Saturday, November 17, 2012

ObamaCare: North Dakota Elects to Defer to Federal Government

Updates

November 19, 2012: why ObamaCare is still no sure thing
At its core, ObamaCare is a massive entitlement expansion. Between vastly increased Medicaid eligibility and new premium subsidies, it is expected to bring 30 million more people onto the federal government's entitlement rolls. The law anticipates that the states will take on the burden of implementing the expansions, but states can opt out of both (exchanges and expansion of Medicaid).
November 19, 2012: it looks like North Dakota got it right (again) on this one, deferring to the Federal government on health exchanges. Look at the California experience. 
"We are in our countdown period," said Peter Lee, executive director of Covered California, the state's new health insurance marketplace that opens in October 2013.
Under the federal law, the state-run exchange aims to fundamentally reshape the health insurance market by negotiating with insurers for the best rates and assisting consumers in choosing a plan. The exchange must also help millions of Californians figure out whether they qualify for an expansion of Medicaid, the government insurance for the poor, or federally subsidized private coverage.
Federal officials have a lot riding on the California effort. How the state's insurance exchange fares will be an important test of [ObamaCare] at a time when many Republican-led states are resisting implementation. California leaders also hope they can harness the purchasing power of the exchange to improve patient care and make healthcare more affordable.
All of that, however, depends on getting enough people — healthy and unhealthy, uninsured and insured — to enroll. If that doesn't happen, the state could lose billions in federal dollars and insurance premiums could soar. The task is daunting, given the size and diversity of California's population, said Paul Fearer, an exchange board member.
Where is Cesar Chavez when we need him? He could max out the enrollment lists. 

November 18, 2012: for the informationally-challenged: link to ObamaCare. 

Original Post
Link here to LA Times.

Exchanges:
State exchanges: California, Colorado, Connecticut, Hawaii, Iowa, Kentucky, Maryland, Massachusetts, Minnesota, Mississippi, Nevada, New Mexico, New York, Oregon, Rhode Island, Vermont and Washington (as of November, 2012)

No-state exchanges (defer to the federal exchange):  Alabama, Alaska, Georgia, Indiana, Kansas, Louisiana, Maine, Missouri, Nebraska, North Dakota, Ohio, South Carolina, South Dakota, Texas, Virginia, Wisconsin and Wyoming (as of November, 2012)

Partnership exchanges with the federal government: Illinois (as of November, 2012) -- hardly surprising

Undecided about exchanges, state vs federal government: Arizona, Arkansas, Florida, Idaho, Michigan, New Hampshire, New Jersey, Oklahoma, Pennsylvania, Tennessee, Utah and West Virginia (as of November, 2012)

Random Update of A Few Wells; Updating The Helis Wells in the Grail

In addition to these two wells, I have updated a few others at this post.
  • 19323, 2,521, Helis, Thompson 1-29/32H, Grail, t8/11; cum 293K 9/12; a Three Forks well; 28 stages; 3.3 million lbs; 
  • 19056, 825, Hess, Devils Canyon 17-1H, Lone Butte, 29 days; fracture data never submitted (assuming it was fracked?), t8/11; cum 108K 9/12;
So, how are the other Helis Grail wells doing? See below. Be sure to note the test date and the total production to date; really quite amazing. It appears the entire Grail is held by production. It is active, but not particularly noteworthy. Remember, QEP bought Helis this past year.

