Tuesday, June 12, 2018

Whiting Has The 35,000th Oil And Gas Permit In North Dakota -- June 12, 2018

Active rigs;

$66.05→6/12/201806/12/201706/12/201606/12/201506/12/2014
Active Rigs62532876185

Six new permits:
  • Operator: Whiting
  • Fields: Glass Bluff (Mckenzie); Corinth (Williams)
  • Comments: Whiting has 4 new permits in Corinth oil field (not what most folks would consider core Bakken); and two new permits in Glass Bluff. Whiting has the 35,000th oil and gas permit issued by North Dakota. Permit #35000: Lassey 44-33H, SESW 34-152-103, Glass Bluff. There were Bakken wells before 16000 (the first 16000 series Bakken well was #16011, Hess, H. Juma 1-9H, Baskin oil field), but one can say the first two Bakken wells that started it all were:
    • 16164, EOG, Parshall 1-36H, t6/6; cum 228K 4/18;
    • 16324, EOG, Parshall 2-36H, t9/6; cum 376K 4/18;
Five permits renewed:
  • MRO: a Bears Arm, a Wilkinson, a Deserly, a Dutton, and a Fannie (all USA) wells in Mountrail County.

ATT Wins -- June 12, 2018 -- No Conditions

Updates

Later, 8:15 p.m.:


Original Post

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or what you think you may have read here.

ATT didn't just win, ATT hit a grand slam according to analysts. The judge set no conditions and effectively told the government to not even thing about appealing. Information from Fox News; no link.
  • T after-hours: down 2%. [Later, quickly recovers.]
  • TWX after-hours: up 4.5%
Who owns CNN? Turner Broadcasting. Who owns Turner Broadcasting? Time Warner. ATT.

******************************
Tesla

Tesla to cut 9% of work force across the board. Shares surge.

But I think this is the bigger story: Business Insider is reporting that Tesla will stop selling its solar panels and battery packs at Home Depot.
  • Tesla will not renew its agreement with Home Depot to sell solar panels and battery packs at the retailer's stores
  • most Tesla employees who had worked at the company's Home Depot displays will be allowed to work at Tesla's stores
  • in February, Tesla announced that it would begin selling its solar panels and home battery packs at over 800 Home Depot store
  • the company will now focus on selling its energy products in its stores and on its website

Is The Market Telegraphing The Government's Decision On The ATT / Time Warner Merger? -- June 12, 2018

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, travel, or relationship decisions based on anything you read here or think you may have read here.
Updates

Later, 4:36 p.m. EDT: NASDAQ closes at 7,703. All-time high. 

Later, 10:52 a.m. CDT: NASDAQ hit an all-time high. Hit 7,700.


Original Post

8:30 a.m. EDT, June 12, 2018: S&P down 0.75 (much improved); another site suggests S&P has actually turned green (time delay explains the difference); T is now up more than 1%; TWX is now up 0.26% pre-market; has the word gotten out?
  • 9:22 a.m. EDT: T up almost exactly 1%; TWX up slightly, almost flat, but not red 
  • 1:20 p.m. EDT: T turned negative -- ever so slightly, but red just the same; TWX now almost down 1%; tea leaves suggest the deal will not be approved or terms set by the judge will be onerous 
  • 4:27 p.m. EDT: after being negative most of the day, T and TWX are now both green; T up about 1/2 percent; TWX up about 3/4 percent; unless the judge has decided not to release his decision today, my hunch is the decision comes immediately after the market closes -- in about two minutes; with both T and TWX turning positive in the last half hour, the tea leaves suggest the decision has been "leaked" at least to some; phones are probably ringing all over Wall Street right now; 
  • 4:36 p.m. EDT: analysts across the board are suggesting that ATT will win; we'll see; T up 1.75% and TWX up 1.23% -- the best so far today;
  • ATT wins
    • T after-hours: down 2%.
    • TWX after-hours: up 4.5%
Poll: closing out the poll -- will the government approve the ATT - Time Warner merger?
  • yes: 53%
  • no: 47%
  • that's about how I feel -- absolutely no idea what the outcome will be
Futures: it looks like S&P 500 futures -- has just turned green -- up 1.25 points.

