Sunday, April 21, 2019

EOG's 2919H / 1919H Austin Wells In The Parshall -- April 21, 2019

17614, see this post. Note: 805,000 bbls and this was a very short lateral drilled back in 2009. And production has recently jumped four-fold.

Wells coming off the confidential list this next week. Note the "chronologic" numbers for these wells.

Some EOG Austin wells in the Parshall:

The graphic (clicking on the image will enlarge it):


The wells:

17263, 3,124, Murex, Chandler James 25-36H, Sanish, t10/08; cum 1.138382 million bbls;

24077, PNC, EOG, Asutin 112-2919HC, Parshall,
24076 (alongside #24077), 1,049, EOG, Austin 31-2919H, Parshall, F, t9/14; cum 721K 2/19; nice jump in 12/18;

26516, loc, EOG, Austin 40-3204H,
26514, loc, EOG, Austin 41-3204H,

34343, loc, EOG, Austin 407-2919H,
34345, loc, EOG, Austin 404-2919H,

34550, conf, EOG, Austin 411-2919H, producing,
34551, conf, EOG, Austin 112-2919H,producing,
34552, conf, EOG, Austin 414-2919H, producing, and a very nice well;

17614, see this post;

32261, loc, EOG, Austin 97-3204H,
32262, loc, EOG, Austin 98-3204H,
32263, loc, EOG, Austin 99-3204H,

Parental advisory:

Ride, Lana Del Rey

Reminder: Tomorrow Is Earth Day 2019

Go out and hug a roughneck.

Billions of people in North America depend on glaciers -- NY Times -- can't make this stuff up -- 


Meanwhile, Passover, this week, and Easter, today.

Easter.

From the pope: another elite telling me to do with less --


Meanwhile, the view from the pulpit:


*********************** 
Poor Side Of Town 

Poor Side of Town, Johnny Rivers

************************** 
How I Found Them

Johnny Rivers: freshman roommate in college
Shakespeare: freshman roommate in college
Henry James: female acquaintance of some years ago
love of chemistry: high school chemistry teacher
Helen of Troy: brother-in-law
heterosexuality: second grade teacher (LOL)
investing: my dad
feminism: first love
Judaism: love of my life (wife)

*********************************
Helicopter Moms

Link at WSJ.

By the way, helicopter moms are being pushed aside by "snowplow parents."


What Condition Is My Condition In? Just Dropped In To See -- April 21, 2019

Google, "Bakken oil": the blog shows up on the second page; #17 of 9,750,000 results.
Google, "Bakken oil blogs": the blog shows up on the first page, occupying #2 and #3 spots, of 2,420,000 results; preceded only by bakkenoilbiz; the latter's current page shows Ryan Zinke's resignation

Google, "Bakken oil blog": of 2,730,000 results, the blog sits at #1; #2 is the Bakken Blog, followed by Bakken Oil - Jobs; and, bakkenoilbiz. 

Just Dropped In (To See What My Condition My Condition Was In, Kenny Rogers

Pageviews/Day

April 21, 2019, 8:44 a.m. Central Time: 11,979,559 pageviews = 84.5 days since last update = 226,762 pageviews since last update = 2,684 hits/day
 
January 26, 2019, 4:45 p.m. Central Time: 11,752,797 pageviews = 2,525 hits/day (all-time low)

