Friday, December 2, 2022

Vehicle-to-Grid Technology Could Make EVs an Asset to the Power Grid -- RBN Energy -- December 2, 2022

RBN Energy: vehicle-to-grid technology could make EVs an asset to the power grid. Archived.This should be an interesting read. Ford's CEO recently said he was surprised by the public's huge endorsement, enthusiasm, excitement for its F-150 Lightning. Folks aren't buying it for towing.

The debate around the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) has often centered on the burden the shift will put on the power grid, both in terms of overall load and particularly peak load. Those concerns amplify risks to grid stability and sufficiency, the ability to meet summertime spikes in power demand, and the need to accommodate a growing share of power generation from renewable sources such as wind and solar. Now, the introduction of bidirectional charging and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology — both of which are just beginning to enter the conversation around EVs — is likely to make the discourse even more complicated and interesting. In today’s RBN blog, we explain the basics of V2G tech, some ways in which it could one day add strength and reliability to the power grid, and some barriers to wider adoption.

We first looked at EVs and their effect on the power grid in an earlier post laying out the basics about charging infrastructure and the challenges that wider EV adoption will pose for the California and Texas  energy and power markets. We looked at the sudden burst of attention that EVs have received this year, the impact  of higher gasoline pricees on the EV market, and how the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is incentivizing automakers to make more EVs in the U.S.

One of the hottest EVs in the market today is the Ford F-150 Lightning, the iconic brand’s first all-electric pickup. Ford said it planned to produce 40,000 vehicles/year when it was unveiled in May 2021 but boosted that target to 150,000/year less than a year later. Ford has said that demand was two to three times more than expected and that it already had reservations for more than 200,000 vehicles. And it’s not hard to see why even die-hard truck-lovers are signing up. The base model’s 426-horsepower output is more than a top-of-the-line 3500 Ram, Silverado, or F-350. It has a reported range of 320 miles — more than enough to comfortably drive from Dallas to Houston — alleviating some of the range anxiety. And, as we’ll get to later, for areas where backup power generation is highly sought after due to natural disasters, the Lightning’s bidirectional capability could be a lifesaver.

Ford: down 30% this past year (full year). An incredibly good stock for traders but one has to be nimble. I'm not (nimble) when it comes to investing / trading.


Devon
: up almost 70% this past year (full year). Start here. August 7, 2021.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.  

TGIF, Part 3 -- December 2, 2022

Dow crashes; WTI doing just fine --

  • DVN: up 1.11%
  • MNRL up 0.64%
  • NOG: up 0.42%
  • CVX: up slightly;
  • COP: up slightly;
  • PSX: down 0.3%
  • MPC: down 0.74%
  • KMI: down 0.74%
  • ENB: down 1.2%
  • EPD: down 0.6%

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.  

Back To The Bakken; CLR: Full Speed Ahead, Damn The Torpedoes And Venezuela -- December 2, 2022

From yesterday, daily activity report:

Active rigs: 42.

Six new permits, #39447 - #39452, inclusive:

  • Operator: CLR
  • Field: Little Knife (Dunn)
  • Comments:
    • CLR has permits for six Edward wells, SESE 23-146-97, 
      • to be sited 341 FSL - 343 FSL and between 357 FEL and 517 FEL
    • existing, #20363, 668, CLR, Edward 1-23H, Little Knife, t2/12; cum 336K 9/22;
      • plateaued early; maintained 1,500 bbls/month; nice well;

Three producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:

  • 34301, 5,580, XTO, Rough Federal 44X-23H, North Fork, minimal production reported;
  • 34305, 5,787, XTO, Rough Federal 44X-23F, North Fork, minimal production reported;
  • 38563, 3,659, Hess, GO-Haug-156-98-3031H-1, Wheelock, no production data;

Dry hole:

  • 29088, dry/TA/PA, EOG, Van Hook 35-1319H, 
    • was TA November 8, 2018 -- due to commodity prices

Today:

The Far Side: link here. 

WTI: $81.49.

Natural gas: $6.534.

Monday, December 5, 2022: 14 for the month, 123 for the quarter, 667 for the year.
38804, conf, Hunt, King 156-90-4-35H 3,
38799, conf, CLR, Medicine Hole 12-27H,
37961, conf, Enerplus, Waffle 151-94-16A-21H,
29286, conf, Slawson, Phatkat Federal 4-18-7TFH,

Sunday, December 4, 2022: 10 for the month, 119 for the quarter, 663 for the year.
38800, conf, CLR, Medicine Hole 13-27H1,
37962, conf, Enerplus, Sausage 151-94-16B-21H,
29283, conf, Slawson, Phatkat Federal 5-18-7TFH,

Saturday, December 3, 2022: 7 for the month, 116 for the quarter, 660 for the year.
38801, conf, CLR, Medicine Hole 15-27H,
29284, conf, Slawson, Vixen Federal 5-19-30TFH,

Friday, December 2, 2022: 5 for the month, 114 for the quarter, 658 for the year.
38802, conf, CLR, Medicine Hole 16-27HSL1,
37963, conf, Enerplus, Pancake 151-94-16B-21H,

RBN Energy: vehicle-to-grid technology could make EVs an asset to the power grid. Archived.This should be an interesting read. Ford's CEO recently said he was surprised by the public's huge endorsement, enthusiasm, excitement for its F-150 Lightning. Folks aren't buying it for towing.

