Tesla: Blue Eyes Cryin' In The Rain -- July 22, 2018

Tesla: Tesla apparently asking for money back from suppliers on work already completed. Truly bizarre. Tesla confirms it has done this, saying it's common practice in automobile world. If so, news to me.

Two just because I love the guitar playing by Willie Nelson:

Blue Eyes Crying in the Rain, Shania Twain and Willie Nelson

Blue Eyes Crying in the Rain, Willie Nelson

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Cost of Renewables

Idle Rambling -- #16952 -- MRO's Christensen 34-33H In Bailey Field

Locator: 10010CHRISTENSEN.

I noted this last summer, September, 2017, I suppose:

• 16952, 508, MRO, a nice well; candidate for re-frack; off-line these last two months (9/17); t6/08; cum 600K 12/23;
  

So, let's see what came of this well. LOL.

First, the production profile since then:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	14514	14363	11435	8077	982	5988
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	17304	17336	13971	9922	19	7876
BAKKEN	3-2018	25	19238	19124	15911	11003	31	8771
BAKKEN	2-2018	21	11675	11788	9983	7031	183	5488
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	24507	24442	23245	14326	4930	6591
BAKKEN	12-2017	17	15876	16004	13712	10632	3632	5214
BAKKEN	11-2017	24	13304	13104	11367	8961	0	7399
BAKKEN	10-2017	28	24230	24268	10559	16308	0	13557
BAKKEN	9-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	8-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	1	27	0	220	13	0	10
BAKKEN	5-2017	30	654	649	202	488	35	205
BAKKEN	4-2017	30	762	742	209	567	296	11
BAKKEN	3-2017	31	803	808	220	604	306	28
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	680	697	194	513	256	16

It's an MRO well in Bailey oil field, so the odds are that it was a re-fracked well. Let's check FracFocus, API - 33-025-00699: yup, re-fracked, 9/18/17- 9/30/17. From FracFocus: 4.1 million gallons water (moderate re-frack); 85.7% water.

• 16952, 508, MRO, Christensen 34-33H, Bailey, t6/08; cum 332K 5/18

From the operator's sundry form:

• new IP: 1,550
• test: 10/8/2017
• middle Bakken
• 45 stages
• 5.5 million lbs (a medium frack)
• 123K pounds/stage (less than the usual 200,000 lbs/stage)

Neighboring wells:

• 22658, taken off-line during the re-rack but no jump in production;
• 18681, not taken off-line for this frack, but a very, very nice well; jump in production back in 12/14; perhaps I will check up on that later;
• 18842, another huge jump in production, but it was obviously re-fracked; maybe I will check up on it later;

The MRO roughnecks are monsters -- slamming the Bailey with these re-fracks.

The Bakken: It's A Family Affair -- July 22, 2018

From The Dickinson Press:

I have no dog in this fight. I'm glad I'm not the one who has to make the decision. But I know how I would go about making the decision. Smart folks in North Dakota will sort this one out.

Idle Rambling -- MRO Re-Fracks In Bailey -- Incredible -- July 22, 2018

Wow, it just never quits. Last year (2/2017)  I noted:

• 16735, a nice well; off-line since 2/17; neighboring MRO wells about to be fracked?

Checking up on this well tonight, let's look at this production profile. But before we do that, time for a video:

Lonesome Friends of Science, John Prine
Now, back to the production profile of #16735. Is this not awesome! "Predicted" one year ago -- I doubt any other blogger did that. LOL:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2018	28	7403	7392	3052	8797	3642	4588
BAKKEN	4-2018	30	9347	9524	4172	12714	5838	5753
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	15371	15287	7523	21218	4470	14926
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	14278	14218	10000	14655	3650	9356
BAKKEN	1-2018	27	13636	13798	9280	18486	4212	12339
BAKKEN	12-2017	28	15647	15646	13946	23239	4934	15971
BAKKEN	11-2017	23	23468	23376	13002	19918	8019	9779
BAKKEN	10-2017	28	28074	28339	20046	31890	112	28664
BAKKEN	9-2017	29	32764	33151	17006	36248	1	32612
BAKKEN	8-2017	9	14776	13832	0	7276	0	5629
BAKKEN	7-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	5-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	2-2017	9	171	335	37	219	0	167
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	854	892	170	923	0	646
BAKKEN	12-2016	31	907	1038	127	575	0	292
BAKKEN	11-2016	30	881	931	144	566	0	292

Regular readers know the first thing we need to do.

CHECK FracFocus, API - 33-025-00649: yup, re-fracked, 7/9/17 - 7/27/17; 4.2 million gallons of water; 84.55% water. Only 4.2 million gallons -- about half what they usually use in an initial frack. According to the operator, data for re-frack:

• date of test: 8/30/17
• new IP: 2,257 (nice)
• middle Bakken
• 45 stages
• 5.7 million lbs (medium re-frack)
• only 127K lbs of proppant per stage (generally, an initial frack uses 200K sand / stage)

So, again, another MRO-re-frack in Bailey oil field. This is so predictable one wonders if MRO has a VP for re-fracking old Bailey wells. If so, whatever she is being paid, she's not being paid enough. LOL. Wow, these wells must give Art Berman and Jane Nielson heartburn. Tums.

