The Bountiful Bailey -- December 18, 2021

Locator: 10010B16459.

See this post from January 21, 2021.

There are seven permits / locations on that pad. How are those wells doing now. It should be noted that the parent well, #16459, is off line.

Update on the seven locations:

• 37996, loc/A, MRO, Christoph 41-4H, Bailey, t--; cum 264K 7/23;
  
• 37997, drl/A, MRO, Phillip USA 41-4TFH, Bailey, t--; cum 240K 7/23;
  
• 38087, drl/A, MRO, Weidner USA 31-4TFH, Bailey, t--; cum 261K 7/23;
  
• 38085, drl/A, MRO, Delores USA 31-4H, Bailey, t--; cum 239K 7/23;
  
• 38084, PNC, MRO, Opal USA 21-4H, Bailey,
• 38083, PNC, MRO, Baisch USA 21-4TFH, Bailey.
  

The parent well, went off line 10/21:

• 16459, 457, MRO, Oscar Stohler 41-4H, Bailey, t10/08; cum 619K 10/21. Production jumped 30x in late 2017, from FracFocus: fracked 5/26/17 - 6/12/17;look how small this frack was, 4.5 million gallons of water; 87% water by mass; sand, 12.3% by mass; cum 705K 7/23; second jump in production, 5/22;
  

BAKKEN	10-2017	31	29014	28731	11597	36537	5178	31175
BAKKEN	9-2017	30	32893	33164	13654	41385	6555	34659
BAKKEN	8-2017	31	18678	18457	14945	23587	3356	20047
BAKKEN	7-2017	29	29243	29222	20400	36800	3322	33317
BAKKEN	6-2017	16	16541	16404	6425	20817	869	19855
BAKKEN	5-2017	1	0	0	130	0	0	0
BAKKEN	4-2017	0	0	0	0	0	0	0
BAKKEN	3-2017	10	274	696	135	218	0	176
BAKKEN	2-2017	28	943	918	253	772	0	605
BAKKEN	1-2017	31	1081	1393	290	875	0	695
BAKKEN	12-2016	30	1183	923	295	761	0	464
BAKKEN	11-2016	26	945	901	248	608	0	356
BAKKEN	10-2016	31	1220	1350	308	785	0	468
BAKKEN	9-2016	30	1134	874	304	766	194	271
BAKKEN	8-2016	18	353	232	97	320	155	27
BAKKEN	7-2016	31	1062	1141	275	715	126	289

Four points can be made looking at the MRO wells in the Bailey oil field:

• not only is this not atypical;
• it's likely to be the norm for MRO wells in this field; and,
• there's no suggestion these wells won't be refracked a third or fourth time; or,
• re-entered to lengthen them to recover orphaned oil along the section lines.

Administratively, Bakken operators capture the orphaned well with overlapping 2560-acre wells, but geologically / production-wise they do not. Fracking is only optimal to about 50 feet (radius), and definitely recedes even more quickly at the toe.