Tuesday, July 30, 2024

Another One Taken Out -- It Looks Like Israel Is Getting Serious -- Taken Out At An Inauguration Ceremony IN TEHRAN! -- July 30, 2024

Locator: 48270ISRAEL.

Updates


Original Post

It looks like Israel is getting serious.


Rumors: bullets grazed Iran's new president's right ear. Apparently sniper on top of mosque rooftop not seen. Iranian counter-snipers not trained to fire from slanted roofs. Inshallah.

A CLR Cuskelly Well -- A DUC Is Reported As Completed -- July 30, 2024

Locator: 48269B.

The CLR Cuskelly / Thorvald wells are tracked here.

From today's daily activity report:

One producing well (a DUC) reported as completed:

  • 29708, 2,440, CLR, Cuskelly FIU 8-7HSL, Jim Creek (sited in Rattlesnake Point), Dunn County

The map:

From the NDIC website:

  • Cuskelly 5-7H2, Three Forks, September 2, 2014
  • Gas capture plan, July 5, 2015
  • Cuskelly 3-7H1
  • Cuskelly 4-7H
  • Cuskelly 5-7H2
  • Permit: Cuskelly 5-7H2, Three Forks B2, date approved, October 15, 2014
  • Sundry form: Cuskelly 5-7H (perhaps typographical error, but used multiple times), December 11, 2014
  • Sundry form received December 15, 2014: request to change formation and name to Cuskelley 5-7H (middle Bakken)
  • October 10, 2017: planning form, Cuskelly 5-7H2 (again)
  • Sundry form, October 11, 2017: request to change name back to Cuskelly 5-7H2
  • Sundry form, October 2, 2019: request to cancel permits for Cuskelly 5-7H2
  • Sundry form: name changed from Cuskelly 9-7H1 to the Cuskelly 8-7HSL, and from a Three Forks well to a middle Bakken well; August 31, 2023

The scout tickets:

Question Of The Day -- US Debt -- July 30, 2024

Locator: 48268US.

The US, for the first time, reaches $35 trillion in debt.

Story buried on business pages if reported at all.

Not talked about on CNBC.

Why not? Why is "nobody" talking about the US debt? Why does no one seem worried about US debt? 

Question of the day.

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Corollary

Is US spending "doing anything" for quality of life? Since 1951?

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Maybe This Is Where We Need To Start

And then there's the "brand name." Certainly the "US brand" is worth a few trillion dollars. One wonders if the total worth of the United States includes the dozen or so old Apple computers stored in the garage and never used any more. Certainly they have some resale value. No?

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US GDPNow

Link here.

July 26, 2024: 2.8% estimate for 3Q24.

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Comment

Maybe these are two questions that can be discussed some day.

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How Good We Have It

This is "the club" in Southlake, TX.

This is where Sophia is going this week for her chess camp.

Link here.

If This Is Verified, So Many Story Lines -- Makes Me Sick -- July 30, 2024

Locator: 48267IDF.

WTI Drops Below $75 -- July 30, 2024

Locator: 48266B.

Market: unless you've been adding to your technology position in the past six months, today's market action is absolutely awesome. What a huge buying opportunity. Things are starting to shake out. Things are starting to make sense.  

Most surprising: BRK-B. 

Copper: one of the most interesting stories right now?

Lessons learned: "we're" in the process of providing a "personal financial planning" for the two older granddaughters. Big, big change: no longer do I call it "retirement planning." I call it "financial independence (by age 57)."

Lessons learned: everyday I "study/review" math, vocabulary, and a multitude of other subjects with Sophia, age 10, going into fifth grade. My lessons learned:

  • vocabulary: important, important, important -- we will move through the fifth grade workbook quickly and begin the sixth grade workbook within the next month or so;
  • math: word problems. Sophia has to set up the word problems on her own. The current word problems are multiplying 3-digit and 4-digit numbers. She knows how to multiply 3-digit and 4-digit numbers. Now, it's just busy work. In the future, she won't be multiplying large figures by hand. She will use her mobile device. More importantly, she needs to set up the problems and move on. If she needs a multiple-guess answer, rounding / estimations will generally work.
  • writing: she keeps a journal; no ChatGPT
  • conversions: time (seconds, minutes, hours, days, months, years); baking (teaspoons, cups); commodities (gallons, barrels); distance / time; etc.
  • 15-minute binder with dozens of subjects; more on this later.

AMD: one word. Wow! Folks might remember my thoughts on AMD about a year ago. Relative to Nvidia. After the earnings call, after-hours, AMD is up over $9 / share.


Intel:

Intel: this happened in the first month of the third quarter; damage will continue through the second month of the third quarter; we will see results 3Q24 and perhaps 4Q24 and perhaps full year 2024. This has the potential of being a bigger story than the CrowdStrike / Microsoft story. CrowdStrike after recovering a bit from the debacle, fell $25 today! Wow! Cathie Wood bought a huge position in CrowdStrike the day after the original sell off, immediately after the debacle. It looked like a great bet. It looks like she could have waited.

So, who makes chips that directly compete with Intel? AMD was one of the few tech companies that did well today after reporting earnings.

Nvidia: the "pain" has not quit. The stock price will continue to fall. -- Cramer. But Cramer has an interesting take on this. I agree.  NVDA is up 121% from one full year.

Texas oil, a nice problem to have. Link here. In fifty years of following the oil industry, I've never seen this headline in this context. Wow.

In our backyard: The Thirsty Lion is our favorite restaurant -- but we seldom go any more. Eating out has simply become way too expensive. 

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Back to the Bakken

WTI: $74.73.

Active rigs: 39.

Five new permits, #40978 - #40982, inclusive:

  • Operator: Hess
  • Field: Sorkness (Mountrail)
  • Comments:
    • Hess has permits for five EN-Starla permits, SESW 9-157-93; 
      • to be sited between 594 FWL and 571 FSL and between 2028 FWL and 2192 FWL;
      • these four EN-Starla permits will be added to the existing EN-Starla well already on the pad
      • 40399, conf/loc, Hess, EN-Starla-157-93-0904H-4, Sorkness, t--; cum --;

Four permits canceled:

  • Whiting: two permits in McKenzie County; two in Mountrail County; remember: Whiting is now part of Chord (Oasis - Whiting -Enerplus): permits for Wold, Green, Jeffery, Gayne.

One producing well (a DUC) reported as completed:

  • 29708, 2,440, CLR, Cuskelly FIU 8-7HSL, Dunn County
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Disclaimer Briefly
Reminder
  • I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, 
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple. 
  • See disclaimer. This is not an investment site. 
  • Disclaimer: this is not an investment site. Do not make any investment, financial, job, career, travel, or relationship decisions based on what you read here or think you may have read here. All my posts are done quickly: there will be content and typographical errors. If anything on any of my posts is important to you, go to the source. If/when I find typographical / content errors, I will correct them.
  • Reminder: I am inappropriately exuberant about the US economy and the US market, 
  • I am also inappropriately exuberant about all things Apple.