August 8, 2018, 9:53 a.m. Central Time: 11,321,733 pageviews = 3,513 hits/day
April 5, 2018, 12:58 p.m. Central Time: 10,991,442 pageviews = 3,688 hits/day
April 3, 2018, 11:53 p.m. Central Time: 10,984,065 pageviews = 3,744 hits/day
April 2, 2018, 12:06 p.m. Central Time, 10,980,321 pageviews = 3,729 hits/day
December 14, 2017, 10:22 a.m Central Time, 10,573,799 pageviews, 278 days = 3,478 hits/day; first day with ads
March 11, 2017, 7:00 p.m. Central Time, 9,606,964 pageviews, 38 days = 3, 947 hits/day
February 1, 2017, 7:00 p.m. Central Time, 9,456,965 pageviews; 8 days = 3,922 hits/day
January 24, 2017, 5:00 p.m. Central Time: 9,425,582 pageviews.
December 29, 2016, 12:30 p.m.: 9,336,868, 8 days = 3,406 hits/day; holiday break
December 21, 2016, 12:30 p.m.: 9,309,617, 2 days = 24 hours = 8943 / 2 days = 4,472 hits/day;
December 19, 2016, 12:30 p.m.: 9,300,674,  13 days, 1.5 hours = 313.5 hours; 184.92/hour = 4,438 / day (Monday with two weekends)
December 6, 2016, 11:00 a.m.: 9,242,703, one day: 5,272 hits / day (Monday-to-Tuesday)
December 5, 2016, 11:00 a.m.: 9,237,431; one day:  4,953 hits / day (Sunday-to-Monday)
December 4, 2016, 11:00 a.m.: 9,232,478; two days: 9,410 hits / 2 days = 4,705 hits / day (Friday/Saturday)
December 2, 2016, 11:00 a.m.: 9,223,068; 25 hours; 4,235 hits / 25 hours or 4,066 hits/day
December 1, 2016, 10:00 a.m.: 9,218,833; 48 hours; 3,651 hits/day
November 29, 2016, 11:00 a.m.: 9,211,530; exactly 24 hours; 3,907 hits / day
November 28, 2016, 11:00 a.m.: 9,207,623; 106 days; 318,735 hits / 106 days = 3,007 hits / day (with Bakken 2.0 I started noting that the number of hits was increasing)
August 14, 2016: 2:15 p.m. 8,888,888; 16.5 days; 47,744 hits / 16.5 days = 2,894 hits / day (which appears to be a record low)
July 29, 2016, 4:00 a.m.: 8,841,144; 124 days;  385,032 hits / 124 days = 3,105 hits / day
March 26, 2016, 3:00 p.m.: 8,456,112; 102 days; 316,691 hits / 102 days = 3,105 hits / day
December 15, 2015, 10:00 p.m.: 8,139,421; 81 days; 244,017 hits / 81 days = 3,013 hits / day
September 25, 2015, 11:30 p.m.: 7,895,404; 122 days; 391,912 hits / 122 days = 3,212 hits / day
May 26, 2015, 10:50 p.m.: 7,503,492; 42 days; 138,825 hits / 42 days = 3,305 hits / day
April 14, 2015, 10:20 p.m.: 7,364,667; 38 days; 3,607 / day
March 7, 2015, 10:40 p.m.: 7,227,613; 20 days; 3,570 / day
February 15, 2015, 11:50 p.m.: 7,156,204; 6 days; 3,797 / day
February 9, 2015, 11:50 p.m.: 7,133,420; 34 days; 3,924 / day
January 6, 2015, 11:50 p.m.: 7,000,000; 23 days: 4,283 / day
December 14, 2014, 9:40 p.m.; 6,901,501 / 26 days: 4,389 / day
November 18, 2014, 9:40 p.m.: 6,787,392 / 60 days: 3,755 / day
September 18, 2014, 6:40 p.m.: 6,562,034 /  114 days: ~ 3,750 /day
May 27, 2014, 5:30 p.m.: 6,134,532: ~ 3,414/day
May 20, 2014, 5:30 p.m.: 6,110,630: ~ 3,815/day
April 21, 2014, 5:30 pm: 6,000,000 +/- one or two (from January 26, about 3,858/day)
January 26, 2014, 7:36 pm: 5,672,024
April 30, 2013, 1:25 pm: 4,503,783 (~ 6,446/day)
April 1, 2013, 9:28 am: 4,316,824 (~ 6,820/day)
March 5, 2013, 8:26 pm: 4,139,487
February 14, 2013, 12:38 pm: 4,003,893
Overnight, February 13 - 14, 2013: 4 millionth visitor
Projected, 4 millionth visit -- February 14, 2013
February 7, 2013, 10:34 am: 3,951,795
February 5, 2013, 10:10 pm: 3,941,692
February 2, 2013, 6:40 pm: 3,917,397
January 13, 2013, midnight: 3,768,876
December 7, 2012, 9:00 pm: 3,539,177; ~ 5,890/day
December 7, 2012, 10:00 am: 3,535,852
December 6, 2012, 9:00 pm: 3,533, 287
December 5, 2012, 12:30 pm: 3,522,944
August 29, 2012, 8:00 pm: 3,003,324
July 29, 2012, 2:00 am: 2,824,722
May 19, 2012, 7:00 pm: 2,448, 351
April 25, 2012, 11:59 pm: 2,313,351
April 24, 2012, 8:00 pm: 2,305,724
April 22, 2012, 10:30 pm: 2,294,212
April 22, 2012, 10:00 am: 2,290,554
April 18, 2012, 9:00 pm: 2,272,860
April 18, 2012: 7:30 am: 2,268,233
April 17, 2012, 10:00 pm: 2,266,779
April 17, 2012, 9:00 am: 2,261,783
April 16, 2012, 10:00 pm: 2,259,499
April 15, 2012, 9:00 pm: 2,254,085
April 14, 2012, 10 pm: 2,248,705
April 14, 2012, 9:00 am: 2,245,945
April 13, 2012, 8:00 pm: 2,243,467
April 13, 2012, 6:30 am: 2,239,851
April 12, 2012, 10:00 pm: 2,238,427
April 12, 2012, 7:30 am:2,233,226
April 11, 2012: 9:00 pm: 2,231,315 -- 7,313 hits in one day
April 11, 2012, 10:30 am: 2,227,088
April 10, 2012, 8:30 pm: 2,224,002