Neighboring wells:

• 30550, 4,516, MRO, Brush 24-8H, Bailey, t9/17; cum 209K 5/18; a 50K+ well (see below);
• 16677, 101 (no typo); MRO, Beck 24-8H, Bailey, t12/07; cum 125K 5/18; (see below);
• 29634, 4,048, MRO, Double H 34-8TFH, Bailey, t9/17; cum 243K 5/18; huge well, see below;
• 29633, 2,400, MRO, Hammel 44-8TFH, Bailey, t4/15; cum 195K 5/18;
• 29632, 2,794, MRO, Wilbert 44-8H, Bailey, t4/15; cum 236K 5/18;

30550:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2018	31	15486	15171	26464	25086	10610	13212
BAKKEN	4-2018	13	5149	5239	6071	6671	3607	2437
BAKKEN	3-2018	25	8154	8355	7980	18411	4189	13184
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	19990	20008	18145	40225	10399	27342
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	25295	25587	29202	43467	12228	28429
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	28700	28195	39597	43453	12682	27131
BAKKEN	11-2017	20	12272	12430	24925	30171	4998	21955
BAKKEN	10-2017	25	34503	35140	36042	44870	132	39963
BAKKEN	9-2017	26	58582	57628	0	62703	2	56224
BAKKEN	8-2017	1	662	620	0	167	0	95

16677, originally drilled back in 2008; off-line for seven years, from 2/10 to 9/17:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2018	26	14745	14691	9199	15616	0	14372
BAKKEN	4-2018	28	17019	17463	13336	19434	0	17252
BAKKEN	3-2018	31	33092	32423	22871	33177	0	29293
BAKKEN	2-2018	7	6096	6022	2943	5657	0	4952
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	2862	2930	3665	274	0	49
BAKKEN	12-2017	31	4676	4744	6724	2951	0	2517
BAKKEN	11-2017	29	11181	11206	15276	17459	3764	12583
BAKKEN	10-2017	17	20016	19809	0	21485	69	19394
BAKKEN	9-2017	1	52	51	0	47	0	41
BAKKEN	8-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	7-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	6-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0

29634:

Pool	Date	Days	BBLS Oil	Runs	BBLS Water	MCF Prod	MCF Sold	Vent/Flare
BAKKEN	5-2018	29	14139	14034	13617	19546	8338	10089
BAKKEN	4-2018	25	13674	13825	11979	25036	11614	11715
BAKKEN	3-2018	30	17981	18002	18065	27267	5720	19396
BAKKEN	2-2018	28	22690	22840	17201	34461	8568	23180
BAKKEN	1-2018	31	36728	36854	34783	48218	12642	31742
BAKKEN	12-2017	27	29520	29192	25044	28452	10151	16010
BAKKEN	11-2017	25	24310	24329	31887	21525	8123	11158
BAKKEN	10-2017	31	40114	40444	39575	45064	147	40479
BAKKEN	9-2017	23	43939	43192	2136	42597	2	37738

Which brings us to another song: I would rather die young than to live without you, I would rather go hungry than to eat lonesome stew; .... once in a lifetime, and it won't come again .... it's here and it's gone ... on a magnolia wind ....

Magnolia Wind, John Prine and Emmylou Harris Limerence.

Wow, these Bakken wells have a story to tell. 

For newbies: these Bakken wells will produce for seventy years -- and during their lifetime: re-works; mini-re-fracks; neighboring wells will be fracked; major re-fracks; re-entry to go after different formations; etc; etc.

Disclaimer: I am inappropriately exuberant about the Bakken. 

NASCAR -- Great Race -- Kevin Harvick Pushes Kyle Busch Out Of The Way; Wins His 6th Race This Year -- July 22, 2018

The Sports Page

The Open: the final day -- the front nine, incredibly exciting; Tiger Woods appeared to be in the running; the back nine: boring! Molinari of Italy came out of nowhere (sort of) and easily won the tournament.

NASCAR: New Hampshire one-mile oval. Last 44 laps now. Should be over in 22 minutes if no cautions (in a caution now).

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The Ledecky Page

Katie Ledecky is featured on the current issue of National Geographic. More later.

Heart of Glass, Blondie

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The Book Page

I returned the biography of the Mitford girls to the library. I bicycled to the library, about 4 miles each way; the temperature was 103 degrees. But it was a dry heat. Wow, that's hot. Biking is easier than running, and probably even easier than walking. I did not break a sweat, but I did wear a broad-brimmed safari hat.


My "consequential" book for the next week: The Victorians, A. N. Wilson, c. 2003. The heft and feel of the book is awesome. I love the feel of the paper, and love the pitch and font. This should be a fun book; it is a continuation of my "China phase."

Time period:

• parliament burned down in 1934
• Charles Darwin on the HMS Beagle, nearing Tierra del Fuego, 1934
• Charles Dicken: Pickwick mania
• Thomas Carlyle's French Revolution; Carlyle -- perhaps the best-loved author of the day
• Princess Victoria becomes queen: 1837
• 1837 - 1844: the worst economic depression that had ever afflicted the British people; and,
• the question: why no revolution in Great Britain; 1848 is known as the Year of Revolutions on the European continent
• and, so I begin.