Friday, June 29, 2018

Mountain Gap Wells -- FracFocus Data May Be In Error -- June 29, 2018


Updates

Postings by date:


October 5, 2019: current graphic of the area --


October 24, 2018:
  • 33556, 1,556, CLR, Mountain Gap 2-10H1, Rattlesnake Point, t7/18; cum 168K 6/19;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-2018313417734306425463647936172307
BAKKEN7-201891220911683153121319888984300

October 22, 2018: link here.
  • 33557, 2,103, CLR, Mountain Gap 3-10H, Rattlesnake Point, 64 stages; 15.3 million lbs, t7/18; cum 263K 6/19;

  • PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
    BAKKEN8-2018314475544888421394919248687100
    BAKKEN7-201818326493218432629347612149713029
    BAKKEN6-20180000000
October 19, 2018: another Mountain Gap that has been reported:
  • 33559, 2,488, CLR, Mountain Gap 5-10H, Rattlesnake Point, 64 stages; 15.2 million lbs, t7/18; cum 231K 6/19;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-20181517153170421522620077148515046
BAKKEN7-201823400694005740885524803185920329
BAKKEN6-20184638961025748714856771423
BAKKEN5-20180000000
BAKKEN4-20187113711376549167801678

October 7, 2018: this is a second bench Three Forks well:
  • 33558, 2,294,  CLR, Mountain Gap 4-10H2, Rattlesnake Point, second bench; two days to drill vertical portion; the curve took about 36 hours to build; error in reporting dates so unable to tell how long it took to drill the lateral, probably two days; gas exceeded 6,000 units; at one time reaching 7,800 units; flare maxed at 5 feet; 64 stages; 10 million lbs, a huge well; t7/18; cum 241K 6/19;
  • PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
    BAKKEN8-2018312355223614349212514123844892
    BAKKEN7-201831467894670065111568084065215753
    BAKKEN6-2018445374222668352654511706
    BAKKEN5-20180000000
    BAKKEN4-20188200020009459233902339
     
August 14, 2018: #33120 and #33121 come off confidential list August 25, 2018, and August 27, 2018, respectively.
  • 33120, 3,510, CLR, Moutain Gap 7-10H, Rattlesnake Point, t5/18; cum 437K 6/19; 37 stages; 15 million lbs -- middle Bakken:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-20183137955378552387743818421931230
BAKKEN7-2018313329533370203433673536210148
BAKKEN6-2018303227232381189723424133637236
BAKKEN5-20183184883844745708353685509402745
BAKKEN4-201847865765854635720572
BAKKEN3-201823173170000
BAKKEN2-2018412312370105501055

  •  33121: 2,972, CLR, Moutain Gap 8-10H1; Rattlesnake Point, t5/18; cum 277K 6/19; 37 stages; 15 million lbs; TF1
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-201831192591930923179223532189081
BAKKEN7-201831236592364724486267022624283
BAKKEN6-2018301764517759233151935218794190
BAKKEN5-201831700417009981120223502235
BAKKEN4-20184924886869245179901799
BAKKEN3-201814324060000
BAKKEN2-2018310610621145401454

August 9, 2018 (update on future dates): all these Mountain Gap wells have been completed and are starting to produce, but they are still on the confidential list -- the Rattlesnake Point wells are tracked here.
  • 33561, 1,861, CLR, Mountain Gap 12-10H, Rattlesnake Point,64 stages; 15.3 million lbs, 6/18; cum 285K 6/19;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-2018301964719590277482473423424939
BAKKEN7-201831241992420636983329662255010069
BAKKEN6-20183032056317494057837359355471431
BAKKEN5-20180000000
BAKKEN4-20180000000
BAKKEN3-201888718715318910891