Another Reprieve -- Global Warming Delayed -- The Narrative Has Changed -- April 21, 2019

One wonders if Occasional-Cortex knows the difference between astronomy and astrology?

Whatever.

I would have missed this; a regular reader sent it my way.

By the way, "a deep solar minimum" has been predicted / forecast for quite some time on science-based weather sites.

NASA now predicting: A deep solar minimum is set to bring a prolonged period of colder temperatures across the globe, -- Monday, April 15, 2019.
In 2019, the Sun has been without sunspots for 59 percent of days - a sign that the solar minimum has arrived. The Sun follows cycles of roughly 11 years where it reaches a solar maximum and then a solar minimum. During a solar maximum, the Sun gives off more heat and is littered with sunspots. Less heat in a solar minimum is due to a decrease in magnetic waves.
As noted, this has been predicted for quite some time; apparently the deep solar minimum "has arrived."

Exciting time for budding meteorologists.

From the linked article:
Cosmic forecasting site Space Weather said: “An international panel of researchers led by NASA and NOAA has released a new prediction for the solar cycle: The current solar minimum is going to deepen, potentially reaching a century-class low in the next year or so.
Forever Blue, Chris Isaak

Global Renewables -- German Update -- April 21, 2019

From PV Magazine: solar once again the only winner in German renewables auctions --
In the first round of Germany’s 2019 mixed solar and wind auctions, all the successful projects were solar, continuing a trend which began last year. The Federal Network Agency received 109 bids for PV projects with a combined capacity of around 720 MW for the auction – not a single onshore wind bid was submitted. A final 18 projects, with a total capacity of 210 MW were selected.

A reader suggests Germany has maybe a two-year run with some more offshore wind before the whole thing is over.

Again, note: for the first round of Germany's 2019 mixed solar and wind auctions:
  • not one onshore bid was submitted
  • 18 solar projects with a total capacity of 210 MW were selected
  • average: about 10 MW / project 
each project:
  • 20 acres of panels
  • total cost about $15 million (2016)
  • cost does not include cost of connection to the grid
  • so, $1.5 million / MW
In 2014:
From an August 25, 2014, post, this is 30-second sound bite for "cost of renewable megawatt":
  • Solar: $3 million / MW
  • Wind: $2.5 million / MW
  • Natural gas: $865,000 / MW

Meanwhile, German wind, link here, and this is from a wind trade publication --

Germany in 2020 will see the first of the 2000-year turbines ending their 20-year subsidies and many are expected to be uneconomical and shutdown without it.
Energiewende has peaked out at 35% renewables, Germany just won't admit it. (and couldn't have gotten that far without backup hydro from Sweden/Norway & nuclear from France).
Just 135MW was installed in Germany in January and February 2019, 60% less than the 330MW in the same two months of 2018.
Total domestic onshore installations reached only 2,268MW in 2018, down 57% compared to 5,333MW in 2017.
Enercon expects the overall German onshore market in 2019 to shrink again to just 1.8-2GW but "will do everything it can to raise Enercon‘s domestic market share".
If the 2019 outlook materialises, and there is no improvement into 2020 in the project permitting and auction situation, "it will be clear to everyone what such a sharp reduction will mean for component suppliers and market players in Germany," warned the company.
In 2018 already, Enercon has slashed contracts with its German suppliers.
The loss in contracts contributed to some 835 job losses.
I did not post it, but there's an article in North Dakota news that energy experts in North Dakota suggest renewables close to causing grid instability.