Wednesday, April 25, 2018

Feedjit No Longer Available -- April 25, 2018

Wow, this is sad. I loved "Feedjit." I only noticed in the last couple of days it no longer appeared on the blog. This is what I found when looking up "Feedjit."
Feedjit is unfortunately no longer available. The service was run as a hobby site for many years. Due to emerging cyber risks and regulatory requirements, it is not possible to continue to operate Feedjit as a not-for-profit fun service without incurring significant costs.

For this reason we are regrettably shutting down the service.

Both Kerry and I hope you enjoyed Feedjit for the many years that it was running. If you are looking for a way to view your website traffic in real-time, I recommend you install Google Analytics and check out the real-time view.

Regards,

Mark Maunder.
Thank you Mark Zuckerberg, et al.

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Meanwhile, Over At Camelot 2.0

President Trump's first state dinner. Guest of honor: French President Macron. One of a very select group of guests: Tim Cook. 

From Macrumors:


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Wow

If the GOP has a bucket of #1 enemies, certainly Ms Lisa Perez Jackson would be in that bucket. 

Guess what! That's her in the picture above; she accompanied Tim Cook to President Trump and Melania's first state dinner -- wow, wow, wow. There are so many story lines. 

Ms Lisa Jackson was the director of the EPA under the Obama administration and probably did as much -- or tried to do as much -- as she could to destroy / derail / slow the US shale revolution. Wow. 

When she left the Obama administration, she went to work for Tim Cook at Apple. Tim Cook could have brought another "date," but he chose to have Ms Lisa Jackson join him. That's really something. 

One-hundred-fifty people, apparently, attended President Trump's first state dinner. That means seventy-five primaries were invited; the other 75 were friends, dates, significant others, spouses. That was a very, very small state dinner .... and Tim Cook was invited. That speaks volumes. 

On top of all that, Tim Cook was seated next to Mrs Macron. Someone needs to fact check that. 

Reading The Opium Wars, Hanes, c. 2002, puts so much of this into perspective.  

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As Long As We Are Talking Apple ...

I remember the skeptics who said the Apple Watch would not move the needle for Apple. I don't know whether that's accurate or not, but I sure see a lot of movers and shakers wearing Apple Watches.

But apparently, Apple Watches have moved the needle for Verizon. From Macrumors:
Verizon, the largest carrier in the United States by subscriber count, saw a monthly subscriber increase of 260,000 during the first quarter of 2018, reports Bloomberg, largely due to an increased number of smart watch activations.

The company actually lost phone and tablet subscribers last quarter, but the dip in subscribers did not hurt its bottom line because of smart watches, wearables, and other connected devices like vehicles.


Image via Bloomberg

Verizon says it added a total of 359,000 subscribers who are using smart watches and other devices during the quarter, making up for the loss of 24,000 phone customers and 75,000 tablet customers.

There was no breakdown in the number of activations by specific device, but Verizon's jump in smart watch subscribers comes following the September release of the Apple Watch Series 3, the first Apple Watch with LTE connectivity. 
I had forgotten the Series 3 Apple Watch had LTE connectivity. Aewsome.

How Low Will It Go? April 25, 2018 -- Natural Gas Withdrawal Season Is Poised To Stretch Two Weeks Longer Than Ever Due To Global Cooling -- April 25, 2018

Updates

April 16, 2018: update here.  

Original Post 
See this post.

The next natural gas fill/withdrawal data will be released by the EIA tomorrow (Thursday, April 26, 2018). This is what is forecast.

Now, this, from today's twitter.


The link to Platt's.
The natural gas withdrawal season is poised to stretch two weeks longer than ever reported as stocks must currently replace 2.549 Tcf of gas to reach the five-year average by the start of the next heating season.

The US Energy Information Administration on Thursday is expected to report a 12 Bcf withdrawal for the week that ended April 20, according to a survey of analysts by S&P Global Platts. Responses to the survey were tight and ranged from a withdrawal of 7 Bcf to 17 Bcf. The EIA plans to release its weekly storage report at 10:30 am EDT on Thursday. A 12 Bcf draw would be very bullish compared to the corresponding week last year, which featured a 71 Bcf injection, and the five-year average build of 60 Bcf. It would also be the latest net withdrawal on record for the heating season.

A withdrawal within analysts' expectations of 12 Bcf would deplete stocks to 1.287 Tcf. The deficit versus the five-year average would grow to 521 Bcf and the deficit versus the corresponding week last year would expand to 891 Bcf.