  • 33123, 2,904,  CLR, Mountain Gap 10-10H, Rattlesnake Point, 63 stages; 15 million lbs, t6/18; cum 411K 6/19;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-2018314974549775363045675956079298
BAKKEN7-2018317232172304630987462473769480
BAKKEN6-2018305280352816526135254851466714
BAKKEN5-2018117021232104184783215
BAKKEN4-20180000000
BAKKEN3-2018476761317540754
  •  33579, 2,072, CLR, Mountain Gap 11-10H1, Rattlesnake Point, 64 stages; 15.3 million lbs, t6/18; cum 227K 6/19;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN8-20183127298272482380633529305082616
BAKKEN7-201831342603433935160489692311925445
BAKKEN6-20183035943355443842043568368966289
BAKKEN5-20180000000
BAKKEN4-201812282280000
BAKKEN3-201885175171518610861

Original Post

Disclaimer: it should be noted, I have been "snookered" on at least one occasion in the past when we thought we had a staggering record monthly production number only to find it was a typo by the NDIC. So, I'm waiting for the data once these wells come off the confidential before I get too excited.

Before getting to the subject of this post, look at these incredible wells CLR will be reporting, (for more on these wells, see this post):
  • 33121, 2,972, CLR, Mountain Gap 8-10H1, API 33-025-03237, producing but still confidential; we don't know the number of days of production in 5/18 (I assume a full month); and we don't know how much natural gas produced; t5/18; cum 277K 6/19;
DateOil RunsMCF Sold
6-20181775918794
5-2018700990
4-201886860
3-20184060
2-20181060
  • 33120, 3,510, CLR, Mountain Gap 7-10H, API 33-025-03236, huge production; 80K+ in first month of unconstrained production; 50,940 mcf = 8,500 boe. Plus the 84,474 = 92,962 boe in first month of unconstrained production. In the first two months of unconstrained production, 132,000 boe; t5/18; cum 437K 6/19;
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN6-2018303227232381189723424133637236
BAKKEN5-20183184883844745708353685509402745
BAKKEN4-201847865765854635720572
BAKKEN3-201823173170000
BAKKEN2-2018412312370105501055

Update

See note below. Now we have the data for the well in question:
  • 33120, 3,510, CLR, Mountain Gap 7-10H, Rattlesnake Point, 37 stages; 15 million lbs, huge well; 84K in one month; t5/18; cum 437K 6/19;
Original Note

Now the reason for this post.
  • One has to assume, Harold Hamm fracked the heck out of these two wells to get results like this. So, let's check FracFocus (the NDIC would not have this data yet).
FracFocus screenshots for these two wells down below.
Now, before you look at the FracFocus graphics: I have never, never, ever, ever seen an obvious typographical error posted by FracFocus.
The production numbers above are apparently correct; a reader verified that his royalty pay stubs confirms this production. So, 99.99999% sure there is no typo above but the NDIC has been known to make errors. But if the pay stubs reflect this production ...
And as noted, I have never seen FracFocus make an obvious typographic error.

If the FracFocus data is correct, then what are we to make of the production numbers of one of the wells above?

Here are the screenshots of the FracFocus data for these two wells. 

For the first well, #33121, the frack mix was not unusual:
  • water: 10.4 million lbs of water
  • water: 84% by weight
  • sand: 15% by weight
For the second well, #33120, either an error or something quite exciting; we will know when the wells come off confidential list:
  • water: less than a million gallons of water
  • water: 88% by weight
  • sand: 11% by weight
  • Later, frack data from the NDIC/CLR: 37 stages; 15 million lbs sand;
Look at line 3: only 935,592 gallons of water -- less than a million gallons. Fracks these days are generally 10 million gallons of water. Again, I've never see FracFocus make a mistake.

NOW .... a little bit more to add to the mystery. A normal frac (for a long lateral) takes about ten days, certainly not less than three or four days for a long lateral, but look at this:

For #33120 with less than a million gallons of water, only two days for the frack:
For #33121 with the more "normal" ten million gallons of water, ten days for the frack:

I am eagerly looking forward to the file report for the Mountain Gap wells when they come off the confidential list.

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