Thursday, March 26, 2015

Sweet Spots In The Bakken Still Profitable -- March 26, 2015

Bakken.com is reporting:
With the price of West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude hovering between the $43 to $50 for the better part of this month, analysis by Wood Mackenzie has found that the majority of U.S. shale plays would need a 30 percent cost reduction to be economically viable.
With that being the case, only a select few “sweet spots” exist where drillers focus their limited capital expenditure dollars. Those “sweet spots” include the Springer, a newer shale play located in southwest Oklahoma, the Karnes Trough portion of the Eagle Ford Shale and the Nesson Anticline portion of the Bakken Shale. Two sub-plays that require minor cost reductions are The Parshall Sanish portion of the Bakken and the SCOOP Woodford in Oklahoma.
Wood Mackenzie, a global energy, metals and mining research and consultancy firm, believes even the 30 percent cost reductions can be achieved and many companies have already announced it. That’s mainly due to oil service companies slashing costs as demand for work has gone down.
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Not That Anyone Cares

Today's EIA blurb:
According to EIA monthly supply data through December 2014, which EIA released in late February, U.S. exports of fuel ethanol in 2014 reached their second-highest level at a total of 826 million gallons.
This level was second only to the 1.2 billion gallons exported during 2011 and 33% more than exports of fuel ethanol in 2013. Similarly, U.S. imports of ethanol, which totaled approximately 377 million gallons during 2013, fell by 81% to a total of 73 million gallons in 2014, their lowest annual level since 2010. As a result, the United States was a net exporter of fuel ethanol for the fifth consecutive year and exported the fuel to 37 different countries in 2014.---EIA 
20 million bbls? if I did the math correctly. I think the US uses about 9 million bbls of gasoline per day.
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Sage Grouse Don't Fly That High

Bakken.com is reporting:
A proposal to establish an enormous bomber training area over the northern Plains that advocates say will improve military training and save money got final approval Tuesday despite concerns about loud, low-flying aircraft disrupting civilian flights and damaging rural economies.
The Federal Aviation Administration approved a plan to expand the Powder River Training Complex over the Dakotas, Montana and Wyoming. The move roughly quadruples the training airspace to span across nearly 35,000 square miles, making it the largest over the continental U.S.
The airspace would be used by B-1 bombers from Ellsworth Air Force Base in South Dakota and B-52 bombers from Minot Air Force Base in North Dakota. The U.S. Air Force estimates that the expanded training airspace could save Ellsworth up to $23 million a year in fuel costs by reducing the number of training flights to states such as Utah and Nevada.
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Saudi's Shock and Awe
Saudi's Plans To Send Ground Troops Into Yemen

Zero Hedge is reporting:
As reported first thing today, while the initial phase of the military campaign against Yemen has been taking place for the past 18 hours and been exclusively one of airborne assaults by forces of the "Decisive Storm" coalition, Saudi hinted at what is coming next following reports that it had built up a massive 150,000 troop deployment on the border with Yemen.
And as expected, moments ago AP reported that Egyptian military and security officials told The Associated Press that the military intervention will go further, with a ground assault into Yemen by Egyptian, Saudi and other forces, planned once airstrikes have weakened the capabilities of the rebels.
Saudi better do something: ISIS/Iran/Syria/Obama are conspiring to set the stage for a new Persian Kingdom stretching across the Mideast. Apparently President Obama has agreed to Iran's demands. As opined earlier: the president cares not about the details; it is only a matter of checked things off his bucket list.

Fourteen (14) New Permits -- March 26, 2015

Active rigs:


3/26/201503/26/201403/26/201303/26/201203/26/2011
Active Rigs99198186206170

Fourteen (14) new permits --
  • Operators: CLR (7), BR (4), EOG (3)
  • Fields: Banks (McKenzie), Elidah (McKenzie), Parshall (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
Wells coming off the confidential list Friday:
  • 25736, SI/IA, Enerplus, Snow 149-93-07A-12H,  Mandaree, no production data,
  • 28076, drl, MRO, Hale USA 23-14TFH,  Moccasin Creek, no production data,
  • 28171, 738, Emerald, D Annunzio 3-7-6H, Boxcar Butte, t9/14; cum 23K 1/15;
  • 28993, drl, Hess, GO-Perdue-157-97-0112H-3, Ray, no production data,
  • 29219, drl, BR, CCU Golden Creek 44-23TFH, Corral Creek, no production data,
  • 29353, 120, Enduro, NSCU O-708-H1, Newburg, a Spearfish well, t11/14; cum 4K 1/15;
  • 29471, drl, Slawson, Wolf 2-4MLH, Big Bend, no production data,
Renewals:
  • Petro-Hunt renewed two Moberg permits in Burke County
  • Oasis renewed five Domalakes permits in Burke County
Canceled:
  • Hess canceled one Bingeman permit in Williams County

Fastest Growing Counties In The US, 2014 US Census Bureau Data

US Census Bureau; fastest growing counties in the US.

