Monday, February 20, 2012

Pretty Good Science

"They" say the "average global temperature" will increase 0.6 degrees over the next 100 years due to anthropogenic global warming.

Now, they've been able to precisely, very precisely, predict how much global warming will be caused by the Keystone XL pipeline.....drum roll ...  one-twentieth of one degree will be caused by the Keystone XL. Link here.

Of course, the Keystone XL was never about global warming in the first place; it was about the aquifer, so I'm not sure what this short blurb in the Scientific American was all about in the first place. My hunch is the researchers were hoping for much more dramatic results, but hated to see all their work go to waste, so they published any way. One-twentieth of one degree: 0.05 degree.
A new analysis by scientists at the University of Victoria in British Columbia suggests burning all those proven reserves would release enough CO2 to warm the climate by only one 20th of a degree Celsius. Global warming to date is 15 times that.

And if humanity figured out a way to burn all 1.8 trillion barrels of bitumen in the tar sands? That would warm things by 0.36 degrees Celsius.
0.36 degrees. Incredible.

By the way, 15 x 0.05 = 0.75 degrees. That is how much the average temperature has risen according to the global warming advocates. 

Not statistically significant. Not reproducible.

It would be interesting to know how much all the new coal plants in China will contribute to global warming, according to these scientists.

Closer to home, it would be interesting to know how much the average temperature will rise if trucks and trains are used to transport the oil rather than the pipeline, again, according to these scientists.

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