Monday, June 19, 2017

Empire Builder -- June 19, 2017

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Updates

November 12, 2017: shareholders approve the deal. 

June 25, 2017: from The WSJ -- "How Four Brothers Survived the Gas Bust to Make Family a Billion: merger of Appalachian gas producer EQT Corp and Rice Energy will create one of the country's largest natural gas producers."
Eighteen months ago, the Rice family was pressured to sell shares in their family gas company at all-time-low prices as the natural gas market tanked. Now the Rice family is selling again. But this time, it is the entire company, and under much more favorable circumstances.
On Monday, rival Appalachian gas producer EQT Corp. EQT 8.00% said it would buy Rice Energy Inc. RICE 6.74% for $6.7 billion in a deal that is poised to deliver more than $1 billion to the family, whose members make up much of Rice’s management and control roughly 18% of the company’s shares, according to securities filings.

In late 2015, the warmest winter on record pulled down gas futures to all-time, inflation-adjusted lows, dragging down Rice’s stock. To avoid a margin call, the family sold a slug of shares they had borrowed against. Had they been able to hang on to those five million shares, the family would now be nearly $100 million richer.
Under terms of the EQT deal, Rice shareholders are due $5.30 in cash and about one-third of an EQT share. Based on EQT’s closing stock price the day before the deal was announced, that equates to about $27.05 for every Rice share.
Still, the family is likely one of the gas boom’s biggest winners just a decade after Daniel Rice III and his sons created the company from scratch. Their expertise in oil and coal helped them scout land in the early days of the shale-gas boom in Pennsylvania.
Mr. Rice honed his expertise at BlackRock Inc., where he was a mutual-fund manager specializing in energy when his family started the gas company. One early move was a deal to drill in areas controlled by a coal company that Mr. Rice’s BlackRock fund invested in.
Original Post 

EQT to buy Rice Energy. Some data points:
  • $6.7 billion + $1.5 billion in debt = $8.2 billion deal
  • Marcellus/Utica
  • would create the biggest natural gas producer in the US
  • biggest deal ever for EQT
  • EQT's shares fell almost 10% before recovering a bit
  • EQT-Rice would be ahead of Exxon Mobil Corp as the nation's biggest gas producer (see graphic, via twitter)
  • appears to be empire building: analyst
  • would begin monetizing Rice's midstream assets by dropping them down to EQT Midstream Partners; could raise $1.3 billion
  • abuts existing EQT acreage in Pennsylvania
  • EQT is a decade behind in fracking technology; Rice provides EQT what it needs: analyst
  • EQT has been buying Marcellus acreage: most recently, 53,400 acres from Stone Energy
  • Rice Energy: one of Ohio's biggest oil and gas drillers 

Crescent Point Energy With Eight New Permits -- June 19, 2017

Eight new permits:
  • Operator: Crescent Point Energy
  • Field: Lone Tree Lake (Williams)
  • Comments: permits for four two-well pads all in 157-99
Well name change: Hess changed four EN-Vachal wells from "PNC" back to "CONF" status.

Nothing else of consequence.

Active rigs:

$44.106/19/201706/19/201606/19/201506/19/201406/19/2013
Active Rigs562877189186

Random Update On DUCs Nationwide -- Bloomberg -- June 19, 2017

This is for the archives. Nothing new for folks familiar with the Bakken.

Bloomberg is reporting:
  • nationwide, 5,946 DUCs at the end of May, 2017 -- so, let's call it 6,000 DUCs nationwide and around 1,000 in the Bakken
  • this sets a three-year record (hard to believe that it's not an all-time record)
  • the Permian: in May -- operators drill 125 more wells than they would complete
  • the Permian: in May -- nearly 100,000 bopd in DUCs
  • breakeven price in the Permian as low as $35
For newbies, I could be wrong but I believe operators in the Bakken can leave a well uncompleted for up to two years. Prior to the collapse in oil prices, North Dakota required wells be completed within one year after being spud. Operators can get waivers to delay completing wells if not completed within two years, but those requests are considered on a case-by-case basis.

WTI closed at lowest level since November, 2016, and we're approaching the middle of the US driving season.

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First World Problems

I just got back from mailing two small, but relatively heavy, packages to family members in Portland, Oregon. Least expensive option, $25 for one and $12 for the other package. Remember those numbers.

Upon arriving home, I checked the WSJ on-line. This headline caught my attention: UPS to Add Delivery Surcharges for Black Friday, Christmas Orders. Delivery company seeks to recoup increase in hiring and reserving extra vehicles during busiest period.

I gasped -- UPS and FedEx are already more expensive than the US Postal Service. I could only imagine how "bad" the surcharge would be.

Hold your breath.

27 cents/package.

Okay, back to other first world problems. LOL. 

The Political Page, T+150 -- June 19, 2017

Jared Kushner announces huge improvements in the VA system, today. Two big announcements:
  • VA medical records now -- electronic medical records; the active side of the military has had electronic records for over two decades; VA now uses same/similar system (see link below)
  • VA wait time has improved from 25 days to 8 days
I'm sure these announcements will be scrutinized for accuracy. But if in fact it's accurate that the Trump administration was successful in getting the VA to move to electronic medical records in five (5) months, it begs the question: what the heck was the Obama administration doing for eight years? I guess promoting the global warming scam.

More on the VA and electronic medical records:
If the hype is correct, this is a big, big deal, and, of course, the mainstream media (i.e., the nightly news) will not cover it appropriately.

The Bakken Is Back -- June 19, 2017

One "word": DAPL.

Source: https://finance.yahoo.com/news/us-rig-count-22nd-week-132201595.html.