Tuesday, July 15, 2025

Apple TV+ "Severence" Takes 27 Emmy Nomiations -- Most Nominations Of Any Franchise -- July 15, 2025

Locator: 48742EMMY.

Link here to WSJ

Link to press release.

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The Art Page

A penny for her thoughts, as Sophia gazes across Grapevine Lake toward the Gaylord Texan.

Nominated for best "Million Dollar Way" photo of the year, 2025.

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A Musical Interlude

Link here.

Trump: Pennsylvania To Become An AI Hub -- July 15, 2025

Locator: 48741PENNSYLVANIA.

The big story here? Natural gas and pipelines.

Pennsylvania, The Wall Street Journal, July 15, 2025. Link here. I remember the day Joe Biden told these blue collar workers to "learn to code." Now, we actually have a president that follows through with bringing projects for these blue collar workers.

Pennsylvania, breaking:

June, 2025, Inflation -- July 15, 2025

Locator: 48740INFLATION.

Link here.

Compared to the numbers in the same month in 2022, these numbers are not bad at all.

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The Book Page

No, I do not have this book. But I'm watching for it -- at an affordable price or through a library.

Tag:  political history of the Arameans; K Lawson Younger, Jr. publication date, October 7, 2016.

Zavanna With Four New Permits In Glass Bluff -- July 15, 2025

Locator: 48739B.

Epstein: Trump, et al, has let the Epstein story become the top story on the NBC Nightly News. Not good. 

Iraq: deepening natural gas crisis supply. I was completely unaware. Trump continues to redraw the maps in the Mideast. 

Iran: deepening natural gas crisis. I was completely unaware. Not getting the coverage one might expect. X is particularly quiet.

This appears to be a very, very big story. Something suggests the 12-day war may have taken out a lot more natural gas assets in Iran than we were led to believe.
This is probably hyperbole but everything suggests Iran is about ready to implode.
More likely, Iran becomes another North Korea, but worse.
Recommend: ask ChatGPT.
According to ChatGPT, Iran has cut its gas deliveries by over half -- from roughly 55 mcm/day to 25 mcm/day, resulting in an immediate shortfall of 3,800 - 6,000 megawats of power production in Iraq. Gas-fired plants are faltering, Iraq is struggling to meet demand, especially during heatwaves, causing rolling blackouts. See this story over at oilprice.

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $66.82.

Active rigs: 30.

Four new permits: #42125 - #42128, inclusive:

  • Operator: Zavanna
  • Field: Glass Bluff (McKenzie County)
  • Comments:
    • Zavanna has permits for four Beth wells, NESE 4-151-103, 
      • to be sited 1913 / 2003 FSL and 289 FEL.

Market -- July 15, 2025

Locator: 48738MARKET.

See disclaimer.

BNY: one-on-one with Jim Cramer today. BNY is the first bank to deploy an AI-supercomputer and has 50+ AI-enabled solutions in production. This simply tells me how much farther "we" have to go with regard to AI. Increases its dividend by 13%.

These guys -- CNBC analysts -- are a whole lot smarter than I am. But some thoughts regarding today's meme with regard to the market:

  • the meme: Dow falls 300 points on earnings, inflation concerns; Nvidia boosts Nasdaq.

Rambling comments:

  • Nvidia news boosts NVDA. NVDA share price is boosting the NASDAQ. Subtle distinctions. Or perhaps not so subtle. 
    • JPM news should have boosted JPM stock; it did not. So JPM is not boosting the Dow, even though JPM news should have.
  • Inflation? As far as I'm concerned -- it's still a "Goldilocks" story. If Biden/Kamala were still in office, the media would be raving how the administration is bringing down inflation / has brought down inflation, but with Trump, the media hates to admit the obvious.
  • Inflation: has nothing to do with tariffs. Too long do discuss, but IYKYK. Considering the economic expansion, one could argue it's amazing how tame inflation really is. In fact, increased productivity gains may offset other causes of inflation.
  • Is the Dow down today because of inflation fears? LOL. The Dow is down because folks that know are pivoting from legacy companies to technology. 

Exhibit A:

  • GM, down today, when CRWV is soaring.
  • BRK-B: since April 2, 2015, BRK-B is down 13%.

Speaking of GM, there was a Reuters report today updating GM's updated plans. Link here.

  • there is so much information, it's hard to keep track of it all, but for me, two takeaways:
  • slowly but surely GM is getting out of the EV business, or certainly positioning itself to do so, if necessary; and, they need to be taking these steps now, because once the decision is made, it takes awhile to pivot:
  • the new gasoline-powered vehicles won't be available until two years from now -- mid-2027

The big question: what is Ford doing? From what little I know, Ford, once having made the decision to go all-electric, has not yet changed its position.