Saturday, April 13, 2019

The Director's Cut Has Been Posted; Flaring Getting Worse On BLM -- February 2019, Data

Update, April 13, 2019: North Dakota would have easily set a new all-time production record had not an additional 150 wells gone inactive. Most likely they went inactive due to weather and operational reasons. 

The usual disclaimer applies: this page is done very quickly. There will be factual and typographical errors. If this information is important to you, go to the source.

Link here.

Director's Cuts are tracked here.

... and the number is ... 1,335,064 bopd -- and as predicted last month, it was lower than January's production due to weather ...

Crude oil production (if the revision is an increase of only 340 bbls of oil, it will be another all-time high -- my hunch: the final number will be revised upward by at least 1,500 bbls):
  • January, 2019: initial estimate of 1,402,420 bopd was revised to 1,403,808 which set a new all-time record
  • December, 2018: had also hit a new all-time high, revised-- 1,402,741 bopd (final)
That was December, 2018; and, January, 2019: two new all-time records.

Now February, 2019, data. As predicted, a decrease month-over-month due to weather. But also, not number of producing wells -- see below

Crude oil production:
  • February, 2019: 1,335,064 bopd (will be revised upward when final data posted next month)
  • January, 2019: 1,403,808 bopd (set all-time record)
Producing wells:
  • February, 2019: preliminary, 15,090
  • January, 2019: 15,409 (new all-time high)
  • December, 2018: 15,369
Production, boe:
  • crude oil: 1,335,064 bopd
  • natural gas: 2,630,490 MCF/D = 438,328 boepd
  • total, February, 2019 = 1,773,392 boepd
  • last month, January, 2019: total boe: 1,857,148 boepd 
  • December, 2018, boepd data: 1,842,979 boepd
  • if that's accurate, the January, 2019, production on a "boepd" basis, a new all-time high record was set in North Dakota in January, 2019; 
  • Crude oil production:
  • February, 2018: 1,335,064 bopd (preliminary)
  • January, 2019: 1,403,808 bopd (final)
  • December, 2018: hits a new all-time high, revised-- 1,402,741 bopd (final)
  • delta, bbls, February - January: 48,744 bopd
  • delta, percent: a decrease of 3.5% month-over-month -- one of the largest month-over-month decreases in a long time
Producing wells:
  • February, 2019: 15,090 (note the decrease from last month)
  • January, 2019: 15,409 (new all-time high)
  • December, 2018: 15,369
Natural gas production:
  • February, 2019: 2,630,409, MCF/day
  • January, 2019: 2,720,492 MCF/day-- new all-time high
  • December, 2018: 2,651,375 MCF/day
  • delta, cubic feet, February-January: a decrease of 90,083 Mcf/d
  • delta, percent: 3.3%
Permitting:
  • March, 2019: 133 drilling
  • February, 2019: 109 drilling
  • January, 2019: 219
  • December, 2018: 92

Off line:
  • DUCs: 894, up 27 from last report (tracked here)
  • inactive: 1,667, up 150 from last report
  • total: 2,561 (up from 2,384 last month, about 800 more wells than will be drilled this calendar year)
Flaring:
  • statewide, captured, February, 2019: 2,126,271 Mcf/day
  • statewide, captured, February, 2019: 2,2,214,07 Mcf/day (all-time high)
  • statewide, capture: 81% (unchanged from previous month)
  • FBIR Bakken: 69% -- same as the previous month -- wow, wow, down from 71% the previous month
  • current goal: 88%

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