Monday, November 30, 2015

Monday, November 30, 2015

Active rigs:


11/30/201511/30/201411/30/201311/30/201211/30/2011
Active Rigs64185191182198


RBN Energy: Permian Delaware and Midland Crude Gathering Build Out Continues.
While crude oil takeaway capacity out of the Permian Basin from major hubs is probably overbuilt for the time being that is not the case for gathering systems bringing barrels from the wellhead to mainline terminals. Production in the Permian has slowed since the drop in oil prices reduced drilling activity but is still increasing from sweet spots in the Midland and Delaware basins in West Texas where pipeline gathering can save producers as much as $2/Bbl in trucking fees. Today we continue our review of gathering infrastructure build out to deliver more crude to takeaway hubs in the Permian.
In Episode 1 we summarized the changing balance over the past year between Permian crude production and pipeline takeaway capacity out of the region. Since the summer that balance has favored producers because major pipeline capacity opened up since the end of last year (2014) to East Houston (the 300 Mb/d Plains All American/Magellan Midstream Partners BridgeTex pipeline), to South Texas and Corpus Christi (the 250 Mb/d Plains Cactus pipeline) and to Nederland/ Port Arthur, TX (the 200 Mb/d Sunoco Logistics Permian Express II pipeline).
With the impending addition of the 540 Mb/d Enterprise Products Partners Midland to Sealy pipeline expected online in mid-2017 overall crude takeaway capacity out of the Permian is looking overbuilt given that production in the basin has slowed down (although still increasing) from the dramatic growth seen between 2012-2014. Yet Permian wells remain among the most productive in U.S. shale plays and drilling continues in the sweet spot areas of the play – the Midland and Delaware basins. As a result there is considerable pipeline infrastructure build out continuing to connect new production to the big takeaway pipeline hubs. We began an update on the Permian gathering projects first detailed last summer in our “Come Gather ‘Round Pipelines” series with additions by Occidental, Plains, Blueknight Energy Partners, Navigator Energy Services and Medallion Midstream. Today we conclude that roundup of projects currently under construction.
From In-Play:
Tallgrass Energy Partners increases its revolving credit facility from $850 million to $1.1 billion: The firm has increased its revolving credit facility from $850 million to $1.1 billion, and has an option to further increase the revolving credit facility by up to an additional $400 million of commitments to $1.5 billion. As of Sept. 30, 2015, TEP had $696 million drawn on its revolving credit facility. Tracked here.
OPEC ready to rumble over Saudi Arabia output. Story at WSJ. All talk. Saudi won't budge.

It looks like Libya will belong to ISIL. Story at WSJ. Pretty good for a JV team.
Even as foreign powers step up pressure against Islamic State in Syria and Iraq, the militant group has expanded in Libya and established a new base close to Europe where it can generate oil revenue and plot terror attacks.
Since announcing its presence in February in Sirte, the city on Libya’s Mediterranean coast has become the first that the militant group governs outside of Syria and Iraq. Its presence there has grown over the past year from 200 eager fighters to a roughly 5,000-strong contingent which includes administrators and financiers, according to estimates by Libyan intelligence officials, residents and activists in the area.
On even of Paris climate conference, the UK decides not to fund Shell carbon capture scheme. Too expensive, even if it means the earth is lost to global warming.

Meanwhile, in California, if you install solar roof panels, as far as the state is concerned, you don't count:
California's aggressive push to increase renewable energy production comes with a catch for people with solar panels on the roof: You don't count.
If a home or business has a rooftop solar system, most of the wattage isn't included in the ambitious requirement to generate half of the state's electricity from renewable sources such as solar and wind by 2030, part of legislation signed in October by Gov. Jerry Brown.
That means rooftop solar owners are missing out on a potentially lucrative subsidy that is paid to utilities and developers of big power projects.
It also means that utility ratepayers could end up overpaying for clean electricity to meet the state's benchmark because lawmakers, by excluding rooftop solar, left out the source of more than a third of the state's solar power.

Sunday, November 29, 2015

Southern California And Global Warming -- November 29, 2015

The Los Angeles Times is reporting that a northern California town is colder than Barrow, Alaska, as deep freeze intensifies.
A record cold snap continued across Northern California on Sunday, including more below-zero temperature readings.
According to the National Weather Service, it was actually colder in Alturas, CA, the seat of Modoc County in the far northeastern corner California, than it was in Barrow, Alaska, which lies above the Arctic Circle and is the northernmost city in the United States. Alturas registered minus-3 degrees, while Barrow recorded 3 degrees above zero.
It was even colder in Alturas on Saturday -- minus-5, breaking a record set in 1931 -- and that was warmer than one spot in California, in the Lassen National Forest east of Redding, which checked in at minus-11.
***************** 
Mission Accomplished 

Tweeting now: Maricopa County, A, police fatally shoot suicidal man in Sun City, officials say - @azcentral.

