Wednesday, January 10, 2024

Stories We'll Be Tallking About Tomorrow -- And Through The First Half 2024 -- January 10, 2024

Locator46514COMMENTARY.

Maybe it's the unusually warm weather in January that has put me in such a good mood, or perhaps it's the fact that EPD has raised its quarterly dividend. I don't know, but wow, these big stories are breaking (or continuing). 

Let's run through some of them:

  • the Mideast is becoming more chaotic, with the Houthis (and Iran) and Hezbollah on thin ice;
    • Great Britain is losing its patience
    • US Navy is waiting, planning, eager to launch
    • Hezbollah seems unsure what to do next
  • the de-industrialization of Germany
  • the southern surge: 
    • states as far away from Texas as Maine are starting to feel the pain of the southern surge
  • Democrat power brokers are starting to get anxious:
    • power brokers to include Obama, both Clintons (the Epstein files turned out to be one big nothing-burger), Newsom,
  • speaking of Newsom, big money and big taxpayers continue to flee California
  • US LNG exports
    • the numbers now, and those projected through 2030, are staggering
    • the "greens" will try to slow things down
  • Ozempic could have major impact on all the existing weight-loss scams (not yet being reported)
    • but scams with regard to Ozempic are already being reported
  • Social Security:
    • upper middle class recipients surprised by how much lower their monthly payments are this year due to higher income two years ago
  • Warren Buffett will celebrate his 94th birthday on April 30, 2024
    • still chairman and CEO of Berkshire Hathaway
    • "bailing out" OXY and buying OXY shares on the open market are two different things
    • Buffett started buying OXY shares on the open market in early 2022, according to reports; 
      • see OXY ticker below
  • dividends: 
    • a fair number of publicly traded energy companies are ready to announce an increase in their next quarterly dividend based on their history of dividend announcements
    • EPD was the first (though its dividend tends to change every quarter)
    • big ones to watch: CVX; COP
  •  Amazon: ad-supported juggernaut
  • Nvidia: just won't quit
  • Apple: how bad could it get?
  • Kroger-Albertson's-Tom Thumb 

GDPNow's latest estimate for 4Q23, released today: 2.2, unchanged from previous estimate.

OXY ticker


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