Wednesday, April 26, 2023

McDonald's Starting To See Pushback -- April 26, 2023

Locator: 44488BE. 

Wow, wow, wow, wow! From April 25, 2023 -- just yesterday:

McDonald's

  • recurrent theme on the blog: inflation doesn't matter (don't take that out of context)
  • headline: McDonald's revamp is paying off; net income rises 63% in 1Q23; link here;
  • taking customers (and money) away from competitors
  • MCD (stock) has traded at record highs this month (April, 2023)
  • broad restructuring and laying off "hundreds" of workers
  • reducing "some" employees' compensation packages
  • I had a Big Mac meal on Saturday this past weekend
    • that was the first time I've been to McDonald's in a year (?) -- that I can recall -- it's possible it's been longer
    • I was surprised how costly the meal was; I did not "up-size" it -- kept it at "medium-size" -- was just under $9
    • my expectation: a $5-handle, and significantly less than $6 
      • I guess I've been under the Geico rock

Now this, link here. Exactly my thoughts as I posted above, yesterday:

I really, really that Big Mac meal yesterday, the first McDonald's visit in a very, very long time, but when a McDonald's meal trends toward $12, that pretty much means the end of my visits except once in a blue moon. 

From the linked article:

McDonald's had a juicy first quarter, but fat sales and profits aren't guaranteed this year as consumers begin to push back on higher prices for things like Big Macs and fries.
"We are seeing in some places resistance to pricing, more resistance than we saw at the outset," McDonald's CEO Chris Kempczinski warned on the company's Tuesday earnings call. McDonald's said it's seeing "pressure" on its key units per transaction measure.
That means the typical cost-conscious McDonald's customer is balking at higher menu prices.
As a result, they may be buying a hamburger — but not getting a side of fries. Or those with a little more cash in their pockets could be buying more premium McDonald's dinner items — but leaving out a dessert.

But then, most Americans could afford a few less fries. 

By the way, did someone say once in a blue moon?

Quick, who brews Blue Moon?

One of my favorite beers. Link here

I haven't had a beer in ages. Until this past week: yesterday I had an IPA at the Lazy Dog restaurant next door to our apartment complex. It was awesome. I was going to have a Sunspanked Red (link here) until I realized it was not an IPA.

I also searched out and found bottled Bitburger Pils. 

The only two beers I drink are IPAs and Bitburger Pils. And, an occasional Blue Moon though I don't think I've had a Blue Moon in a month of blue moons. Oh, yes, also, my favorite pre-pandemic beer was Shock Top, but only from the tap. Both Blue Moon and Shock Top are Belgian whites.

From Around The Net -- April 26, 2023

Locator: 44487W. 

National champs! Our oldest granddaughter is a sophomore at Vanderbilt. Link here

Link here.

But this is what really gets me excited, link here:

******************************
A Musical Interlude

Most incredible. Brings back memories of a most wonderful woman. Link here.

Exhibit A: Bullish On America -- Huge Kudos To Mark -- April 26, 2023

Locator: 44486I.  

Ticker: up 12% in one day -- tell me again about the awful earnings season -- wow, it gets tedious

Link here.

The lede


36037 -- Grayson Mill's Marcia Well In Last Chance Oil Field Has Been Completed; Reporting -- April 26, 2023

Locator: 44485B.  

The Marcia and Jake show is tracked here.

July 8, 2021
: the Jake and Marcia wells; see if they've been fracked and when they were fracked and compare them to the Anna wells in Last Chance oil field. #36037. 

The well:

  • 36037, SI/A, Grayson Mill, Marcia 3-10 5H, Last Chance, t--; cum 223K 2/23; full production profile:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN2-20232875167567127773616135451529
BAKKEN1-202328100691021115497222332200966
BAKKEN12-2022227175662811521180501787059
BAKKEN11-2022183026317764847027693721
BAKKEN10-20222465626620101521482514496244
BAKKEN9-20223094579372158531759117381120
BAKKEN8-20222782198586145111652716342111
BAKKEN7-20223115127151322094936492353461003
BAKKEN6-20223017221169812184535208333201761
BAKKEN5-20222923191232043008342324410341155
BAKKEN4-20222023167230372400729114271281865
BAKKEN3-20223128107282453763438608349323525
BAKKEN2-2022282448624339421393424033751352
BAKKEN1-20222414404143163934518422160412296
BAKKEN12-20212724811246177682730658290161632
BAKKEN11-20210000000

Update: The Bartelson Bakken Fan -- April 26, 2023

Locator: 44484B.  

These wells are tracked here.