Fastest growing counties in the US, July 1, 2013, to July 1, 2014:
  • Williams County was #1. 
  • Stark County was #2. 
  • Richland County, Montana, was #19.
  • Morton County, #39.
  • Cass County, #82,
Fastest growing counties in the US, April 1, 2010, to July 1, 2014:
  • #1 - Williams County
  • #2 - Stark County
  • #26 - Ward County
  • #39 - Cass County
  • #41 - Burleigh County
  • #96 - Morton County
Business Insider story here. 

Solar Energy, Rounding To The Nearest Whole Number According To The US Government, Contributed Zero (0) Percent Of US Energy Consumption In 2014; That Was A 1.7% Increase Over The Previous Year

The US government has just released the preliminary US energy production and consumption data for 2014. Link is here:  http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/index.cfm?src=email.

This month’s monthly energy report (MER) includes the first complete set of 2014 preliminary statistics for U.S. total energy consumption, production, trade, and carbon dioxide emissions.  The report is posted at: http://www.eia.gov/totalenergy/data/monthly/index.cfm?src=email

Note: Quadrillion: 1 x 10^15 (15 zeroes after the 1)

Preliminary energy data for calendar year 2014:
  • U.S. primary energy consumption totaled 98 quadrillion Btu, a 1% increase compared with 2013.  Renewable energy and natural gas consumption each increased 3%, nuclear electric power consumption increased 1%, and petroleum consumption was virtually unchanged, and coal consumption decreased 1%.
Total energy consumption: 98 quadrillion--
  • Wind energy consumption: 1,734 trillion Btu
  • Solar energy consumption:  427 trillion Btu
  • Wind + solar = 2,161
As a percentage of renewable -
  • wind / wind + solar = 80%
  • solar / wind + solar = 20%

As a percentage --
  • Wind: 1,734 trillion / 98 quadrillion = 1.76939% (yes, less than 2%)
  • Solar: 427 trillion / 98 quadrillion = 0.043571 (yes, rounding to nearest whole number = 0%)
  • Wind + solar = 2,161 trillion / 98 quadrillion = 2.2051%
The good news: renewable energy consumption in the US increased by 3%

Back of the envelope:
  • 2,161 / 1.03 = 2,098 trillion Btu in 2013
  • wind: 80% x 2,098 = 1,678 Btu in 2013
  • solar: 20% x 2,098 =  420 trillion Btu in 2013
  • wind: 1,678 / 1,734 = a 3.3337% increase year-over-year
  • solar: 420 / 427 = 1.7% increase year-over-year
Bottom line observations:
  • between wind and solar, wind accounts for 80% of renewable energy consumption in the US
  • between wind and solar, solar accounts for 20% of renewable energy consumption in the US
  • wind energy consumption accounts for less than 2% of total energy consumption in the US
  • rounding to the nearest whole number, solar energy accounts for 0% of total energy consumption in the US
  • wind energy increased 3.3% year-over-year, 2013 to 2014, in the US
  • solar energy increased 1.7% year-over-year, 2013 to 2014, in the US
These numbers are after a gazillion dollars of credits, grants, and advocacy over the past 30 years.

Disclaimer: I often make simple arithmetic errors. If this information is important to you, go to the source, which is conveniently linked at the top. 

For warmists: ask yourself if you are getting value from your tax dollars going to renewable energy. 

The Team Formerly Known As The Fighting Sioux -- Looking For A New Name May, 2015; How About "Frack And Sue"

Updates

Later, 2:28 p.m.: a reader suggests "UND Lawyers." Sounds great! "GO SUE!"
 
Original Post

Pretty aggressive schedule: suggestions will be accepted through April; new name chosen by May, 2015.

The Wall Street Journal is reporting:
In 2012, North Dakota dropped its old nickname, the Fighting Sioux, after a long legislative and legal battle. The NCAA had threatened to not allow North Dakota to host postseason games if it continued to use the name and display its Native American head logo. In a statewide referendum, 67% of voters supported getting rid of them.
But in the process, a cooling-off period was imposed until 2015 before the school could pick a new name. So as North Dakota begins play Friday in the 16-team hockey tournament—it is hosting the West regional in Fargo, about 80 miles from its Grand Forks campus—there is another crucial piece of business at hand: replacing the beloved Fighting Sioux name.
I like the one already suggested: Formerly Known As The Fighting Sioux, or "Fighting Sioux" for short.

UND should be able to keep "Sioux." Utah has the Utes; Florida has the Seminoles; Mississippi College has the Choctaws; and, Central Michigan has the Chippewas. And, of course, the President's team: Washington Redskins.

By the way, my hunch is that most Americans do not know the origin of "redskins." It's worse than you think ... unless you know. 

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SRE

From Seeking Alpha:
  • Sempra Energy slips a bit after providing an investor presentation that reaffirms its FY 2015 EPS guidance of $4.60-$5.00, compared with $4.84 analyst consensus estimate, but sees 2016 EPS of $4.80-$5.20, below $5.27 consensus.
  • In longer-term guidance, SRE says a build-up of base plan earnings shows it has contracts in place that, in combination with utility operations, yield an ~11% compound annual growth rate, creating EPS in 2019 of $7.00-$7.50.
Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, or relationship decisions based on anything you read here or think you may have read here. Having said that, 2019 is not that far away.