The debate around the transition to electric vehicles (EVs) has often centered on the burden the shift will put on the power grid, both in terms of overall load and particularly peak load. Those concerns amplify risks to grid stability and sufficiency, the ability to meet summertime spikes in power demand, and the need to accommodate a growing share of power generation from renewable sources such as wind and solar. Now, the introduction of bidirectional charging and vehicle-to-grid (V2G) technology — both of which are just beginning to enter the conversation around EVs — is likely to make the discourse even more complicated and interesting. In today’s RBN blog, we explain the basics of V2G tech, some ways in which it could one day add strength and reliability to the power grid, and some barriers to wider adoption.

We first looked at EVs and their effect on the power grid in an earlier post laying out the basics about charging infrastructure and the challenges that wider EV adoption will pose for the California and Texas  energy and power markets. We looked at the sudden burst of attention that EVs have received this year, the impact  of higher gasoline pricees on the EV market, and how the Inflation Reduction Act (IRA) is incentivizing automakers to make more EVs in the U.S.

One of the hottest EVs in the market today is the Ford F-150 Lightning, the iconic brand’s first all-electric pickup. Ford said it planned to produce 40,000 vehicles/year when it was unveiled in May 2021 but boosted that target to 150,000/year less than a year later. Ford has said that demand was two to three times more than expected and that it already had reservations for more than 200,000 vehicles. And it’s not hard to see why even die-hard truck-lovers are signing up. The base model’s 426-horsepower output is more than a top-of-the-line 3500 Ram, Silverado, or F-350. It has a reported range of 320 miles — more than enough to comfortably drive from Dallas to Houston — alleviating some of the range anxiety. And, as we’ll get to later, for areas where backup power generation is highly sought after due to natural disasters, the Lightning’s bidirectional capability could be a lifesaver.

Ford: down 30% this past year (full year).

Devon: up almost 70% this past year (full year). Start here. August 7, 2021.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.  

TGIF, Part 2 -- December 2, 2022

Cold, link here.

The western half of the U.S. just observed its coldest November in 22 years! There's not a headline about it. This is pretty significant, especially during an energy crisis with sky-high inflation.

Heating oil: reserves to be released? Link here.

  • important, but no longer an emergency now that the mid-term elections are over.

Amazon streaming: link here. 

  • NFL TNF, anoche, most anticipated game of the week?
  • only on Amazon Prime Video
  • Buffalo Bills crush Belichick without Brady: 24 - 10
  • next week, another huge game for Amazon's TNF: the Los Angeles - Las Vegas market (huge market), despite lousy records
    • LV Raiders (4 - 7) vs the LA Rams (3 - 9)
  • is it just me, or are the TNF match-ups now more exciting than the MNF match-ups?
    • most recent MNF match-up: Pittsburgh Steelers (24) vs Indianapolis Colts (17)
      • Steelers: 4 - 7; last in their division
      • Colts: 4 - 7; second in theirs

Dividends: this is all old news.

  • MPC
  • MCD
  • ENB

For investors: well, that didn't work out for many; link here;

  • Harvard University losses? Estimated to be $1 billion
    • at $100,000 / year = 10,000 full-ride scholarships / year

IRA withdrawals in 2022: new IRS reporting rules. Link here. Or search IRS-Form W-4R.

  • my first reaction was: "Oh, no."
  • but after further reflection: "Awesome." 

NOG: also old news but for the archives -- NOG announces closing of core northern Delaware Basin bolt-on acquistion. Link here. 

TTE: to cut UK investment by 25% after windfall tax. Link here.

TGIF, Part 1 -- December 2, 2022

There is so much happening today, I won't be able keep up. I will do the best I can.

Recession? what recession?

  • stronger-than-expected jobs data;
  • jobs:
    • increased by 263,000 in November, 2022
    • forecast: 200,000 jobs
  • unemployment rate unchanged at 3.7%
  • market drops 300 points in pre-market trading
    • sell-off won't last; an over-reaction
    • but for the moment, a great buying opportunity

Looks a lot like a recession:

  • November ISM manufacturing PMI: crashing
  • from recent high of 90 to below 50; link here;
    • below 50: contraction (recession)
    • prices have peeled back for eight consecutive months
    • lowest levels since May, 2022
  • Germany: 46.2 vs 46.7 preliminary; deindustrialization is the new buzzword; 
  • tag: inflation, transitory;

PMI, US November data, link here -- really, really alarming -- is this what drove JPow's "off-tthee-cuff" remarks yesterday -- suggesting a "pause" while re-assessing what's happening? This will be re-posted. This is the chart of the day; not the chart Javier Blas suggested as the chart of the day.

The S&P Global US Manufacturing PMI was revised slightly higher to 47.7 in November of 2022 from a preliminary of 47.6, but continued to point to the first contraction in factory activity since June of 2020.
The fall was driven by declines in output and new orders. Demand conditions weakened in domestic and external markets, as new export orders fell further.
Employment growth slowed as pressure on capacity dwindled and backlogs of work contracted strongly.
On a more positive note, supply chains improved for the first time since October 2019, with price pressures softening as a result of reduced demand for inputs from firms. Input costs rose at the slowest rate for two years.
Meanwhile, business confidence remained historically subdued, as concerns regarding inflation and customer hesitancy weighed on optimism.

Housing:

  • Blackstone: link here. Yesterday, mainstream media.
  • Blog: link here. Two days ago.
  • Tags: inflation, housing, transitory. 

Dividends:

EV infrastructure:

China: starting to open up? Easier said than done. Another head fake?

SPR: isn't this interesting?

DUCs: link here.

Investors:

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.   

Railroads: what the issue is all about. Great article.