Monday, July 27, 2020

New England: $240 / MWh Electricity Today -- July 27, 2020

Link here.

Wow, that imported hydroelectricity is expensive.

This is ISO New England. Regular readers know the issues here.

Look at the marginal cost of electricity today -- over $80 all afternoon, and spiking to $240/MWh. This is, frankly, unbelievable.

Note in the "fuel mix graph" that when the "normal grid" could not keep up, there was spike in hydro-electricity.

Note: the folks in New England get about as much of their electricity from burning oil as from renewable energy when "demand" spikes. See this post.

Section 8-151-94 -- The Clarks Creek 0805H Wells -- The Enerplus Lizard Pad

Last autumn I posted a note about wells sited in section 8-151-94.

This is a screenshot what the area looks like today where the wells in section 8-151-94 are sited.


The horizontals running north are EOG wells; the horizontals running south are Enerplus wells.

Or, the Enerplus wells run south; the EOG wells run north.

EOG, running north:
  • 20550, IA/1,478, EOG, Clarks Creek 10-0805H, Antelope, t6/12; cum 436K 7/19; off line 8/19; remains off line5/20;
  • 22505, IA/1,437, EOG, Clarks Creek 100-0805H, Antelope, t6/12; cum 403K 7/19; off line 8/19; remains of fline 5/20;

  • 33280, loc, Clarks Creek 43-0805H, Antelope,
  • 33279, 3,306, Clarks Creek 42-0805H, Antelope, t10/19; cum 244K 4/20; off line 5/20; a 60K well;
  • 33278, 3,115, Clarks Creek 41-0805H, Antelope, t10/19; cum 271K 4/20; off line 5/20; a 64K 23ll;
  • 33277, loc, Clarks Creek 43-0805H, Antelope,
  • 33276, loc, Clarks Creek 39-0805H, Antelope,
  • 33275, loc, Clarks Creek 38-0805H, Antelope,
  • 34342, loc, Clarks Creek 130-0805H, Antelope,
  • 33334, loc, Clarks Creek 129-0805H, Antelope,

  • 19790, 1,318, EOG, Clarks Creek 3-0805H, Antelope, t6/11; cum 468K 4/20; recently off line for fracking of neighboring wells; back on line 3/20 - 4/20 with jump in production; off line 5/20;
  • 20602, 670, EOG, Clarks Creek 15-0805H, Antelope, t7/12; cum 570K 4/20; recently off line for fracking of neighboring wells; back on line 1/20- 4/20; off line 5/20;

Enerplus, running south, these are the Enerplus Lizard pad and are tracked here. :
  • 34584, Crocodile,
  • 34583, Alligator,
  • 34582, Komodo,
  • 34581, Anole,
  • 34580, Frilled,
  • 34579, Basilisk,
  • 34578, Gecko,
  • 34577, Cayman,
  • 34576, Lizard,
  • 34575, Tegu,

MRO -- Section 14-147-93

The wells:
  • 37739, loc, MRO, Wolf USA 23-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2319 FSL 2608 FWL NESW 14-147-93;
  • 37740, loc, MRO, Sylvestor USA 33-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2340 FSL 2617 FWL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37741, loc, MRO, Leon USA 33-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2362 FSL 2583 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37742, loc, MRO, Marian USA 33-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2383 FSL 2549 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37743, loc, MRO, Grinnel USA 33-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2405 FSL 2516 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37744, loc, MRO, Eugene USA 33-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2427 FSL 2482 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37745, loc, MRO, Dancing Bull USA 32-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2448 FSL 2449 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37746, loc, MRO, Pauline USA 32-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2464 FSL 2424 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
The graphics:



Other wells on the existing pad:
  • 24744, 2,715, MRO, Fox USA 14-1H, Moccasin Creek, t1/15; cum 470K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020;
  • 24745, 1,916, MRO, Melvain Fox USA 14-4TFH, Moccasin Creek, t2/15; cum 555K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020;
  • 28075, 3,255, MRO, Anthony USA 23-14H, Moccasin Creek, t2/15; cum 492K 3/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 28076, 3,255, MRO, Hale USA 23-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, t2/15; cum 281K 5/20; off line 1/20 - 3/20; back on line 4/20;
The two wells to the northwest:
  • 20642, 1,137, MRO, Good Bear USA 21-14H, Moccasin Creek, t10/11; cum 394K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020;
  • 20644, 1,221, MRO, Good Bear USA 31-14H, Moccasin Creek, t12/11; cum 244K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020; 

