Monday, February 23, 2015

Random Update Of Abraxis Ravin Wells In North Fork -- February 23, 2015

The Abraxas Ravin wells:
  • 19054, 1,008, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-1H, North Fork, t1/11; cum 232K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 21994, 658, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-2H, North Fork, t2/13; cum 182K 3/20; off line 3/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 21995, 706, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-3H, North Fork, t2/13; cum 152K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 26885, 1,141, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-4H, North Fork, t10/14; cum 345K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 26884, 1,395, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-5H, North Fork, t8/14; cum 274K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 26883, 1,594, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-6H, North Fork, t9/14; cum 239K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 26882, 1,473, Abraxas, Ravin 26-35-7H, North Fork, t9/14; cum 224K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
  • 29780, conf, Abraxas, Ravin 8H, North Fork, t11/15; cum 227K 4/20; off line 4/20; remains off line 5/20;
I track the North Fork oil field here.

Over the Rainbow, Theremin

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An Inconvenient Truth

At the 2015 Academy Awards ("the Oscars") "equal pay for women" had another 15 minutes of fame. Mark Perry over at Carpe Diem noted Hillary's own "pay gap" problem:


I wonder what Pocahontas pays her staff?

QEP And SM Energy Report Tuesday -- February 23, 2015

AAPL hits record high today.

Reporting Tuesday:
First Solar (FSLR), forecast 76 cents; after market close:
QEP, forecast 25 cents; after market close;
SM Energy (SM): forecast $1.09, after market close;
Windstream (WIN): forecast 3 cents, before market open;

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Minor notes on the Bakken

The Abraxas Ravin wells came in very nicely. Link here

CLR's Limousin wells are on "inactive" status.

Interesting production profile:
  • 27576, 1,808, Statoil, Barstad 23-14 7TFH, t11/14; cum 6K 12/14:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20141188230773729363
BAKKEN11-2014534446180722012199
BAKKEN10-20144518550154816310803108


 The following well on "inactive" status after first month of production:
  • 27712, IA/1,896, Statoil, Syverson 1-12 7TFH, Stony Creek, t12/14; cum 2K 12/14:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-2014310200138000
BAKKEN11-201430179015907564000

 Note production profile:
  • 27274, 346, Slawson, Cruiser 3-16-9H, Big Bend, t7/14; cum 87K 12/14:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20141459025239391146283984574
BAKKEN11-20142915141152533405921024256640
BAKKEN10-20142716140165333039817543703670
BAKKEN9-201430163131622740061002198710
BAKKEN8-2014312357823516777914026138710
BAKKEN7-201417955686342740519951140

 Note production profile:
  • 27273, 725, Hess, EN-Hermanson-LE-155-93-3501H-1, Robinson Lake, t9/14; cum 38K 12/14:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-201412137418347247246710
BAKKEN11-201430926492565526799976990
BAKKEN10-201431135381545298531237011790281
BAKKEN9-201415141891173611823133301332821

 Note production profile:
  • 27422, 1,163, XTO, Lyla 24X-10E, Lindahl, t11/14; cum 5K 12/14:
PoolDateDaysBBLS OilRunsBBLS WaterMCF ProdMCF SoldVent/Flare
BAKKEN12-20145171317136281140001353
BAKKEN11-201412363536359749457504463

Confusion Starts With The Name -- February 23, 2015; Why Is The "Press" So "Down" On North Dakota's Success? -- IBD

Why is the press so "down" on North Dakota's success. Investor's Business Daily is reporting:
The unemployment in North Dakota is a mere 2.8%. The average hourly wage there has climbed 18% since 2009 — more than double the national average. And despite its oft-perceived inhospitable climate, the state's population jumped 11% over those years (vs. 4% nationwide).
And pretty much all of this growth has been driven by the oil production boom, which resulted from the ability of oil producers to recover vast amounts of previously inaccessible oil through fracking.
So what does the Los Angeles Times decide to write about? Increased drug use on an Indian reservation.
It's interesting that a business publication actually wrote something on this. By the way, that's why I seldom post anything "negative" about the Bakken; it's so easy to find those articles elsewhere.

I'm not a psychiatrist so I cannot hypothesize why the press is "so down" on North Dakota's success; I'm sure there's a psychological explanation. East Coast psychiatrists probably have a big word for it. For most North Dakotans, I suppose, jealousy comes to mind. 

And another "by the way." I follow a lot of mainstream media publications. I think the general consensus of many Americans is that the New York Times is the most "liberal" big-city / major mainstream daily newspaper. Not true by a long shot. The Los Angeles Times is much more liberal. So, it's not a bit surprising that the writer of the Investor's Business Daily quoted The Los Angeles Times.

