Thursday, December 12, 2013

Nine (9) New Permits -- The Williston Basin, North Dakota, USA; Five (5) Wells With High IPs

Active rigs: 191

Nine (9) new permits --
  • Operators: Oasis (5), Petro-Hunt (2), Whiting, CLR
  • Fields: Sanish (Mountrail), Cow Creek (Williams), North Tioga (Burke), Ellisville (Williams)
  • Comments: I believe the Oasis permits are for a 5-well pad in Cow Creek, 13-155-101
Wells coming off the confidential list were reported earlier; see sidebar at the right.

One permit canceled:
  • 21533, PNC, Petro-Hunt, Marinenko 145-97-31D-30-1H, 
Five (5) producing wells completed:
  • 23547, 2,541, Statoil, Jake 2-11 4H, Last Chance, t11/13; cum --
  • 23546, 2,338, Statoil, Jake 2-11 3TFH, Last Chance, t11/13; cum --
  • 25514, 2,011, KOG, P Evitt 154-98-15-12-2-2H, Truax, t11/13; cum --
  • 25512, 2,154, KOG, P Evitt 154-98-1-12-2-4H, Truax, t11/13; cum --
  • 24197, 2,308, KOG, P Evans 154-99-2-4-28-1H, Epping, t11/13; cum --

New Refinery Proposed For North Dakota; West Of Devils Lake; $225 Million Project

The Bismarck Tribune is reporting:
Plans for an oil refinery in Devils Lake are exciting, but residents want information about the environmental consequences, especially in light of the lake's world-class fishery, Mayor Dick Johnson says.
American Energy Holdings, a Michigan-based company, announced plans to build a 20,000-barrel refinery on the west side of Devils Lake using crude from the Bakken oil patch.
Spokesman Mark Carlson said Wednesday the company is “ready to go” with the state’s first refinery east of the Missouri River to produce diesel, aviation fuel for the state’s two Air Force bases and naphtha, a hydrocarbon mixture from oil.
The $250 million plant will be called Bison Oil LLC and will depend on between 100 and 200 tanker truck loads daily out of the Bakken until it can get a pipeline in place, Carlson said.
A refinery project being considered for the reservation with the same capacity is conservatively estimated to cost about $450 million, $200 million more than the proposed Devils Lake project.

The MDU-Calumet refinery west of Dickinson is expected to be on-line sometime in 2014.

A third refinery, that one near Trenton, ND, is still in the planning stages. I haven't heard much about this refinery in a long, long time, and I think it was the first of the three that I had heard about when the boom first began in North Dakota (the three being the Trenton diesel refinery; the Dickinson/MDU-Calumet refinery; and the reservation refinery).

Random Look At Some Production From Wells Drilled In 2010, Later

Back on December 2, 2013, I looked at the status of ALL the oil and gas permits that were reported in calendar year 2010.

That look-back provided only the IPs if the wells were drilled and producing.

I've been looking at the total production to date of each of these wells. It will take me awhile to get through them all, but the following data is about half the wells. Most of these wells were permitted in 2010 and drilled in 2010, but some were drilled/completed in 2011, and some even as recently as 2012.

The permits for ALL of 2010: #18571 - #20246.

These wells are permits #18571 through #19370: 800 permits/wells.

Of those 800 wells, I have tried to remove all the non-Bakken wells; that leaves 713 wells.

Of these 713:
  • 55: PNC
  • 8: confidential
  • 5: Expired permits
  • 3: Dry
  • 3: location only
  • 1: inactive
  • 1: drl
That leaves 637 Bakken wells with production and still active.

Production per well ranged from a low of 19,000 bbls (to date) to 444,000 bbls.

Remember: these are wells that were for the most part drilled and completed in 2010. None are older than 2010. Some, very few, were drilled/completed in 2012.

Total production by well:
  • 50,000 bbls or less: 30 wells
  • 51,000 bbls to 99,000 bbls: 137 wells
  • 100,000 bbls to 149,000 bbls: 190 wells
  • 150,000 bbls to 199,000 bbls: 151 wells
  • 200,000 bbls to 249,000 bbls: 65 wells
  • 250,000 bbls to 299,000 bbls: 30 wells
  • 300,000 bbls to 349,000 bbls: 20 wells
  • 350,000 bbls to 399,000 bbls: 7 wells
  • Greater than 400,000 bbls to date: 7 wells
This is extremely unscientific. It also gives me an opportunity to see if I am missing any monster wells. It also gives me an idea what these wells are doing on the front end. Again, these wells, for the most part, were drilled/completed in 2010. No well is more than 4 years old.

In the old days, one might assume a well that had produced 100,000 bbls "had paid for itself at the wellhead." Maybe that number is now closer to 150,000 or maybe more; some wells have gotten very expensive.

But the data is what it is. It gives me an idea of what's going on. Again, a very, very unscientific look.

Most of the non-Bakken wells were Madison wells; some Red River wells.


The Many Disrupted Lives Under ObamaCare -- The Fiscal Times

This is not even over at Drudge. This is over at Yahoo!News.
Deb McEneaney of Sag Harbor, N.Y., was jolted in November when her insurance company notified her that it was canceling a group health plan that had been tailor made for her and her husband and their family-run business.
Her insurance broker assured her she had nothing to worry about when the administration began the formal rollout of Obamacare on Oct.1. But the insurance company, United Healthcare Oxford, subsequently wrote her saying that it would no longer allow group health plans for two people who were related because of new restrictions under the Affordable Care Act.
I don’t know if I can totally blame Obamacare, but of course I will forever,” she said during a recent interview. “I believe that everyone has the right to health insurance. But I also believe that if you’ve been paying insurance your entire life and have never gone without medical coverage, and you pay your bill on time, that the rug shouldn’t be pulled out from under you when you’re 60 years old.”
"I don’t know if I can totally blame Obamacare, [because I voted for Mr Obama], but of course I will. Forever." Paraphrasing -- a useful journalistic tool. 

President O'Bama's health czar: hey, if you want to keep your coverage, you are going to have to pay more. Get over it. Paraphrasing -- a useful journalistic tool. 

President O'Bama: "Shop Around." A direct quote.

 And so it goes.

Show Me The Numbers

Jim Cramer's The Street: Spraberry (Permian) is bigger than both the Bakken and the Eagle Ford. When someone says any field is bigger than the Bakken, I tell them: "show me the numbers." The USGS says the Bakken is the largest continuous reservoir in the lower 48 and the USGS numbers are significantly lower than CLR's estimates.