MRO With Eight New Permits -- July 27, 2020

Active rigs:

$41.607/27/202007/27/201907/27/201807/27/201707/27/2016
Active Rigs1259626035

Two permits canceled:
  • Kraken: two Littlefoot LW permits in Mountrail County;
One producing well (DUC) reported as completed:
  • 34599, drl/A, MRO, McRoberts USA 14-21TFH, t--; cum 101K 3.5 months;  
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN5-20203124319242854207934471033015
BAKKEN4-20203024495245992871630048028610
BAKKEN3-20203031166311876755832389030568
BAKKEN2-20201120764205145371617071015881

Eight new permits, #37739 - #37746, inclusive --
  • 37739, loc, MRO, Wolf USA 23-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2319 FSL 2608 FWL NESW 14-147-93;
  • 37740, loc, MRO, Sylvestor USA 33-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2340 FSL 2617 FWL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37741, loc, MRO, Leon USA 33-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2362 FSL 2583 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37742, loc, MRO, Marian USA 33-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2383 FSL 2549 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37743, loc, MRO, Grinnel USA 33-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2405 FSL 2516 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37744, loc, MRO, Eugene USA 33-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2427 FSL 2482 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37745, loc, MRO, Dancing Bull USA 32-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, 2448 FSL 2449 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
  • 37746, loc, MRO, Pauline USA 32-14H, Moccasin Creek, 2464 FSL 2424 FEL NWSE 14-147-93;
The graphics:



Other wells on the existing pad:
  • 24744, 2,715, MRO, Fox USA 14-1H, Moccasin Creek, t1/15; cum 470K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020;
  • 24745, 1,916, MRO, Melvain Fox USA 14-4TFH, Moccasin Creek, t2/15; cum 555K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020;
  • 28075, 3,255, MRO, Anthony USA 23-14H, Moccasin Creek, t2/15; cum 492K 3/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 28076, 3,255, MRO, Hale USA 23-14TFH, Moccasin Creek, t2/15; cum 281K 5/20; off line 1/20 - 3/20; back on line 4/20;
The two wells to the northwest:
  • 20642, 1,137, MRO, Good Bear USA 21-14H, Moccasin Creek, t10/11; cum 394K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020;
  • 20644, 1,221, MRO, Good Bear USA 31-14H, Moccasin Creek, t12/11; cum 244K 5/20; did not shut down during the meltdown, 2020; 

Something Screwy Going On In Fargo -- Corona Virus -- July 27, 2020

Updates

August 2, 2020: something is still screwy in Fargo and no one is talking about it, but everybody knows. 
  • 76 deaths in the Fargo area
  • 4 deaths in the Grand Forks area
  • 4 deaths in the Bismark area
  • only 4 deaths in the Bakken where there are real challenges with social distancing on the rigs, and roughnecks coming in from all areas of the country, Texas (the Bakken: Williams, Mountrail, McKenzie, and Dunn counties)

 Original Post

Washington, DC, has just put North Dakota on its list of high-risk states.

Look at the map below.

The numbers in WHITE are the number of active cases; the numbers in RED are the number of deaths. For example, in Williston (Williams County): 75 cases, only two deaths.

Something strange is going on in Fargo (Cass County). It has a huge population and yet it has ONLY 136 active cases, not all that many more than Williston. And yet it has 75 deaths. Even in Grand Forks, only four deaths. Minot, one death. Bismarck has way more cases than Fargo (261cases) and only three deaths. 

The confounding factor is the fact that these are active cases. Maybe Fargo has a huge number of cases overall but they are coming down quickly and there are only 136 now. But that still wouldn't explain the double-digit number of deaths in Fargo (almost triple-digit) compared to low single digits everywhere else. In fact, not one other city in North Dakota, not even Bismarck, has recorded more than three deaths due to the virus, except for Grand Forks with four.

One cannot argue that outlying cities are sending their sickest to Fargo for medical care, because that would also be true of Minot, Grand Forks, and Bismarck where each have huge referral centers for their regions.


Does it mean anything to anybody that the heart of the Bakken, McKenzie County, where exists the highest concentration of oil workers (with associated challenge of social distancing) there have been zero, repeat zero, deaths to date due to coronavirus, compared to 75 in Fargo? What does McKenzie County not have much of: ICUs, and nursing homes.