Wednesday, June 26, 2019

The Dreaded Bakken Decline -- June 26, 2019

27,214 bbls back in August, 2018; drops over time to 14,884 bbls in November, 218. Now, in April, 2019, production best ever, at 28,636 bbls in one month.

Wow, I love the Bakken.

The well:
  • 33222, 1,173, CLR, Miles 6-6H2, Dimmick Lake, 63 stages; 10.3 million lbs, t8/18; cum 112K 4/19;
Production:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN4-201930286362830145313559783035925612
BAKKEN3-20195335432647905590328783024
BAKKEN2-20190000000
BAKKEN1-201900230000
BAKKEN12-20184253125813978604134742567
BAKKEN11-20182414884148951994027736241773556
BAKKEN10-201822977897872130319041129246115
BAKKEN9-20182419050190443585435498310314464
BAKKEN8-20183027214272904144749866414288435
BAKKEN7-2018757795616847992768432844
BAKKEN6-20180000000
BAKKEN5-20185100110012605201402014


I can't help falling in love with you.

I Can't Help Falling In Love With You, Arlo Guthrie

Ten New Permits; WTI Closes At $59.12 -- June 26, 2019

Active rigs:

$59.126/26/201906/26/201806/26/201706/26/201606/26/2015
Active Rigs6264593075

Ten new permits:
  • Operators: Hess (6); WPX (4)
  • Fields: Beaver Lodge (Williams); Heart Butte (Dunn County)
  • Comments:
    • Hess has permits for a six-well Ramberg pad in section 6-155-95; Beaver Lodge oil field
    • WPX has permits for a four-well Nighthawk pad in section 34-149-92; Heart Butte oil field
Five permits renewed:
  • XTO (4): four Ruby State Federal permits in McKenzie County
  • Petro-Hunt: a USA permit in McKenzie County 
Three producing wells (DUCs) reported as completed:
  • 35298, 4,634, WPX, Minot Grady 26-35HD, Squaw Creek, t6/19; cum --;
  • 35300, 3,793, WPX, Minot Grady 26-35HC, Squaw Creek, t6/19; cum --;
  • 19742, apparently still being discussed whether well worth "keeping"; reminder: NDIC sundry forms lag real world events;
    • 19742, 189, Condor 1-36-25H, Winter Butte, Bakken, t1/12; cum 31K 4/19;
    • 19742, 2, Condor 1-36-2H, Winter Butte, Madison t4/19; cum --;

Weekly EIA Crude Oil Inventories; Gasoline Demand; Re-Balancing -- June 26, 2019

Link here.
  • EIA weekly US crude oil inventory: decreased by 12. 8 million bbls
  • EIA weekly US crude inventories: 469.6 million bbls
  • inventories at 5% above the five year average for this time of year
  • refineries operating at 94.2% of capacity
WTI: closed at $59.27

Gasoline demand:


Re-balancing:
November 21, 2018
4.9
446.9
November 28, 2018
3.6
450.5
December 6, 2018
-7.3
443.2
December 12, 2018
-1.2
442.0
December 19, 2018
-0.5
441.5
December 28, 2018
0.0
441.4
January 4, 2019
0.0
441.4
January 9, 2019
-1.7
439.7
January 16, 2019
-2.7
437.1
January 24, 2019
8.0
445.0
January 31, 2019
0.9
445.9
February 6, 2019
1.3
447.2
February 13, 2019
3.6
450.8
February 21, 2019
3.7
454.5
February 27, 2019
-8.6
445.9
March 6, 2019
7.1
452.9
March 13, 2019
-3.9
449.1
March 20, 2019
-9.6
439.5
March 27, 2019
2.8
442.3
April 3, 2019
7.2
449.5
April 10, 2019
7.0
456.5
April 17, 2019
-1.4
455.2
April 24, 2019
5.5
460.1
May 1, 2019
9.9
470.6
May 8, 2019
-4.0
466.6
May 15, 2019
5.4
472.0
May 22, 2019
4.7
476.8
May 30, 2019
-0.3
476.5
June 5, 2019
6.8
483.3
June 12, 2019
2.2
485.5
June 19, 2019
-3.1
482.4
June 26, 2019
-12.8
469.6



CEO Clarifies: Bakken Midstream Is Not Proposing A Plastics Plant -- June 26, 2019

From The Williston Herald, an interview with the CEO of Bakken Midstream.

If unable to access that link, here's another, with the same information, from The Grand Forks Herald.
Hopkins, an entrepreneur who spent part of his career in Alberta, Canada, said he sees a lot of similarities between North Dakota and the circumstances in Alberta in the mid-1970s.
“All the same conditions. A big oil boom. Gas being produced in large volumes. A lack of gas infrastructure. Large flaring,” he said.
The province developed an industry to produce value-added natural gas products, including petrochemicals, instead of exporting raw commodities, Hopkins said. That allowed Alberta to dramatically reduce flaring, create jobs and a new tax base, he said.
“Alberta provides a good roadmap of what you could do with your natural gas,” Hopkins said. “Instead of being a captive exporter and flaring it, you could actually create a whole value-add industry.”
Hopkins declined to discuss any specific projects because the plans are still in development. Examples of projects Hopkins said are needed include gathering infrastructure, processing plants, storage facilities and transmission pipelines.
Bakken Midstream is not a petrochemical company and is not proposing a plastics plant, Hopkins said.
See this post from June 6, 2019, and this post  from May 22, 2019.

Global Warming -- Nothing About The Bakken -- June 26, 2019

From the Drudge Report:


Our tax dollars at work. I assume Rick Perry requested the study after he learned how solar energy and wind energy "work."