I noted on the daily activity report that four of those "expired" permits were renewed.

Original Post

CLR has just renewed twelve Gordon Federal permits.

Some observations.

First: note all the "white space." Lots and lots of work that needs to be done in the Bakken. In addition, most of those horizontals in the graphics below were completed using "old" completion strategies. These wells will all be re-fracked and/or re-drilled/re-fracked.

Certainly the interest for twelve more Gordon Federal wells is not in one tiny sweet spot surrounded by a dearth of oil in neighboring sections.

I don't follow the Permian, but what little I read suggests operators are still being challenged by the size of drilling units in the Permian, and are still flummoxed by the optimum spacing. From what I see, and I follow it pretty closely, it appears operators in the Bakken have solved one of the issues; and, having little trouble with the other issue.


Again: the ovals highlight all the "white space." Lots of work yet to be done in the Bakken. In most of the Bakken, the minimum number of wells in any 1280-acre drilling unit: eighteen wells. But it may be decades before we get to that density. Eighteen wells: middle Bakken; Three Forks, 1st bench; Three Forks; deeper benches; Sanish in some areas. When I first started blogging, I said that if a mineral owner had one well, that mineral owner would eventually have four wells, probably eight wells; possible twelve wells, and maybe many, many more than that.


Currently: seven horizontals shown. Two huge pads being developed. Only two formations are being targeted, right now.


12-well pad:


11-well pad:


The wells:
  • 16683, 224, CLR, Federal Jorgenson 14-5H, Haystack Butte, t12/07; cum 70K 11/19;

  • 36107, loc-->EXP-->renewed, CLR, Gordon Federal 1-5H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; renewed February 22, 2021; see this note;
  • 36106, loc-->EXP-->renewed, , CLR, Gordon Federal 2-5H1, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; Three Forks B1; enewed February 22, 2021; see this note;
  • 36105, loc-->EXP, CLR, Gordon Federal 3-5H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; see this note;
  • 36104, loc-->EXP-->renewed, CLR, Gordon Federal 4-5H1, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; Three Forks B1; renewed February 22, 2021; see this note;
  • 36103, loc-->EXP-->renewed, CLR, Gordon Federal 5-5H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; renewed February 22, 2021; see this note;
  • 36102, loc-->EXP, CLR, Gordon Federal 6-5H1, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; Three Forks B1; first production, 10/21; t--; cum 112K 2/22; see this note;
  • 36101, loc-->EXP-->loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 7-5H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; bottom hole, 4-148-97; see this note;
  • 36100, loc-->EXP-->PNC, CLR, Gordon Federal 8-5H1, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; Three Forks B1; first production, 10/21; t--; cum 63K 2/22; see this note;
  • 36099, 2,022, CLR, Gordon Federal 9-5H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; 9.94 million lbs proppant, 37 stages; first production, 11/20; t--; cum 106K 1/21; cum 187K 2/22;
  • 36098, 2,055, CLR, Gordon Federal 10-5H1, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; Three Forks B1; producing; big well; 9.97 million lbs proppant; 37 stages; first production, 11/20; t--; cum 89K 1/21; cum 200K 2/22;
  • 36097, l,502, CLR, Gordon Federal 11-5H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; producing; nice well; 9.98 million lbs proppant; 37 stages; first production, 11/20; t--; cum 84K 1/21; cum 199K 2/22;
  • 36096, 2,117/F/A, CLR, Gordon Federal 12-5H1, Haystack Butte, first production, 11/20; t--; cum 76K 1/21; fracked, 3/1/20 - 3/9/20; 8.4 million gallons of water; 87.4% water by mass; 37 stages; target: Three Forks first bench; within CLR's Rocket prospect; cum 241K 2/22;

  • 36054, 2,419/F/A, CLR, Gordon Federal 13-8H, Haystack Butte, 2560-acre; 4/5/8/9-148-87; middle Bakken; spud, July 30, 2019; cease drilling, October 16, 2019; bottom hole, 9-148-97; 9.7 million lbs proppants; 36 stages; first production, 11/20; t--; cum 78K 12/20; cum 235K 2/22;
  • 36055, 1,893/F/A, CLR, Gordon Federal 14-8H1, 33-025-03678, Haystack Butte, first production, 11/20; t--; cum 51K 1/21; 9.99 million lbs proppant; 37 stages; thirteen hours to build the curve; four days to drill the lateral; Three Forks B1 at 11,626' MD; cum 181K 2/22;
  • 36056, 1,907/F/A, CLR, Gordon Federal 15-8H, 33-025-03679, Haystack Butte, first production, 11/20; t--; cum 100 1/21; 10.07 million lbs proppant; 37 stages; fifteen hours to drill the curve; three days to drill the lateral; cum 269K 2/22;
  • 36057, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 16-5H1, Haystack Butte,
  • 36058, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 17-8H, Haystack Butte,
  • 36059, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 18-5H1, Haystack Butte,
  • 36060, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 19-8H, Haystack Butte,
  • 36061, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 20-5H1, Haystack Butte,
  • 36062, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 21-8H, Haystack Butte,
  • 36063, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 22-5H1, Haystack Butte,
  • 36064, loc, CLR, Gordon Federal 23-8H, Haystack Butte, 

And With This, I'm Signing Off For The Night -- February 5, 2020


Someone made off with a bad joke?

For a chaotic, disorganized White House, this president certainly gets a lot of things done. This was revealed exclusively to one journalist just hours after the impeachment trial was over. Tomorrow the story should be everywhere:


February 6, 2020, 12:00 noon, oval office: the gloves come off.

Romney theme song: after listening to Romney's explanation for voting "guilty," this immediately came to mind. His reason for voting the way he voted comes down to a "spirit in the sky." He made more references to the Creator than Carter has liver pills, as they say, in his speech to convict.

This song came out during Romney's coming of age years: the song came out in 1969; Mitt married in the same year.

Spirit in the Sky, Norman Greenbaum

Kraken With Four New Permits -- February 5, 2020

Active rigs:

$51.142/5/202002/05/201902/05/201802/05/201702/05/2016
Active Rigs5463584042

Five new permits, #37360 - #37364;
  • Operators: Kraken (4): Liberty Resources Management
  • Fields: Oliver (Williams); Enget Lake (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
    • Kraken has permits for a 4-well Wallace pad in lot 4 / section 6-157-98, Oliver oil field
    • Liberty Resources has a permit for an Albertson well in section 28-158-93, Enget Lake
One permit renewed:
  • CLR: a Gordon Federal permit in Dunn County

Willow Creek Field Getting Active Again; Rig On Site -- February 5, 2020

Willow Creek oil field is tracked here. 

Graphics, February 5, 2020: