All that talk about China taking less oil this month (or was it last month?) and all that floating storage off-shore from China needs to be taken with a grain of salt. Link here.
************************************ Time For Breakfast
this has not been reported yet but we will soon see stories of huge volumes of wheat, corn, soybeans, other agricultural products being shipped to China to avert major famine / disaster
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From the second-linked story above:
Container imports are flowing back into the U.S. after a six-month
hiatus, with U.S. retailers knocked back by pandemic-driven lockdowns
now stocking up before the holiday season.
The demand is filling up container ships across the Pacific and
operators are restoring cargo-vessel sailings that were cut by as much
as a third at the height of the pandemic closures from March to June.
August “will more than likely be” the best
August in the history of the Port of Los Angeles, Gene Seroka,
executive director of the port, the largest U.S. gateway for seaborne
container imports, said this week.
Vessel bookings for the coming weeks suggest “September will be
strong as well,” he said. “Retailers are currently restocking and
redeveloping their inventories at their distribution centers and on
their store shelves.”
The Port of Los Angeles said dockworkers there were handling 15
container ships on Thursday. In the spring, the average daily number of
ships was about half that amount.
“Capacity from Asia to the U.S. West Coast is 25% higher than
it was in May and around 7% on year,” said Jonathan Roach, a shipping
analyst at London-based Braemar ACM Shipbroking. “We have seen a surge
in short-term demand out of America.”
And more:
Trade-data-analysis company Panjiva Inc. said U.S. sales of household
appliances soared 50% in the first half of the third quarter from a
year earlier, while consumer-electronics imports rose 5% in the period.
Imports of televisions by Best Buy rose 11% over the same period,
Panjiva said.
“July was the best month since January,” said Sam Ruda, the
port director at the Port Authority of New York and New Jersey.
“E-commerce is dominant and August will be stronger. We see rising
volumes coming in from the home goods stores like
Home Depot
and
Lowe’s
and from electronics retailers.”
At the facility overseen by Mr. Ruda, the largest container
port on the East Coast, cargo volumes fell 7.9% in the first seven
months of the year from a year earlier, including a 22% drop in loaded
container imports in May. But the overall box tally jumped in July by
100,000 from the number handled in June.
WTI; $38.78 -- as reported by oilprice, September 6, 2020, Sunday, Labor Day weekend.
I forget when I first posted these numbers but I assume it's been at least a year:
My price points for WTI:
$30 - $39: US shale survives;
$40 - $49: US shale shows life;
$50 - $59: US shale thrives;
$60 - $69: US shale does very well;
I was tempted to break that down by two different plays (Bakken vs Permian) and adjust the dollar amounts accordingly but I've decided to leave it as is. Too many variables.
Of the many videos I've seen on continental drift, this is one of the better ones. As you move into the Permian, or thereabouts, the cartoonist has under-laid the continents, and if you look really, really closely you can see where "North Dakota" would have been 300 million years ago. Mostly under water.
Continental Drift
This one is an updated Scotese video but doesn't include the boundaries of the underlying US states. However, the geologic calendar banner is really, really nice.
For mammal evolution, I think the most interesting period was the peri-Permian Mass Extinction event -- perhaps starting with the swamp in the last ten million years of the Carboniferous period before the PME event and progressing into the desert-like Triassic period ten million years past the PME event.
It's difficult to keep the various groups, classes, and clades straight,
especially now that there is a major revision underway regarding
mammalian evolution "across" the Permian. So, this may be not entirely
correct.
The two major groups of animals competing for diurnal resources in the Permian were the Sauropsids and the Synapsids. The Sauropsids survived the PME event; the Synapsids did not. The therapsids did survive and this is where it gets confusing for me and where different authorities seem to diverge. Some say the Synapsids did not survive the PME event, but others say the Therapsids, which did survive that event, were an "advanced" group of synapsids.
I think this is a lot of semantics, but over time, the experts will come to some type of agreement.
The bottom line for me: the Permian is an incredible transition period from the swampy, hot Carboniferous to the hot, dry Triassic, punctuated with a major extinction event. We're lucky we're here, I guess.
Again, I may be way wrong on this but I'm learning. I need to keep up with Sophia.