Wednesday, April 5, 2017

The Energy And Market Page, T+74 -- April 5, 2017

Via twitter: the narrow Brent-Dubai spread makes Atlantic basin oil cheaper for Chinese buyers. 

Gasoline demand: flat, week-over-week. Close to surpassing last year's demand. 

Crude oil stores: up 1.53 million bbls. Probably in-line with what most expected. Oil was up a bit higher earlier this morning but remains positive even after the "number" was released. [I was wrong; the build was unexpected, at least according to Reuters.
Analysts had expected a decrease of 435,000 barrels, and the build reported by the Energy Information Administration came as a double surprise after trade group the American Petroleum Institute (API) reported a 1.8 million-barrel draw late on Tuesday.
I must be missing something. Everything I've read suggested the building would continue.]

Active rigs:


4/5/201704/05/201604/05/201504/05/201404/05/2013
Active Rigs492994192187

RBN Energy: US exploration and production companies budget strong rebound in 2017.
The Diversified E&P peer group has indicated an average 30% increase over 2016 to $19.7 billion, the lowest among the three groups. That average, however, is depressed by a small decrease in investment by ConocoPhillips, the largest E&P in the group.
Excluding ConocoPhillips, the group is forecasting a 48% boost in investment, nearly identical to the plans of the oil-weighted peers.
However, like the large oil-weighted E&Ps with international assets, ConocoPhillips is reallocating capital investment to its Lower 48 plays (Eagle Ford, Bakken, Permian) as it completes large projects, boosting U.S. resource investment in 2017 by about 50% to ~$1.5 billion. Despite the uplift in capital investment, the Diversified E&P peer group’s spending is still 63% below 2014.
The largest allocation of capital outlays (28%) from the peer group will also target the Permian, with 11% in the DJ Basin and in overseas assets and 10% in the SCOOP/STACK. W&T Offshore, Bill Barrett Corp. and WPX Energy are all expected to double capital spending in 2017. Total production is expected to fall 5% this year, though, heavily influenced by asset sales from several companies. WPX Energy is expecting to post the largest gain in production at 28%.
Scott Adams: why I post links to his site regularly

Jobs: Boom! The Political Page, T+74 -- April 5, 2017

Bias: I did not know this until today, but it explains a lot. Jeff Bezos is part owner of Business Insider

Jobs: boom. T+74 days.

Expectations: 185,000

Actual: 263,000

Only off by: 42%

February revised: down 53,000 to 245,000.

Reporting:
  • The Drudge Report: huge banner with unemployment number
  • Yahoo!Finance: not up at first; haven't checked again; I assume it's up by now [I was wrong; incredibly, at 8:59 a.m. Central Time -- 90 minutes after story broke -- Yahoo!Finance  has not posted the story
  • Google Finance: small story buried several stories downs
  • LA Times: just checked on-line front page -- overloaded with anti-Trump stories; not one headline story on the jobs number
  • Fox News: not one of the top banner stories (which really surprised me; Fox must really be fair and balanced -- LOL
Bad timing: as soon as the incredibly good jobs number was announced, Yahoo!Finance pulled this story: Donald Trump still doesn't understand the unemployment rate. Anyone following Yahoo!Finance knows the site leaves up stories longer than the Drudge Report. Headline stories over at Yahoo!Finance can be up for weeks at a time. The linked story went up in the last couple of days; it was still there early this morning and based on the subject matter should have been left up for another week or so. But lo and behold, as soon as the ADP jobs number was reported today, that story was pulled. Pretty incredible. [Update: one day later, after the jobs report was "old news" the Yahoo!Finance story was re-posted. -- posted April 6, 2017.]

By the way, anyone who thinks Trump doesn't understand "the unemployment rate" is an idiot to begin with -- especially with that headline -- there must be at least six unemployment rates, U1 - U6, and I doubt one out of 100 senators can explain all six. This might help (LOL):


If not, this might help (LOL):


But my favorite:


Jobs, T+74 -- April 5, 2017

Boom: 9:30 a.m. opening: market up 60 points.

Jobs: boom.

Bad timing: as soon as the incredibly good jobs number was announced, Yahoo!Finance pulled this story: Donald Trump still doesn't understand the unemployment rate.

Tuesday, April 4, 2017

Random Update Of Hess HA-Nelson, Hawkeye Oil Field, #18245 -- April 4, 2017

Random update of a nice well: 18245, Hess, HA-Nelson, Hawkeye Oil Field.

Random Update On Whiting's Fabulous Flatland Federal Wells, Twin Valley -- April 4, 2017

December 24, 2014: three huge Whiting wells (#27520, #27521, #27522). These three huge wells went off-line in August, 2016. Production updates.

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Other

October 18, 2015: follow-up production jump on #16510. There was what appears to be a halo effect in June, 2015, but there are still three more wells waiting to be fracked; it will be interesting to see how fracking these three north/south wells affect the double-lateral #16510. This well, #16510, needs to remain on the list of wells that need to be followed up (March 27, 2016). Update Of #16510, CLR's State Weydahl 44-36H.

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The Amazon Page

Apparently Amazon now has a market cap twice that of Walmart.

Amazon also announced that it has reached an agreement with the NFL to stream ten (10) Thursday night NFL games for Amazon Prime customers (at no extra price).  Amazon Prime: $99/year.