The EIA reported a 36 Bcf net withdrawal for the week ended April 13. It dropped inventories to 1.299 Tcf, which was 38.3% less than the year-ago inventory of 2.107 Tcf, and 25.7% less than the five-year average of 1.748 Tcf.
Note: yes, I know. This is not all due to global cooling. A lot of this has to do with the nation moving from coal to natural gas. (And, of course, wind and solar energy could not make up the shortfall when coal plants were shut down.)

Random Look At A Madison Well That Cobra Is Considering For Re-Entry -- April 25, 2018

Cobra has asked that this well be put on TA (temporarily abandon) status. Cobra, according to a sundry form, is evaluating whether to re-enter this well. This is the current scout ticket:

NDIC File No: 9578     API No: 33-007-00860-00-00     CTB No: 408128
Well Type: OG     Well Status: TA     Status Date: 3/1/2018     Wellbore type: Vertical
Location: SESW 16-144-101     Footages: 580 FSL 2080 FWL     Latitude: 47.285336     Longitude: -103.489599
Current Operator: COBRA OIL & GAS CORPORATION
Current Well Name: NORTH ELKHORN RANCH UNIT 1603
Elevation(s): 2515 KB     Total Depth: 9600     Field: NORTH ELKHORN RANCH
Spud Date(s):  10/4/1982
Casing String(s):  9.625" 2790'   5.5" 9604'  
Completion Data
   Pool: MADISON     Perfs: 9470-9540 G     Comp: 11/4/1982     Status: TA     Date: 3/1/2018     Spacing: U
Cumulative Production Data
   Pool: MADISON     Cum Oil: 612998     Cum MCF Gas: 1385887     Cum Water: 669810
Production Test Data
   IP Test Date: 11/4/1982     Pool: MADISON     IP Oil: 1454     IP MCF: 0     IP Water: 50
Monthly Production Data

Nine New Permits; Four Permits Renewed; Oasis Transfers Another 33 Wells To White Rock Oil & Gas; 63 Active Rigs -- April 25, 2018

Active rigs:

$68.054/25/201804/25/201704/25/201604/25/201504/25/2014
Active Rigs63492684182

Nine new permits:
  • Operators: Hess (4); NP Resources (4); Cobra Oil & Gas
  • Fields: Hawkeye (McKenzie); Ash Coulee (Billings); North Elkhorn Ranch (Billings)
  • Comments: Hess has permits for a 4-well Nelson pad in SESE 34-152-95; NP Resources has permits for a 4-well Little Mo Federal pad in NWNW 12-142-102; and, Cobra Oil & Gas has a permit for Neru well in NESE 15-144-101;
  • Comment: I mentioned Cobra for the first time (?) on the blog back on January 27, 2016;
Four permits renewed:
  • NP Resources (3): three Elkhorn Ranch Federal permits in Billings County
  • WPX: one Edward Goodbird permit in Dunn County
Operator Transfer: about 33 wells transferred from Oasis to White Rock --
  • oldest permit: #07503
  • most recent permit: #21261
  • location: three from Williams County; the rest form McKenzie County

Great Britain -- Records Its First Horizontal Well -- Not Completed -- Something To Do With An Earthquake -- April 25, 2018

The UK would need to frack a well per day to reduce gas imports. About as likely as Mary Poppins showing up again. My bad. Mary is returning, Christmas 2018. LOL.


See this story at oilprice.com (Irina Slav).

And this is being reported with a straight face by the authors of "the study":
At this rate of well fracking means a total of 6,100 wells will need to be drilled in the country over the 14-year period and will involve land takeover on a very large scale, the report’s authors concluded.
So, there you have it. Six thousand wells over the next fourteen years, and Caudrilla is waiting for government approval to complete one well. Good luck.

According to the article,
In any case, the future of shale gas in the UK is not necessarily bright. Although earlier this month local shale producer Cuadrilla drilled the first horizontal well in the country, in the Bowland shale, but it has not completed it, awaiting final government approval. There is strong opposition to fracking in the UK, but also not a whole lot of options for replacing imported gas with domestic production.
But a google search reveals that back in 2011, Quadrilla admitted that a well it was fracking was likely the cause of a number of minor seismic events (earthquakes). Link here.

Of course, another quick google search reveals that earthquakes occur on the average once every week or so in Lancashire, England -- and they have been going on for centuries -- well before any fracking.

Bottom line: we are not going to see much fracking in England any time soon -- even if it's all fake news.