Helis Oil permits in the Grail:
  • 19894, PA/794, Helis, Gabbert 4-2/11H, Grail, t2/12; cum 7K 9/12; 6 stages; 560K lbs;
  • 22879, 1,873, Helis,Gabbert 4-2/11HR, t9/12; cum 302K 8/19;
  • 22880, 1,834, Helis, Bert 2-2/11H, t7/12; cum 372K 8/19;
  • 19898, 2,421, Helis, Gabbert 3-3/10H, Grail, t10/11; cum 472K 8/19;
  • 19680, 2,246, Helis, Johnson 1-4/9H; Grail, t9/11; cum 440K 8/19;
  • 17267, PNC, Helis,
  • 16689, PA/142, Helis, Linseth 4-8H, Grail, t6/08; cum 78K 9/12;
  • 21437, 2,256, Helis, Lawlar 16-8/5H, Grail, t4/12; cum 421K 8/19;
  • 16856, PA, last produced 12/11; 185, Peterson 15-15H, Grail, t6/08; cum 83K 9/12;
  • 18448, 2,429, Helis, Andrecovich 5-17/16H, Grail, t9/10; cum 542K 8/19;
  • 22194, 1,248, QEP/Helis, Moberg 13-17/16H, Grail, Three Forks, 30 stages; 3 million lbs, t2/13; cum 486K 8/19;
  • 20226, 1,598, QEP/Helis, Moberg 4-20/21H, Grail, t12/11; cum 523K 8/19;
  • 21052, AB/1,684, QEP/Helis, Moberg 15-22/15H, Grail, t12/11; cum 172K 9/13;
  • 19379, 1,379, QEP/Helis, Kirkland 13-23/14H, Grail, t8/11; cum 376K 8/19;
  • 22363, 2,108, QEP/Helis,Kirkland 15E-23/14H, t10/14; cum 249K 8/19;
  • 21054, 1,601, QEP/Helis, Veeder 1-27/34H, Grail, t2/12; cum 377K 8/19;
  • 21465, 1,907, QEP/Helis, TAT 15-33/28H, Grail, t5/12; cum 533K 8/19;
  • 21456, 2,014, QEP/Helis, TAT 13-35/26H, Grail, t7/12; cum 467K 8/19;
  • 17722, 2,068, QEP/Helis, Henderson Federal 4-26/35H, Grail, t1/11; cum 367K 8/19;
  • 23278, 2,143, QEP/Helis, Paul 1-26/35H, t1/14; cum 299K 8/19;
  • 16929, SWD/517, QEP/Helis, Levang 4-28H, Grail, t8/08; cum 55K 8/19;
  • 20780, 2,190, QEP/Helis, Henderson 1-28/33H, Grail, t6/12; cum 552K 8/19;
  • 17894, PNC, 
  • 19323, 2,521, QEP/Helis, Thompson 1-29/32H, Grail, t8/11; cum 578K 8/19;
  • 22378, PNC, Helis,
  • 23626, PNC, Helis,
  • 19104, 1,203, QEP/Helis, Henderson 16-34/27H, Grail, t5/11; cum 426K 8/19;
  • 22371, 3,668, QEP/Helis, Hazel 13-34/27H, Grail, t5/13; cum 629K 8/19;

KOG Presents At Merrill Lynch

Link here to SeekingAlpha.com.
This is the slide that always bring all the attention to Kodiak and what we’re doing and it has been a growth story. There are no questions. This year has been a year of execution, what we’re trying to accomplish. You’ll see our growth on the far right side. We’ve taken the company basically from 10,000 barrels a day as we entered the year and we hope to exit somewhere close to 27,000 to 30,000 barrels a day. We started the year a little bit slow. We had some acquisitions work that we brought in late 2011-early 2012, integrated that into our company during the first quarter. I think the second and third quarter has been a lot of fun.
We’re all of a sudden rocking on all cylinders here. We’re completing somewhere in the neighborhood of five to six wells with each of our fractures every month now. So we’ve got a busy fourth quarter scheduled, about 26 net wells that we anticipate completing, that’s comprised 23 that we operate ourselves approximately, three not operated. So people ask how we’re going to get from our current 16 range that we exited Q3 with to 27 as pretty simple. The wells are there, we’ve got hold if the weather cooperates a little bit with us. We have two crews that are completing wells right now.
So, on an average we’re getting 10 wells done each month.
The entire presentation is incredible. Don has pointed out several times that one could have bought shares in this little company for 60 cents/share not too long ago.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. See the "disclaimer" and the "welcome" for more. Do not make any investment decisions based on what you read here. 

Week 46: November 11, 2012 -- November 17, 2012

Note: unfortunately, several important stories do not get posted here because they are "buried" in multiple-story posts.

Bakken operations
New production records in September
Baytex: some of their best wells ever
North Dakota: twelve (12) percent of US oil output
Bakken could produce 4 million bopd by 2025
US to surpass Saudi in production by 2017; surpass Russia by sizeable margin by 2015

Economic development
Wall Street firm to invest millions in new Williston development
Williston, Minot set new permitting records
Dickinson: $1 billion
New Home of Economy in Minot
Headlines from the Williston Wire
Bakken will need 50,000 more workers by 2015
Hotel in Alexander will go up in 90 days
Acme Tools to build in Williston

Deals
Targa Resources to buy Bakken assets $1 billion

Trivia
CO2-EOR in North Dakota 
Coolest link of the week: photos of BNSF crude-by-rail terminals

Commentary
Friday night ramblings
Drilling in North Dakota: federal land vs private land

Dickinson: Projected Growth; Cost Of That Development -- $1 Billion

Assuming the EPA does not shut down the Bakken, of course.

Link here to the Bismarck Tribune.
Dickinson residents took a look at their future Thursday night and saw a population that doubles to 41,000 by 2025 and a vast array of new streets, water lines and towers, sewage lagoons and other improvements to handle it.
They also saw that the cost of $900 million to absorb 20,000 more people amounts to about $45,000 for each one of those newcomers, spread out over time.
The numbers were unveiled in a comprehensive land use plan prepared by KLJ Engineering. The plan shows how and where the city will spread out based on annexation and development requests. And it shows the infrastructure that will have to get there first and existing streets that will have to be rebuilt to carry the new traffic out there.