Wednesday, September 2, 2020

EIA Weekly Petroleum Report -- Huge Decline Is Crude Oil Inventories -- September 2, 2020

WTI drops $1.12; drops 2.6%; now trading well below $42.

Link here.

  • US crude oil in storage decreased by a whopping 9.4 million bbls;
  • US crude oil in storage now stands at 498.4 million bbls, still 14% above the already-fat five-year average;
  • imports averaged 4.9 million bopd; which was a decrease of 1.0 million bopd from the previous week;
  • imports average about 5.5 million bopd, or 20% less than the same four-week period last year
  • refineries operated at 76.7% of their operable capacity; this was a significant drop;
  • distillate inventories decreased by 1.7 million bbls but are still a whopping 23% above the five-year average for this time of the year
  • propane is back in the news as near the harvesting season: propane inventories increased by 4.4 million bbls and are about 11% above the five-year average
  • jet fuel delivered was down 47.1% compared with the same four-week period last year
  • United Airlines just announced huge layoffs at the time this summary was being produced;

Jet fuel supplied:

Jet Fuel Delivered, Change, Four-Week/Four-Week



Week

Date of Report

Change

Week 0

3/7/2020

-12.80%

Week 1

3/14/2020

-12.60%

Week 2

3/21/2020

-8.90%

Week 3

3/28/2020

-16.40%

Week 4

4/4/2020

-0.22%

Week 18

July 15, 2020

-51.90%

Week 19

July 22, 2020

-47.70%

Week 20

July 29, 2020

-42.10%

Week 21

August 5, 2020

-40.90%

Week 22

August 12, 2020

-45.80%

Week 23

August 19, 2020

-47.60%

Week 24

August 26, 2020

-45.70%

Week 25

September 2, 2020

-47.10%

US crude oil inventories:

Date of Report=

Change

Million Bbls Storage

Over/under 5-year average

November 21, 2018

4.9

446.9


November 28, 2018

3.6

450.5


December 6, 2018

-7.3

443.2


December 12, 2018

-1.2

442.0


December 19, 2018

-0.5

441.5


December 28, 2018

0.0

441.4


July 15, 2020

-7.5

531.7

17%

July 22, 2020

4.9

536.6

19%

July 29, 2020

-10.6

526.0

17%

August 5, 2020

-7.4

518.6

16%

August 12, 2020

-4.5

514.1


August 19, 2020

-1.6

512.5


August 26, 2020

-4.7

507.8

15%

September 2, 2020

-9.4

498.4

14%

Distillate fuel inventories:

Distillate Fuel Inventories




Week

Date of Report

Change in Millions

Relative to 5-Yr Avg

Week 1

August 26, 2020

1.40

24%

Week 2

September 2, 2020

-1.70

23.00%

Crude oil imports:

Crude Oil Imports





Week (week-over-week)

Date of Report

Raw Data, millions of bbls

Change (millions of bbls)

Four-week period comparison

Week 0

March 11, 2029

6.4

0.174


Week 1

March 18, 2020

6.5

0.127


Week 2

March 25, 2020

6.1

-0.422


Week 3

April 1, 2020

6.0

-0.070


Week 4

April 8, 2020

5.9

-0.173


Week 5

April 15, 2020

5.7

-0.194


Week 6

April 22, 2020

5.6

-0.700


Week 7

April 29, 2020

5.3

0.365

-19.700%

Week 8

May 6, 2020

5.7

0.410


Week 9

May 13, 2020

5.4

-0.321

-26.100%

Week 10

May 20, 2020

5.2

-0.194


Week 11

May 28, 2020

7.2

2.000

-16.400%

Week 12

June 3, 2020

6.2

-1.000

-18.300%

Week 13

June 10, 2020

6.4

0.000

-13.300%

Week 14

June 17, 2020

6.6

-0.222

-10.000%

Week 15

June 24, 2020

6.5

-0.102

-11.600%

Week 16

July 1, 2020

6.5

-0.600

-11.300%

Week 17

July 8, 2020

7.4

1.400

-8.500%

Week 18

July 15, 2020

7.5

-1.800

-10.200%

Week 19

July 22, 2020

5.9

0.373

-13.500%

Week 20

July 29, 2020

5.1

-0.800

-13.600%

Week 21

August 5, 2020

6.0

0.900

-18.100%

Week 22

August 12, 2020

5.6

-0.389

-20.400%

Week 23

August 19, 2020

5.7

0.109

-21.700%

Week 24

August 26, 2020

5.9

0.185

-16.900%

Week 25

September 2, 2020

4.9

-1.000

-20.200%

2 comments:

  1. Numbers skewed this week due to Laura, GOM production shut in for most of last week, Motiva refinery shut down, Houston ship channel and LOOP shut down for several days.

    ReplyDelete
    Replies
    1. Yes, that's probably why WTI did not do well at all today, among other reasons, I'm sure. The story I think is fascinating is Saudi's change in strategy.

      Delete

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