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What's In A Name?

Just because you have Islamist in your name does not mean you are an Islamist organization. If that is accurate, I suppose that just because someone says he's a Christian does not necessarily mean he's a Christian. I was reminded of that when reading this story: why are Americans confused about the president's religion. The confusion crosses political lines:
In June, 2012, Gallup asked, "Do you happen to know the religious faith of Barack Obama?" Forty-four percent said they did not know, while 36 percent said he is a Christian, 11 percent said he is a Muslim, and eight percent said he has no religion.
The "don't know" group included 36 percent of Democrats. (A larger number of Republicans, 47 percent, said they didn't know Obama's religion, as did 46 percent of independents.)
You know the name: Barack Hussein Obama II.

[Update: just a few days after posting the above about "what's in a name," FoxNews reported that a darling of the Obama administration in the bluest of blue states has also "confronted" the president on the issue of "what's in a name."]


You Know My Name, The Beatles

OKE Earnings Are Better Than Okay -- February 23, 2015; 4/4 Wells Go To DRL Status

OKE earnings, forecase 36 cents: fourth-quarter 2014 net income attributable to ONEOK of $94.5 million, or 45 cents per diluted share, which includes income from discontinued operations of $0.8 million.
Fourth-quarter 2013 net income attributable to ONEOK was $90.7 million, or 43 cents per diluted share, which includes income from discontinued operations of $17.1 million, or 8 cents per diluted share.
Income from continuing operations attributable to ONEOK was $93.7 million in the fourth quarter 2014, compared with $73.7 million in the fourth quarter 2013.
Active rigs:


2/23/201502/23/201402/23/201302/23/201202/23/2011
Active Rigs126187181204168

Wells coming off confidential list were posted earlier; see sidebar at the right.

Wells coming off the confidential list Tuesday:
  • 28016, drl, Petro-Hunt, USA 153-95-22D-15-5H, Charlson, no production data,
  • 28412, drl, Hess, SC-JCB-154-98-1720H-2, Truax, no production data,
  • 28777, drl, Slawson, Holst 2-33MLH, Big Bend, no production data,
  • 29151, drl, Slawson, Rainmaker Federal 10-36-25TF2H, Big Bend, no production data,
Nine (9) new permits --
  • Operators: BR (4), Whiting (3), EOG (2)
  • Fields: Corral Creek (Dunn), Twin Valley (McKenzie), Parshall (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
Oasis canceled six (6) permits:
  • 27643 - 27645: Banks permits in Mountrail County
  • 24971: Celia Horob in Williams County
  • 24907: Jenny Vaughn in WIlliams County
  • 26451: Ranger in McKenzie
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Water Project To Go Forward

Bakken.com is reporting:
An expected reduction in state oil tax revenues due to a global drop in oil prices could mean less money for the Northwest Area Water Supply project.
Gov. Jack Dalrymple’s budget included $18 million for NAWS, but the Legislature is considering $10 million. However, there still should be enough money to go ahead with a proposed $20 million expansion of the city’s water treatment plant.
The $14 million remaining from the current two-year budget and $10 million in new funding would bring the total to $24 million, more than enough to pay for design and construction at the water plant.
The NAWS project is to bring Missouri River water to northwestern North Dakota. Officials in Missouri and Canada have held up the project in the courts for years over environmental concerns, but a federal judge is allowing some construction work to proceed because the upgrades are needed in the area that’s on the edge of the oil patch.
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RBN Energy, Part 2, Refiners
Link here
While producers are licking their wounds after a more than 50% oil price crash, refiners have continued to enjoy healthy margins – even in the face of the largest refinery strike since 1980. Strong refining margins, supported by an ongoing boom in refined product exports, continue to encourage high levels of refinery utilization in the Gulf Coast region – home to more than 50% of U.S. refining capacity. Today we look at how Gulf Coast refiners are faring after the oil price crash.
In Episode 1 of this two part series we noted an uptick in domestic U.S. demand for gasoline and distillates during December 2014 and January 2015, presumably spurred by lower prices following the crude price crash during the latter half of 2014. That surge in demand goes against a longer-term decline trend in the use of these fuels and it remains unclear if it will be sustained in 2015.
What is clear from looking at crack spreads for a typical Midwest refinery is that refiners are still prospering in that region even as the upstream side of the hydrocarbons business suffers after the crude price crash. Midwest refiners have been used to making good margins over the past three years because of their access to cheaper advantaged crude. Following the crude price crash the spread between prices for inland and coastal crudes declined – removing most of that advantage.
However, refiners still fared well by benefitting from the lag between refined product prices (slower to fall) and crude. Now the growing crude surplus being added to Cushing inventories to take advantage of contango market storage will likely keep the lid on Midwest crude prices to the benefit of refining margins.
In this second installment we take a closer look at how Gulf Coast refineries are weathering the crude price crash.
The Gulf Coast region is home to more than 50% of U.S. refining capacity (over 9 MMb/d) but has only in the past two years begun to take full advantage of the shale era boom in U.S. domestic crude production.
While – as we described last time - Midwest refiners have enjoyed access to low priced advantaged crude since 2011, Gulf Coast refiners had to await the build out of pipeline and rail infrastructure to get access to cheaper crude supplies. Nevertheless, as we detailed in a two-part analysis last April, Gulf Coast refineries have enjoyed an export led boom since 2012 - largely driven by increased demand for diesel from Latin America.
And although some of that boom was driven by lower U.S. crude prices, Gulf Coast refinery sophistication and lower fuel costs (using cheap natural gas) were equally important ingredients for success. In the past two years as infrastructure was built out, Gulf Coast refineries became destination central for a flood of new domestic and Canadian production looking for a market.
This year new pipelines such as the 300 Mb/d Magellan/Plains BridgeTex from the Permian Basin and the Enbridge/Enterprise 450 Mb/d Seaway Twin from the Midcontinent continue to increase crude flows to the Gulf Coast.
These new flows are competing with and gradually replacing imported crude supplies. However, a mismatch between refineries configured to process heavy crude and an incoming surplus of lighter crudes has kept downward pressure on crude prices –leaving refiners in the cat bird seat to pick and choose from among competing suppliers and make limited capital investments to increase their throughput of lighter crudes.
 Again, this article will be archived at the source.

