Thursday, January 30, 2020

Automotive Manufacting By State -- January 30, 2020

Jobs and industry will move where costs are less. I assume the top costs for manufacturing automobiles: human resources, and energy.

Undated link but here are the top auto manufacturing states in the US:
  • five south of the Mason-Dixon line, not including Texas: Tennessee, Missouri, Kentucky, Alabama, Mississippi, #6 - #10;
  • Texas, #4
  • four along the northern tier: Michigan, Ohio, Indiana, Illinois; #1 - #3; #5.
It will be interesting to see how this changes by 2030. My hunch is it won't change much. The states above are ranked, it appears, on number of auto-manufacturing associated plants. Would be nice to see ranking by dollar and number of jobs. 

Wiki, as usual, provides a huge amount of data on this.

Notes From All Over, Part 1 -- January 30, 2020

Chevron: announces a dividend increase. And not insignificant. New dividend: $1.29, up from $1.19. That's an 8.4% increase in the quarterly dividend. Whoo-hoo! Now paying 4.68%.

XOM; will announce a small hike in its dividend next May, 2020 (a hunch). Maybe a 2% increase.

Disclaimer: this is not an investment site.  Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here.

Kobe index, link here:


And with that, off to the library. Good luck, everyone.

 

Bakken Graphic Of The Day -- January 30, 2020


GDP At 2.1% -- Jobless Claims Up A Bit -- Overall A Nice Report Card; Gasoline Demand In Free-Fall -- January 30, 2020

Link here.

GDP: in-line, unchanged.
Fundamentally supported by consumer spending, fourth-quarter GDP is expected to rise at a 2.1 percent annual pace to match the third quarter's pace. Consumer spending in the US is seen slowing from a strong 3.2 percent third-quarter pace to a still useful 1.9 percent in the fourth. Net exports and residential investment are also likely to be positives for the quarter. 

Jobless claims:
  • prior: 211K
  • prior revised: 223K
  • consensus: 215K
  • actual: 216K
Consensus outlook: Initial jobless claims are expected to rise 4,000 to 215,000 in the January 25 week after rising 6,000 in the prior week to 211,000. The prior week was the sample week of the January employment report and though the initial indication was favorable for the monthly employment report, a significant number of states were estimated raising the risk of a sizable revision, one that could affect estimates for January nonfarm payrolls and the month's unemployment rate. 
Gasoline demand, link here:


Days supply, link here: pretty much unchanged for quite some time now -- 25.9 days. For me, 25.9 rounds off to 28 days, and 4 x 7 = 28; therefore a 4-week supply of oil. A two-week supply is way too tight; a three-week supply about right.

WTI Trending Toward $52; Five Wells Coming Off Confidential List; Update On The D-J Basin -- January 30, 2020

Boom! Apple now worth more than Germany's 30 largest listed companies that make up the DAX index on the Frankfurt Stock Exchange.
The DAX is worth a combined $1.36 trillion, including business software giant SAP ($162 billion), chemical company Linde ($111 billion), engineering and industrial conglomerate Siemens ($108 billion), and insurance group Allianz ($100 billion). 
The tech giant's market capitalization has now grown to over $1.4 trillion, further cementing its place as the world's most valuable tech company. Only the Saudi Aramco oil company is worth more. 
Hammered: speaking of Saudi Aramco, OPEC is getting hammered by low oil prices and may move the next OPEC meeting forward (sooner than now scheduled). And Russian oil companies say that Russia production may decrease if they don't get some tax relief from Putin. Everyone has problems. Meanwhile, Jerry Jones, owner of the Dallas Cowboys, plans to host the biggest Super Bowl party ever down in Miami, on his yacht. Party like it's 1999. So, that's a trifecta for "hammered": OPEC, Russia, and Super Bowl party attendees.

Ovintiv: already forgot who this is? The old Encana. Link here:
Ovintiv Inc. will update investors Wednesday on its progress for the shale oil assets in Oklahoma it amassed after the $5.5 billion acquisition of Newfield Exploration Co. in 2018. The Stack and Scoop fields in the Anadarko Basin have faced investor scrutiny and operational challenges that sent a handful of small explorers into bankruptcy.
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Back to the Bakken

First things first: the CLR Omlid-Ransom wells in Elidah oil field have been updated; some huge wells.

Active rigs:

$52.321/30/202001/30/201901/30/201801/30/201701/30/2016
Active Rigs5465573845

Five wells coming off confidential list today -- Thursday, January 30, 2020: 104 for the month; 104 for the quarter, 104 for the year:
  • 35957, 1,470, Whiting, Cayko 21-22HU, Dore, t8/19; cum 68K 11/19; a 21K month;
  • 35852, drl, XTO, FBIR STephen 21X-19A, Heart Butte,
  • 35115, 54 (no typo), Oasis, Kellogg Federal 5297 11-30 5T, Banks, t8/19; cum 41K 11/19; a 25K month;
  • 34967, 1,880, CLR, Rader 11-24H1, Avoca, t7/19; cum 80K 11/19; a 24K month;
  • 32109, 3,350, CLR, Boulder Federal 8-4H, Banks, t9/19; cum 138K 11/19; a 64K month, followed by a 47K month;
RBN Energy: D-J Basin production gains spur crude gathering systems build-out. Peak oi? What peak oil? Archived
The Denver-Julesburg Basin in northeastern Colorado and southeastern Wyoming has been producing crude oil for many decades now, but there were only a few crude gathering systems there until just the past three or four years, which were marked by a rapid ramp-up in production associated with the Shale Revolution. The development of these systems was spurred by producers’ desire to more efficiently and cost-effectively transport increasing volumes of crude from their new horizontal wells to new and expanded takeaway pipelines. The gathering systems have been built and added to over time by a combination of entities –– producers themselves, midstream affiliates of producers, and independent midstream companies, many of them backed by private equity. Today, we discuss highlights from our new Drill Down Report on D-J Basin crude oil gathering systems.
It would be hard to ignore the D-J Basin of late, given both the rapid growth in crude oil, natural gas and NGL production there and the efforts to develop new takeaway capacity. For example, crude oil production in the D-J has nearly doubled over the past four years and increased by 45% over the past two years to about 620 Mb/d, according to IHS Markit, making the D-J the second-fastest-growing major production area in the U.S. — only the Permian Basin has been growing faster. Natural gas production in the D-J has also been rising fast, from less than 1.6 Bcf/d, on average, in January 2016 to almost 2.8 Bcf/d this month, driven by NGLs-rich associated gas production from crude-focused wells.