****************************
A Lot Of Folks Have Asked For This Video

It's over on YouTube, now. At YouTube, search: Trump Kim movie trailer.



It will be interesting to follow the number of views.
  • 9:30 a.m. CDT, June 12, 2018: 450 views
  • 9:45 a.m. CDT, June 12, 2018: 750 views

The Chart Of The Day -- June 12, 2018 -- The Market, Energy, And Poltical Page, T+12; The Day Everything Changed, The Day Nothing Changed

June 12, 2018: the day everything changed (North Korea agrees to de-nuclearize); the day nothing changed (North Korea agrees to de-nuclearize). 

Seattle: Seattle will rescind that "head tax" on Amazon. Wow, wow, wow.

2 cents: the G7 is completely irrelevant. If one measures the health / wealth / economic activity by the amount of energy it consumes .... this is the graph of the day.

If you knew nothing about Planet Earth and just dropped in to see what condition that condition was in, you would leave wondering what in the world is going on in Europe and Japan (G7 minus the US) and the US, China, and "Asia-minus China." Do we need to replace the G7 with the G3 (US, China, South Korea)? There was a reason the European nations EU'd. Individually, going into the 21st century, they were irrelevant in the big picture. In the graphic below, note which areas of the world are not even broken out (enveloped by non-OECD): the entire Mideast region (minus Israel) and the entire continent of Africa). Incredible.



Even Canada is about 50% of Europe. Wow.

*********************************************

Just Dropped In, Kenny Rogers

WTI In A Narrow Trading Range; Direction Not Seen; Active Rigs At 63 In North Dakota -- June 12, 2018; The Big Story Of The Day -- Fractionation And Mont Belvieu -- RBN Energy

Updates

Later, 8:10 a.m.: I just listened to Stuart Varney over on Fox News. Color me impressed. Trump and Kim accomplished quite a bit considering where they came from; their first meeting; how long they met; etc. Some big things came out of that short meeting.

Original Post

My 2 cents: early morning Fox News  vs CNBC. Huge difference in reporting. During the 6:00 a.m. CDT hour, CNBC round-table on the Korean summit focused on the Fed and whether there will be four rate increases. Meanwhile, Fox News had substantive reporting on the Korean summit. Pretty amazing, the difference. I was underwhelmed by CNBC; amazed how incredibly shallow their round table was. Overall, it appeared news outlets were looking for something on which to report (disclaimer: I only spent a few minutes on CNBC, and about 20 minutes on Fox News). So far, no "nothing-burger" comment from anti-Trumpers but I expect that to happen before the day is over. This is a lot like the Kardashians: being famous for being famous. The summit: newsworthy for being newsworthy. Bottom line: this is a make or break moment for North Korea.
***********************************

Active rigs:

$65.92↓6/12/201806/12/201706/12/201606/12/201506/12/2014
Active Rigs63532876185

RBN Energy: soaring NGL supplies may soon overwhelm Mont Belvieu fractionation capaacity.
The NGL sector is firing on all cylinders.
Natural gas liquids production in the Permian, the SCOOP/STACK and other key basins is up, up, up.
A number of new, ethane-consuming steam crackers are coming online along the Texas and Louisiana coast, most conveniently close to the NGL storage and fractionation hub in Mont Belvieu, TX.
The export market for liquefied petroleum gases — propane and normal butane — is through the roof, averaging more than 1 MMb/d in the first five months of 2018 (almost all of it being shipped out of Gulf Coast ports), and ethane exports are strong, too.
What’s not to like?
Well, NGLs don’t do anyone much good until they are fractionated into “purity products” like ethane, propane, normal butane etc., and the rapid run-up in U.S. NGL production — combined with the reluctance of producers to commit to new fractionation capacity — has the existing fractionation plants in Mont Belvieu running flat-out to keep up. Today, we begin a review of the NGL Capital of the Western World and considers why Mont Belvieu — as big as it is — is getting bigger.
Comment: this is a huge story; will archive.