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The Oscars

My wife loves the Academy Awards; it might be the only show for which she might skip my funeral. LOL. I very much enjoy watching it with her, but I doubt I would watch it alone. I was thrilled to see The Grand Hotel Budapest won four Oscars, tying with Birdman, for most Oscars, 2015:
The film won the Golden Globe Award for Best Motion Picture – Musical or Comedy and garnered three more Golden Globe Award nominations, including Best Director for Anderson. It also garnered nine Academy Award nominations, the joint most for the ceremony, including Best Picture and Best Director. It won the Academy Awards for Best Production Design, Best Original Score, Best Costume Design and Best Makeup and Hairstyling.It tied with Birdman or (The Unexpected Virtue Of Ignorance) for the most wins (4) this year.
I love GHB; when I get in the mood to see it again, I will watch it three or four or five times in succession over several days.

I did not see Birdman. Some big name actors -- Naomi Watts, for example.

I haven't seen American Sniper; something tells me the Academy was uncomfortable with it. The Academy is about 75% white male; median age about 62 years old.

I don't know how a show-opening joke about the white audience went over for the Oprah Winfrey crowd. But according to the critics it was a joke that had to be done. Sort of "check that box," "get that out of the way," and then get on with the show.

Best part of the evening for me: GBH winning four Oscars early in the show. Best part of the evening for my wife: Eddie Redmayne, best actor, for his portrayal of Stephen Hawking. I can't argue. Absolutely incredible.

Biggest snub: not including Joan Rivers -- a two-second slide -- in the "memoriam" segment. The Academy said there was not enough time.

The show ran over by about 20 minutes.

Streamers And Skyfall -- February 23, 2015

We haven't had a story on "streamers" in a long time.

Last time was about a year ago.

But we have an update today. A reader sent me this link to MailOnline reporting that at least 130 "streamers" were seen in "anticipation" of a huge solar farm going live.
More than 100 birds have been injured during testing of a new solar power farm.
Biologists say 130 birds caught fire mid-air while entering an area of concentrated solar energy created by the 110-megawatt Crescent Dunes Solar Energy Project near Tonopah, Nevada.
Experts believe the birds may have been attracted by the glow of the farm’s tower, but the project’s owners, SolarReserve, say they have found a way to reduce the fatalities.
In a test, one third of the project’s 10,000 mirrors were moved to focus sunlight at a point 1,200 feet above ground level – at approximately twice the height of its tower.
It took biologists just an hour and a half to notice the first of the ‘streamers’ – birds that catch fire and leave a trail of smoke in the air -when entering the field of solar energy.
"Streamers" -- or as the say in southern California: Kentucky Fried Chicken. Brings a whole new dimension to "roadkill."

The best line in that story: "... the project's owners say they have found a way to reduce the fatalities."

Yes, don't turn on the switch.

Skyfall.

Skyfall, Adele