Sunday, March 1, 2020

Fake Memes -- Parent-Daughter Wells In The Bakken -- March 1, 2020

While we are waiting for Sophia to load the API numbers for the EOG wells coming off the confidential list this week, check out CLR's 2/26/2020 presentation

There's a meme out there that in the shale fields, daughter cells are significantly -- and the meme says "significantly" -- worse than the parent wells. That meme apparently is not about the Bakken. Maybe the Permian, but not the Bakken.

I do believe that the wells that are reporting initial production data this week, are all daughter wells. If these daughter wells produced significantly worse than their parent wells, I want to see those parent wells. LOL.

These are huge wells.

We'll get into them individually.

Some comments:
  • Enerplus doesn't report often, but when it does, Enerplus reports some huge wells. This week, Enerplus reports its "turtle pad."
  • EOG hasn't lost its touch. Look at its new wells in Clarks Creek. OMG!
  • The Oasis Banks wells are coming in relatively good, but they are a mixed bag, and for Oasis/Banks, I expected a bit better, but again, IPs are not the end-all and be-all. 
  • For the EOG wells, I can hardly wait to see the frack data, but we will get an early look when we check FracFocus. Stay tuned.

Initial Production Data For Wells Coming Off Confidential List This Next Week -- March 1, 2020

36027, conf, MRO, Pletan 11-13TFH, Bailey,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-2019187737418
11-2019252629220
10-2019269874092
9-2019232050

36026, conf, MRO, Herbert 41-14H, Bailey,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-2019201077816
11-2019263669299
10-2019306694430
9-2019390290

35821, conf, MRO, Bryden 11-13H, Bailey,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-2019266979216
11-20193126710494
10-2019351994897
9-2019171870

35820, conf, MRO, Maher 41-14TFH, Bailey,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-2019211169450
11-2019289059936
10-2019333024828
9-2019404000

36416, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 105-0719H, 33-053-09061, Clarks Creek, 7/20/19 - 8/22/19, 11.5 million gallons of water, 83% water by mass,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193083942916
11-20193973792288
10-20197161196448
9-20196695187763

36415, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 18-0719H, 33-053-09060, Clarks Creek,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193812178940
11-20194855579616
10-20198346493516
9-201986854104174

36413, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 106-0724H, 33-053-09058, Clarks Creek, 7/25/19 - 8/23/19; 11.4 million gallons of water, 81% water by mass;

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-201960322172190
11-201973804122169
10-20197585589623
9-20195183268307

35100, conf, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 12-30 8T, Banks,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20191807341944
11-20191819742075
10-20192358946564
9-201929185832

23958, conf, EOG, Liberty LR 107-1109H, 33-061-02281, Parshall, 7/7/19 - 8/5/19; 12.5 million gallons of water; 82% water by mass;

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20192719114970
11-20193534617412
10-20193918024625
9-20195415937865

35064, conf, Enerplus, Hawksbill 152-94-33D-28H, Antelope,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20191244211596
11-20192691132332
10-20195185738521
9-2019223167912

35063, conf, Enerplus, Tortoise 152-94-33C-28H-TF1, Antelope,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193126829141
11-20192490229917
10-20194264731680
9-20193492912384

35099, conf, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 12-30 7B, Banks,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193287189768
11-20193426589084
10-20193676889573
9-2019435416562

35068, conf, Enerplus, Terrapin 152-94-33D-28H, Antelope,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193571233283
11-20193128037579
10-20194455333096
9-2019268439517

35067, conf, Enerplus, Box 152-94-33D-28H-TF2, Antelope,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193342931156
11-20193094537178
10-20193240524072
9-2019210877476

35066, conf, Enerplus, Painted 152-94-33D-28H, Antelope,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193945736773
11-20193736544889
10-20194487133332
9-20193266611582

35251, conf, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 44-19 13BX, Banks,

DateOil RunsMCF Sold
12-20193172580703
11-20193747270425
10-20193188966359
9-201928526856

32461, drl, Sinclair Oil, Crosby Creek 4-5H, Little Knife, no production data,

Wells Coming Off The Confidential List This Next Week -- March 1, 2020

Monday, March 9, 2020: 16 for the month; 187 for the quarter, 187 for the year:
36027, conf, MRO, Pletan 11-13TFH
36026, conf, MRO, Herbert 41-14H, 
35821, conf, MRO, Bryden 11-13H, 
35820, conf, MRO, Maher 41-14TFH,

Sunday, March 8, 2020: 12 for the month; 183 for the quarter, 183 for the year:
None.

Saturday, March 7, 2020: 12 for the month; 183 for the quarter, 183 for the year:
36416, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 105-0719H, 
36415, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 18-0719H, 
36413, conf, EOG, Clarks Creek 106-0724H,
[36414 is still on loc status]

Friday, March 6, 2020: 9 for the month; 180 for the quarter, 180 for the year:
35100, conf, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 12-30 8T,
35958, conf, EOG, Liberty LR 107-1109H, 

Thursday, March 5, 2020: 7 for the month; 178 for the quarter, 178 for the year:
35064, conf, Enerplus, Hawksbill 152-94-33D-28H,
35063, conf, Enerplus, Tortoise 152-94-33C-28H-TF1

Wednesday, March 4, 2020: 5 for the month; 176 for the quarter, 176 for the year:
35099, conf, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 12-30 7B, 
35068, conf, Enerplus, Terrapin 152-94-33D-28H, 
35067, conf, Enerplus, Box 152-94-33D-28H-TF2
35066, conf, Enerplus, Painted 152-94-33D-28H, 

Tuesday, March 3, 2020: 1 for the month; 172 for the quarter, 172 for the year:
None.

Monday, March 2, 2020: 1 for the month; 172 for the quarter, 172 for the year:
None.

Sunday, March 1, 2020: 1 for the month; 172 for the quarter, 172 for the year:
35251, conf, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 44-19 13BX,

Saturday, February 29, 2020: 64 for the month; 171 for the quarter, 171 for the year:
32461, conf, Sinclair Oil, Crosby Creek 4-5H,


Friday, February 28, 2020: 63 for the month; 170 for the quarter, 170 for the year:
  • 35252, 236, Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 44-19 12T, Banks, t9/19; cum 57K 9/19;

It's A New Day -- March 1, 2020

I'm not a gamblin' man but if I were, I would lay down a 1,024 - 1 bet that somewhere in South Carolina, someone on Joe Biden's staff is playing this song:

Feeling Good, Nina Simone

Sunday Morning Coming Down -- March 1, 2020

The week in pictures: link here


Steyer bails. If you want to see what an opportunist sounds like, listen to the first 90 seconds of his speech announcing he is quitting.

South Carolina: even MSNBC didn't see this coming. Joe Biden won every county in the Palmetto state. Every county. 

China: late yesterday I said that President Xi has three months to get this under control. Within three months we start seeing widespread social unrest if that country drops into depression. Now I see Tyler Durden has said the same thing. At this link:
Beijing now only has about 3 months before its companies run out of cash and the economy implodes from mass defaults and bank failures unless the economic situation is stabilized.
Koontz: 1981 novel. Global pandemic, virus he called "Wuhan-400." Eyes of Darkness. From the book:
“In around 2020 a severe pneumonia-like illness will spread throughout the globe, attacking the lungs and bronchial tubes and resisting all known treatments.”
Trump wins again: appellate court says US House lacks "standing" to force "McGahn subpoena." Convoluted ruling, but a ruling none the less.