On the way to answering another question, I again came across these charts posted a few weeks ago. A 30-second sound bite, forecast:
- by the end of next year, India's population will surpass that of China's today [later: occurred April, 2023];
- puts into perspective India's thirst for Mideast oil (Iraq, Saudi Arabia, in that order) and Russia's.
- but India's rate of growth will slow, so that by the end of the century, India's population will be well less than China's today, but will still exceed China's
- by the end of the century, China will cut is population in half from that of today, from 1.4 billion to 700 million (the US population runs about 350 million)
- one-child policy was bad enough, but was aggravated by an overwhelming preponderance of male infants
- by the end of the century, China will drop from #1 to #3 in population: India will remain #1 (but its population will also drop, from 1.4 billion to 1.1 billion)
- by the end off the century, Nigeria will jump to second place, behind India, with a population of 800 million, up from around 200 million today
Original Post
First, by the end of the century, 2100. Graphic below.
By next year, India will surpass China in population, by the end of 2023. This simply amazes me.
Graphic below.
Projections are that Nigeria, a relatively small country by geography, will have a population second to China.
Full table, which might be a big hard to read. Go to the linked article or click on this image and zoom in:
Top seven countries in population in 2100:
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