Enerplus To Report Two More Monster Bakken Wells Monday -- November 29, 2015

Monday, November 30, 2015
  • None.
Sunday, November 29, 2015
  • 27806, 2,059, BR, CCU Olympian 21-2MBH, Corral Creek, t10/15; cum 8K 9/15 29 days
  • 31075, SI/NC, SM Energy, Rolie 1-16HN, West Ambrose, no production data,
Saturday, November 28, 2015
  • 26988, 2,842, Enerplus, Bull 152-94-18B-19H-TF, Antelope, 41 stages, 10 million lbs, t6/15; cum 211K 9/15;
  • 26989, 2,357, Enerplus, Rattle 152-94-18B-19H, Antelope, 40 stages, 10 million lbs, t6/15; cum 179K 9/15;
  • 27807, 2,333, BR, CCU Olympian 21-2TFH, Corral Creek, 24-foot thick target, 25 - 49 feet below the base of the lower Bakken shale, in target zone 100% of the time, gas units peaked a bit above 2,000 units, t10/15; cum --
  • 30167, SI/NC, Hess, AN-Prossr-152-95-1102H-10, Antelope, no production data,
  • 30429, SI/NC, Statoil, Ruth 28-33 2TFH, East Fork, no production data,
  • 30431, SI/NC, Statoil, Ruth 28-33 3H, East Fork, no production data,
  • 31014, 702, WPX, Elk 17-20HE, Van Hook, 4 sections, t10/15; cum --
***************************************************

26989, see below, Enerplus, Rattle 152-94-18B-19H, Antelope:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-2015253940
9-20152734376975
8-20153864765774
7-20153828663057
6-20154752874585
5-2015109825328

26988, see above, Enerplus, Bull 152-94-18B-19H-TF, Antelope:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-2015356820
9-20154199250122
8-20154160661754
7-20154309756943
6-20154664076813
5-2015137425498

Hold On To Your Hats -- Something Tells Me This Might Be The Best Spot In The Bakken? -- November 29, 2015

Perhaps that's a bit of hyperbole, the "best spot in the Bakken," but this is pretty incredible.

Before reading further, bring yourself up to date by looking at this original post from one year ago, October 14, 2014.

Now, we have two monster Enerplus "snake" wells that will be reported tomorrow after coming off the confidential list yesterday (Saturday). I can't wait to see the completion data:

26989, conf, Enerplus, Rattle 152-94-18B-19H, Antelope, after less than six months, 178,296 bbls:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-2015253940
9-20152734376975
8-20153864765774
7-20153828663057
6-20154752874585
5-2015109825328

26988, conf, Enerplus, Bull 152-94-18B-19H-TF, Antelope, after less than six months, 210,391 bbls:

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
10-2015356820
9-20154199250122
8-20154160661754
7-20154309756943
6-20154664076813
5-2015137425498

Note where the Enerplus "snake" wells are relative to this vertical, monster well drilled in the same formation back in 1958:
  • 1779, PA/301, P & P Producing, Inc., Harvey Hopkins A 3, t5/58; cum 1.123 million bbls 11/87.

Hop, Skip, And A Jump From Ireland For The Kennedy Clan To See All This Snow-- November 29, 2015

Iceagenow is reporting:
“Seventy-three patches of snow have survived on Scotland’s hills from last winter – the most for 21 years,” reports the BBC. 
These numbers come from a man who counts them, Iain Cameron.
“The reason so many patches survived is undoubtedly to do with the very cool spring, which saw frequent and heavy snow showers right through May and even into June,” says Cameron. 
Apparently Scotland didn’t get the memo that the entire globe is heating up.
And the day before, this headline:
Wisconsin snowfall buries previous record. 
And before that:
Scotland forecast to get two feet of snow. 
The Kennedy clan isn't going to be able to keep up with all this snow. By the way, is Venezuela still giving away heating oil to Massachusetts? This is interesting, from a year or so ago:
Compounding a budding emergency fuel assistance crisis in Western Massachusetts, officials with Citizens Energy, founded by former U.S. Congressman Joseph P. Kennedy II, report that the foundation has not received its annual fuel installment from Citgo and the Venezuelan government.
The 35-year-old nonprofit agency, also known as Joe-4-Oil, began by providing discounted heating fuel to low-income Massachusetts residents. It expanded its reach to 26 states in the aftermath of Hurricane Katrina in 2005, when oil prices skyrocketed. Since Katrina, Citgo has partnered with the South American government to donate a half-billion dollars in oil.
In Western Massachusetts, emergency fuel providers said Citizens Energy typically offers assistance in January when many needy households are running low on federally funded heating fuel benefits. However, Kennedy recently issued a statement in response to a reporter's request that signals potentially grim news.
My hunch the program is dying on the vine. The best I've seen is from the website, a) you need to fill out an application ; and, b) there's a waiting list.

I think it would have been a lot easier and more reliable just to put in those pipelines from the Marcellus and the Utica. But "Joe" is such a nice guy.