Friday, March 30, 2018

A Graphic Worth 10,000 Words -- March 30, 2018


It would be interesting to have a similar graph with two natural gas exporters superimposed / compared: the US and Qater. Or the US and Russia. Or the US and anyone else.

Update On Another Whiting Tri-Lateral Horizontal -- Maynard Uran #16781 -- March 30, 2018

This post with another Whiting tri-lateral horizontal.

This well:
  • 16781, 1,923, Whiting, Maynard Uran Trust 11-24H, Sanish, t4/08; cum 624K 1/18;
Recent production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20183017241979311300728610
BAKKEN12-20173118151443348309929440
BAKKEN11-20173018081830429315430040
BAKKEN10-20173118841859607318830330
BAKKEN9-20173018461843679321630660
BAKKEN8-20173119571976699347733230
BAKKEN7-20173118681852630392937740
BAKKEN6-20173018271957753301928690
BAKKEN5-20173119821977806325831030

Note jump in production in June, 2015. Also note that during this time, this well was taken off-lien for about 40 days:
BAKKEN11-201530563752462268563954890
BAKKEN10-201531583657672362543352780
BAKKEN9-2015305468565024253808357786
BAKKEN8-201531598159663757488747320
BAKKEN7-201531635062223982517050160
BAKKEN6-2015301008510302582484087666593
BAKKEN5-201516569154586624331132330
BAKKEN4-2015786780428310289950
BAKKEN3-201531404740381255484046860
BAKKEN2-201528402140281338343733000

During that period, two neighboring wells were fracked near the tri-lateral (#16781).

The graphic:;

Whiting Gets The Peery State (#16463) Back Into Production -- March 30, 2018

The well:
  • 16463, 1,081, Whiting, Peery State 11-25H, Sanish, t5/0; 385K as of 9/15; now 397K 1/8; very little production after 2014; ... until mid-2017
I had not updated this well since September, 2015. That's about 2.5 years ago. I've gone through all the 16XXX wells, the 17XXX wells, the 18XXX wells, and am working through the 19XXX wells -- and there are thousands of Bakken wells drilled between 2007 and 2011 that are "lousy" wells.

So, going through all these thousands of wells, here's what can happen in the Bakken, something we don't see in conventional plays.

In October, 2013, for all practical purposes this well was taken off-line; occasionally there was some production.

Here's an example of the production in CY 2014:
BAKKEN12-2014133121190
BAKKEN11-20144232800
BAKKEN10-2014317886426640
BAKKEN9-201430713711142450260131
BAKKEN8-2014425825155237129101
BAKKEN7-20140000000
BAKKEN6-20140000000
BAKKEN5-20140000000
BAKKEN4-20140000000
BAKKEN3-20140000000
BAKKEN2-20140000000
BAKKEN1-20140000000

Here's an example of the production from this well in CY 2016:
BAKKEN12-20160010000
BAKKEN11-2016310947400
BAKKEN10-20160000000
BAKKEN9-20160000000
BAKKEN8-20160000000
BAKKEN7-20160000000
BAKKEN6-20160000000
BAKKEN5-20160000000
BAKKEN4-201614420200
BAKKEN3-20161118200
BAKKEN2-201610017200
BAKKEN1-20161119200

Maybe someone smarter than I can see the incredible difference in production between 2015 and 2016. I can't.

But prior to 2014, it was a pretty good well:
BAKKEN9-201325114312465522422094100
BAKKEN8-201331246623911712782264971
BAKKEN7-20133125762692277298029180
BAKKEN6-20132528302838346205320070
BAKKEN5-20133134803350231335332910
BAKKEN4-20133036373703182341833580

So, pretty much a dead well after 2015? Apparently not.

Look at the production starting in June, 2017:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20183115021665619212720650
BAKKEN12-20173115041342846274726850
BAKKEN11-201730144014301048271226520
BAKKEN10-201731146414611137274526830
BAKKEN9-201730147314811681251124510
BAKKEN8-201731175917861374215920970
BAKKEN7-201731162615941354165915970
BAKKEN6-201727108010662539116211080

So, what happened?

FracFocus: no evidence that this well has been re-fracked. No evidence that this has anything to do with neighboring wells.

But, then there's a sundry formed received by the NDIC, June 2, 2017, for work completed May 23 2017: "Due to a tight spot found at ~8,180' in the HCL-80 casing, Whiting Petroleum set a 5.5" permanent packer at 8700' with 2500' of 5.5", 23 ppf scab liner above it with liner top packer."

An attached19-page diagram suggests work was begun April 11, 2017. The total AFE was $950,000. With the work-over, how is the well doing?

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN1-20183115021665619212720650
BAKKEN12-20173115041342846274726850
BAKKEN11-201730144014301048271226520
BAKKEN10-201731146414611137274526830
BAKKEN9-201730147314811681251124510
BAKKEN8-201731175917861374215920970
BAKKEN7-201731162615941354165915970
BAKKEN6-201727108010662539116211080
BAKKEN5-20170000000
BAKKEN4-20170000000


This well, #16463, was a tri-lateral horizontal. See graphic below. None of the neighboring wells were taken off-line while this well was being re-worked.







Random Note About Enerplus Wells in Spotted Horn -- March 30, 2018

Some Enerplus wells in Spotted Horn are coming back on line and neighboring wells are now showing production runs, but still on confidential list. This post will not be updated. The wells in question are posted at this site. That site is not updated; I am still waiting to see the IP and production data of the wells on SI/NC status -- they should be reporting soon.

Showing Some Life? Slawson's Matilda Bay, #27635 -- March 30, 2018

September 12, 2014: a failed frack; will it be re-fracked?
  • 27635, IA/137, Slawson, Matilda Bay 1-15H, Stockyard Creek, 8 stages; planned for 24, mechanical problems; 600,000 pounds proppant; single section spacing, fracked May 22 -23, 2014, according to FracFocus; t6/14; cum 44K 11/16; went off-line middle of July, 2014; then began producing again 10/14; production up markedly, November, 2014 through January, 2015; as of 9/16, no new frack; API 33-105-03404; off-line as of 9/17; 
Update, March 30, 2018 -- nothing in the file report and nothing at FracFocus, but after being off-line for almost a year, this well was back on-line for 23 days in February, 2018:

PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20182339633532284964334
BAKKEN1-20180000000
BAKKEN12-20170000000
BAKKEN11-20170000000
BAKKEN10-20170000000
BAKKEN9-20170000000
BAKKEN8-20170000000
BAKKEN7-20170000000
BAKKEN6-20170000000
BAKKEN5-20170000000
BAKKEN4-20170000000
BAKKEN3-2017312142821839898340
BAKKEN2-201728381676276127811380
BAKKEN1-201731517336289143012750